mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑31 May 2025 08:49 am
They are going to figure this out at the All-Star break.
Again - IMO the question is whether, if they are "buyers," can they buy enough to make themselves one of the top 3-4 teams in the NL? Keeping in mind that teams like the Dodgers, Phillies, Mets, Cubs, Padres, and Giants will also likely be buying and making themselves better as well. So if the Cardinals are going to be "buyers" they have to be able to buy enough to be able to overcome whatever gap may exist between them and those other teams and also to overcome whatever additions so other teams will make.
If there isn't a feasible path for them to buy their way into being a top 3-4 team in the NL, they should sell and use this as an opportunity to load up further for 2026+.
The problem is, with the revenue disparity, I am not sure the Cards on paper will be a top 3-4 team in the next decade. If they get in, the top 3-4 teams don't always win, they have a chance. What can we realistically get for Helsley, Fedde and Matz? I don't think it is going to be the type of talent that you sit there and say, yep that makes a real contender in 2027. MO did pretty good at the 2023 trade deadline and we are looking at 2026 when perhaps Roby and Saggese are difference makers, if they ever are.
The Cards may have the real deal in Baez who seems to have turned the corner in Springfield. With Wetherholt on the way, the Cards seemed to have a young core of position players that can contend without adding on. The real issue is pitching. If Mathews regains his health, McGreevy continues to impress, and Roby is on the way, I think they can just make qualifying offers to Helsley and Fedde. While QOs are overpays for both, if they accept, the Cards should be in decent shape next year with a bullpen add or two. If they don't accept, the compensation pick may turn out to be a decent return, albeit, further away. I just don't think you can not add to this team if they are still playing well late into July. By the end of June, we should have an answer. They play a solid schedule in June, with several teams around 500 plus the Cubs and Dodgers. If they emerge with a winning record for the month of June, we should accept that this team is a contender.