I do think there is a lot more roster clarity than this time last year.CorneliusWolfe wrote: ↑02 Aug 2026 11:54 amDon’t get me wrong, I love what is happening with the recommitment to the pipeline’s overall productivity. It is absolutely critical. And I fully support the seller stance we’ve taken to include this deadline too hopefully. But I think we’ve reached a point to where we can start attacking the rebuild from multiple angles now.ecleme22 wrote: ↑02 Aug 2026 11:44 amI think about the 2011 Cardinals OF. Homegrowns were Rasmus, Craig, Jay, Skip. Big contract was Holliday. A one year flyer was Berkman.CorneliusWolfe wrote: ↑02 Aug 2026 11:35 amTotally agree, some of the fruits are already on the roster or banging on the door in the minors. And it might be hard for some to admit, but Mo made some good picks the last few years too, though it was a concerted effort with Bloom as he has been around a few years in waiting.ecleme22 wrote: ↑02 Aug 2026 11:20 amThe pipeline that's being created and the system Bloom has in place isn't solely dependent on Doyle and Cintje being studs.CorneliusWolfe wrote: ↑02 Aug 2026 11:10 amAnd you think all of this is going to happen all within the same timeframe? Why can’t we sign a good starter as we wait for the others? Quitemattmitchl44 wrote: ↑02 Aug 2026 10:52 amNo, it's not.CorneliusWolfe wrote: ↑02 Aug 2026 10:44 amBefore the recent stall, our 1-4 in the lineup was amongst the most productive in MLB. Our rotation has 3-5 solidified with McGreevy, Pallante, and Leahy. We have a closer near the top in saves and a great setup man in Soriano and another promising in in Graceffo. Gastelum has been taking his lumps but did earn his promotion. Baez is on his way along with Cintje and Liam Doyle. We have two young stars in JJ and Walker.mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑02 Aug 2026 10:04 amYes, they will have to spend significantly, at some point, to add a few, select, key FAs.CorneliusWolfe wrote: ↑02 Aug 2026 09:57 amThe idea that a front office can formulaically draft its way to “42 fWAR” and hit on enough prospects, all within the same window, is not realistic. If winning baseball were purely linear, every team with a top-ranked farm system would win a WS.mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑02 Aug 2026 09:21 am There is no viable option other than to have a strong farm system that develops a lot of talented prospects.
For example, if you want just a 90 win team, you need about 42 fWAR in talent.
The typical values on the FA market for fWAR are $8-$10 million per fWAR.
So if you had to buy all of your 42 fWAR from FAs, your payroll would be in the range of $336-$420 million.
Since the Cardinals have typically had payrolls in the $170, $180 million range - obviously they need a lot of less-than-full-market-value players, who come from the farm system to have 90 win, 92 win, 95 win, etc. rosters.
Wins Above Replacement measures volume, not high-leverage execution or postseason resilience. Top prospects fail at alarming rates due to injuries and mechanical exposure. Young rosters lack leadership, especially with weak coaching.
Baseball is a game of human variance, not a deterministic simulation where inputs guarantee outputs.
Top prospects bust or stall frequently.
Buying established, predictable MLB production eliminates the guessing game. And I don’t mean as occasional mid-tier filler. Cardinals are going to have to spend - significantly - to win. They aren’t going to get 90% there with prospects.
But that spending comes AFTER you have developed the core of young players that you need to build around. Only AFTER you have developed that core do you know what are the priority holes you have to fill. And you have to keep at acquiring and developing prospects until you get to that core of young players on your ML roster.
It's not just spending - it's timely, informed, and smart spending that will be necessary.
Is that not enough young talent to work with? If we keep waiting, the young talent we current have is going to be deep in arbitration and reaching free agency and will be lost. The time to shift to a winning mentality is this offseason. The stars will NEVER perfectly align. Keep waiting and making cherry picked metric based excuses and this team will continue to bottom feed.
Worst to first isn’t happening. Incremental success is more sensible. To think we’re just going to jump straight from non-playoff bottom feeder to WS winner is ridiculous.
Just having a 1-4 in your lineup isn't enough.
And the Cardinals are, at least, having developed 1-2 young, front of rotation SPs short of being ready to compete.
They need to develop and get Doyle, Franklin, Cijinte, R. Rodriguez, Baez, etc. to the majors not just be "on the way."
And you have to keep the young talent you have developed (Wetherholt, etc.) from being "lost" by aggressively signing them to team friendly long term extensions so that you keep them through their prime seasons.
And, yes, it all takes time. Houston went through three 100+ loss seasons (2011-2013) before they rebuilt, then started spending again, and won. Atlanta went through three 90+ loss seasons (2015-2017) before they rebuilt, then started spending again, and won.
If Cardinals fans can stand just being a sub-.500 team for two or three years, maybe they need to toughen up a bit like Astros and Braves fans.
possible both Doyle and Cintje fail, or at least don’t live up to FOTR standard. What then? Back at square one.
Why can’t we buy a bat or two? Maybe a top tier and a mid tier? No one will stop Baez or Raniel from carving out a role if they force the issue. We could always trade someone away if there’s that bad of a logjam. If Bloom’s developmental system is so magical, let them bask in its glory another year to ensure success and less growing pains. You act like we have nothing right now. If that’s the case, the plan has already proven to be completely ineffective.
You must really think Bloom is a genius and knows something everyone else doesn’t.
It's about finding top prospects like Rasmus, but it's also about having internal productive players like Craig, Jay, Skip, etc. If you have a darn good supporting cast, then it makes the Hollidays and Berkman acquisitions more impactful. And, it makes the guys like Rasmus expendable.
Bloom isn't just building a pipeline of ace starters and studs. He's building a deep system of simply productive players who can make an impact on the MLB level.
We have our Craig, Jay, and Skip comparables and more right now with JJ, Walker, IH, Burleson, and maybe Church and Blaze, with Baez, Bernal and others knocking on the door too. We also have 3/5 of a really good rotation and a few bullpen pieces, though that is the biggest weakspot, but a bullpen should be the easiest, or at least fastest, to repair.
Also, I might be in the minority on this, but I think Bloom is going to look to compete in 2027….