I feel I must admit that I've been wrong on Cardinals payroll of the past

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ecleme22
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Re: I feel I must admit that I've been wrong on Cardinals payroll of the past

Post by ecleme22 »

Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:02 am
ecleme22 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 10:54 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 10:47 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 10:36 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 09:26 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 07:05 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 27 Dec 2025 23:07 pm How is it wasting money to spend some money on this season and try to win?
This has been discussed many times before.

It's not about the $$$ spent this year. It's about the fact to spend $$$ this year to the level that you suggest and to "try to win" in 2026, they would almost certainly have to go out and sign a Dylan Cease (7 yrs./$210 million), Pete Alonso (5 yrs./$155 million), Kyle Schwarber (5 yrs./$150 million), etc.

Hence, your effort to "try to win" in 2026 would almost certainly be in vain AND you would likely end up sinking the future 2028, 2029, etc. teams with what will then be bad contracts when they might otherwise actually be ready to "try to win" with a much better core of young cost controlled players.
Then go offer some lucrative 1 year deals. Offer Suarez 1 year/35 M. Be hard to pass that up AND have the chance to become a free agent again next year. (Just an out of the box example.)
Then you are just spending an obscene amount of money in 2026 to not be competitive. If you are overpaying by that much for good but not great players (like a Suarez), how is that anything other than window dressing for a non-competitive 2026 season?

Better to take shots with guys like Dustin May for a lot less but who have upside potential to outplay their contract and be tradable in 2026.
Yeah, Suarez's 49 bombs wouldn't help.
How much would you sign him for?
Offer him big $ on a 1 year deal. Give hkm a shot at FA again next year. If we are out of it by the trade deadline, he would be in high demand. We have the money in this year's budget to do it. Why not? Seen enough of Gorman anyway.
Try again...

He is going to be 35 years old in July and just had his highest OPS since 2019.

I don't think he's looking for a pillow contract.

Also, he's a below average defender with an OBP under .300 in 2025.
mattmitchl44
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Re: I feel I must admit that I've been wrong on Cardinals payroll of the past

Post by mattmitchl44 »

Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 10:47 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 10:36 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 09:26 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 07:05 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 27 Dec 2025 23:07 pm How is it wasting money to spend some money on this season and try to win?
This has been discussed many times before.

It's not about the $$$ spent this year. It's about the fact to spend $$$ this year to the level that you suggest and to "try to win" in 2026, they would almost certainly have to go out and sign a Dylan Cease (7 yrs./$210 million), Pete Alonso (5 yrs./$155 million), Kyle Schwarber (5 yrs./$150 million), etc.

Hence, your effort to "try to win" in 2026 would almost certainly be in vain AND you would likely end up sinking the future 2028, 2029, etc. teams with what will then be bad contracts when they might otherwise actually be ready to "try to win" with a much better core of young cost controlled players.
Then go offer some lucrative 1 year deals. Offer Suarez 1 year/35 M. Be hard to pass that up AND have the chance to become a free agent again next year. (Just an out of the box example.)
Then you are just spending an obscene amount of money in 2026 to not be competitive. If you are overpaying by that much for good but not great players (like a Suarez), how is that anything other than window dressing for a non-competitive 2026 season?

Better to take shots with guys like Dustin May for a lot less but who have upside potential to outplay their contract and be tradable in 2026.
Yeah, Suarez's 49 bombs wouldn't help.
It's very unlikely that Suarez approaches that in 2026.

FG's models predict him to hit just .230/.306/.450 with 30-33 HRs and 2.5 fWAR in 2026.

1 yr./$35 million for Suarez doesn't work of the Cardinals, and if he can get 3 yrs./$60 million or more, probably doesn't work for Suarez that well either.
Last edited by mattmitchl44 on 28 Dec 2025 11:16 am, edited 1 time in total.
Cardinals4Life
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Re: I feel I must admit that I've been wrong on Cardinals payroll of the past

Post by Cardinals4Life »

ecleme22 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:14 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:02 am
ecleme22 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 10:54 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 10:47 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 10:36 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 09:26 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 07:05 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 27 Dec 2025 23:07 pm How is it wasting money to spend some money on this season and try to win?
This has been discussed many times before.

It's not about the $$$ spent this year. It's about the fact to spend $$$ this year to the level that you suggest and to "try to win" in 2026, they would almost certainly have to go out and sign a Dylan Cease (7 yrs./$210 million), Pete Alonso (5 yrs./$155 million), Kyle Schwarber (5 yrs./$150 million), etc.

Hence, your effort to "try to win" in 2026 would almost certainly be in vain AND you would likely end up sinking the future 2028, 2029, etc. teams with what will then be bad contracts when they might otherwise actually be ready to "try to win" with a much better core of young cost controlled players.
Then go offer some lucrative 1 year deals. Offer Suarez 1 year/35 M. Be hard to pass that up AND have the chance to become a free agent again next year. (Just an out of the box example.)
Then you are just spending an obscene amount of money in 2026 to not be competitive. If you are overpaying by that much for good but not great players (like a Suarez), how is that anything other than window dressing for a non-competitive 2026 season?

Better to take shots with guys like Dustin May for a lot less but who have upside potential to outplay their contract and be tradable in 2026.
Yeah, Suarez's 49 bombs wouldn't help.
How much would you sign him for?
Offer him big $ on a 1 year deal. Give hkm a shot at FA again next year. If we are out of it by the trade deadline, he would be in high demand. We have the money in this year's budget to do it. Why not? Seen enough of Gorman anyway.
Try again...

He is going to be 35 years old in July and just had his highest OPS since 2019.

I don't think he's looking for a pillow contract.

Also, he's a below average defender with an OBP under .300 in 2025.
Just an example and an out of the box idea. I doubt he is either, but offer him way more AAV and make him say no.
Cardinals4Life
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Re: I feel I must admit that I've been wrong on Cardinals payroll of the past

Post by Cardinals4Life »

mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:14 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 10:47 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 10:36 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 09:26 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 07:05 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 27 Dec 2025 23:07 pm How is it wasting money to spend some money on this season and try to win?
This has been discussed many times before.

It's not about the $$$ spent this year. It's about the fact to spend $$$ this year to the level that you suggest and to "try to win" in 2026, they would almost certainly have to go out and sign a Dylan Cease (7 yrs./$210 million), Pete Alonso (5 yrs./$155 million), Kyle Schwarber (5 yrs./$150 million), etc.

Hence, your effort to "try to win" in 2026 would almost certainly be in vain AND you would likely end up sinking the future 2028, 2029, etc. teams with what will then be bad contracts when they might otherwise actually be ready to "try to win" with a much better core of young cost controlled players.
Then go offer some lucrative 1 year deals. Offer Suarez 1 year/35 M. Be hard to pass that up AND have the chance to become a free agent again next year. (Just an out of the box example.)
Then you are just spending an obscene amount of money in 2026 to not be competitive. If you are overpaying by that much for good but not great players (like a Suarez), how is that anything other than window dressing for a non-competitive 2026 season?

Better to take shots with guys like Dustin May for a lot less but who have upside potential to outplay their contract and be tradable in 2026.
Yeah, Suarez's 49 bombs wouldn't help.
It's very unlikely that Suarez approaches that in 2026.

FG's models predict him to hit just .230/.306/.450 with 30-33 HRs and 2.5 fWAR in 2026.
Why? He literally just hit that.
I forgot, your predictions are a much better tool than actual performance. Thanks for the reminder. Lol
mattmitchl44
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Re: I feel I must admit that I've been wrong on Cardinals payroll of the past

Post by mattmitchl44 »

Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:16 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:14 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 10:47 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 10:36 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 09:26 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 07:05 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 27 Dec 2025 23:07 pm How is it wasting money to spend some money on this season and try to win?
This has been discussed many times before.

It's not about the $$$ spent this year. It's about the fact to spend $$$ this year to the level that you suggest and to "try to win" in 2026, they would almost certainly have to go out and sign a Dylan Cease (7 yrs./$210 million), Pete Alonso (5 yrs./$155 million), Kyle Schwarber (5 yrs./$150 million), etc.

Hence, your effort to "try to win" in 2026 would almost certainly be in vain AND you would likely end up sinking the future 2028, 2029, etc. teams with what will then be bad contracts when they might otherwise actually be ready to "try to win" with a much better core of young cost controlled players.
Then go offer some lucrative 1 year deals. Offer Suarez 1 year/35 M. Be hard to pass that up AND have the chance to become a free agent again next year. (Just an out of the box example.)
Then you are just spending an obscene amount of money in 2026 to not be competitive. If you are overpaying by that much for good but not great players (like a Suarez), how is that anything other than window dressing for a non-competitive 2026 season?

Better to take shots with guys like Dustin May for a lot less but who have upside potential to outplay their contract and be tradable in 2026.
Yeah, Suarez's 49 bombs wouldn't help.
It's very unlikely that Suarez approaches that in 2026.

FG's models predict him to hit just .230/.306/.450 with 30-33 HRs and 2.5 fWAR in 2026.
Why? He literally just hit that.
I forgot, your predictions are a much better tool than actual performance. Thanks for the reminder. Lol
Did you expect Goldschmidt and Arenado to repeat their 2022 seasons in 2023? Because that didn't happen either.
ecleme22
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Posts: 4645
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Re: I feel I must admit that I've been wrong on Cardinals payroll of the past

Post by ecleme22 »

Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:14 am
ecleme22 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:14 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:02 am
ecleme22 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 10:54 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 10:47 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 10:36 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 09:26 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 07:05 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 27 Dec 2025 23:07 pm How is it wasting money to spend some money on this season and try to win?
This has been discussed many times before.

It's not about the $$$ spent this year. It's about the fact to spend $$$ this year to the level that you suggest and to "try to win" in 2026, they would almost certainly have to go out and sign a Dylan Cease (7 yrs./$210 million), Pete Alonso (5 yrs./$155 million), Kyle Schwarber (5 yrs./$150 million), etc.

Hence, your effort to "try to win" in 2026 would almost certainly be in vain AND you would likely end up sinking the future 2028, 2029, etc. teams with what will then be bad contracts when they might otherwise actually be ready to "try to win" with a much better core of young cost controlled players.
Then go offer some lucrative 1 year deals. Offer Suarez 1 year/35 M. Be hard to pass that up AND have the chance to become a free agent again next year. (Just an out of the box example.)
Then you are just spending an obscene amount of money in 2026 to not be competitive. If you are overpaying by that much for good but not great players (like a Suarez), how is that anything other than window dressing for a non-competitive 2026 season?

Better to take shots with guys like Dustin May for a lot less but who have upside potential to outplay their contract and be tradable in 2026.
Yeah, Suarez's 49 bombs wouldn't help.
How much would you sign him for?
Offer him big $ on a 1 year deal. Give hkm a shot at FA again next year. If we are out of it by the trade deadline, he would be in high demand. We have the money in this year's budget to do it. Why not? Seen enough of Gorman anyway.
Try again...

He is going to be 35 years old in July and just had his highest OPS since 2019.

I don't think he's looking for a pillow contract.

Also, he's a below average defender with an OBP under .300 in 2025.
Just an example and an out of the box idea. I doubt he is either, but offer him way more AAV and make him say no.
I think Bloom should probably sign:
1. Another starter/swingman.
2. An OFer on a contract like May.
3. Another Phil Maton type deal for the pen.

That totals around 25mil, probably less than a 1 year deal for Suarez.

My ideas are probably more impactful and easier to deal at the deadline.
Cardinals4Life
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Re: I feel I must admit that I've been wrong on Cardinals payroll of the past

Post by Cardinals4Life »

mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:17 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:16 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:14 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 10:47 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 10:36 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 09:26 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 07:05 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 27 Dec 2025 23:07 pm How is it wasting money to spend some money on this season and try to win?
This has been discussed many times before.

It's not about the $$$ spent this year. It's about the fact to spend $$$ this year to the level that you suggest and to "try to win" in 2026, they would almost certainly have to go out and sign a Dylan Cease (7 yrs./$210 million), Pete Alonso (5 yrs./$155 million), Kyle Schwarber (5 yrs./$150 million), etc.

Hence, your effort to "try to win" in 2026 would almost certainly be in vain AND you would likely end up sinking the future 2028, 2029, etc. teams with what will then be bad contracts when they might otherwise actually be ready to "try to win" with a much better core of young cost controlled players.
Then go offer some lucrative 1 year deals. Offer Suarez 1 year/35 M. Be hard to pass that up AND have the chance to become a free agent again next year. (Just an out of the box example.)
Then you are just spending an obscene amount of money in 2026 to not be competitive. If you are overpaying by that much for good but not great players (like a Suarez), how is that anything other than window dressing for a non-competitive 2026 season?

Better to take shots with guys like Dustin May for a lot less but who have upside potential to outplay their contract and be tradable in 2026.
Yeah, Suarez's 49 bombs wouldn't help.
It's very unlikely that Suarez approaches that in 2026.

FG's models predict him to hit just .230/.306/.450 with 30-33 HRs and 2.5 fWAR in 2026.
Why? He literally just hit that.
I forgot, your predictions are a much better tool than actual performance. Thanks for the reminder. Lol
Did you expect Goldschmidt and Arenado to repeat their 2022 seasons in 2023? Because that didn't happen either.
Suarez will be good for 30+ guaranteed.
renostl
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Re: I feel I must admit that I've been wrong on Cardinals payroll of the past

Post by renostl »

Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:24 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:17 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:16 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:14 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 10:47 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 10:36 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 09:26 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 07:05 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 27 Dec 2025 23:07 pm How is it wasting money to spend some money on this season and try to win?
This has been discussed many times before.

It's not about the $$$ spent this year. It's about the fact to spend $$$ this year to the level that you suggest and to "try to win" in 2026, they would almost certainly have to go out and sign a Dylan Cease (7 yrs./$210 million), Pete Alonso (5 yrs./$155 million), Kyle Schwarber (5 yrs./$150 million), etc.

Hence, your effort to "try to win" in 2026 would almost certainly be in vain AND you would likely end up sinking the future 2028, 2029, etc. teams with what will then be bad contracts when they might otherwise actually be ready to "try to win" with a much better core of young cost controlled players.
Then go offer some lucrative 1 year deals. Offer Suarez 1 year/35 M. Be hard to pass that up AND have the chance to become a free agent again next year. (Just an out of the box example.)
Then you are just spending an obscene amount of money in 2026 to not be competitive. If you are overpaying by that much for good but not great players (like a Suarez), how is that anything other than window dressing for a non-competitive 2026 season?

Better to take shots with guys like Dustin May for a lot less but who have upside potential to outplay their contract and be tradable in 2026.
Yeah, Suarez's 49 bombs wouldn't help.
It's very unlikely that Suarez approaches that in 2026.

FG's models predict him to hit just .230/.306/.450 with 30-33 HRs and 2.5 fWAR in 2026.
Why? He literally just hit that.
I forgot, your predictions are a much better tool than actual performance. Thanks for the reminder. Lol
Did you expect Goldschmidt and Arenado to repeat their 2022 seasons in 2023? Because that didn't happen either.
Suarez will be good for 30+ guaranteed.
Your ideas are as good as any.

I see it a little differently. I don't believe that every signing should been done
with the thought of a possible flip at the deadline. I also don't think 1 year deals are
much of an answer to anything and is close to spending money just to spend it.

It would be nice to find a player that can be valued enough to receive a 2-4 year
contract. I don't see the need going away after a single year. If said player does
provide production and somehow is no longer needed, then deal him.
mattmitchl44
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Re: I feel I must admit that I've been wrong on Cardinals payroll of the past

Post by mattmitchl44 »

Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:24 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:17 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:16 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:14 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 10:47 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 10:36 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 09:26 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 07:05 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 27 Dec 2025 23:07 pm How is it wasting money to spend some money on this season and try to win?
This has been discussed many times before.

It's not about the $$$ spent this year. It's about the fact to spend $$$ this year to the level that you suggest and to "try to win" in 2026, they would almost certainly have to go out and sign a Dylan Cease (7 yrs./$210 million), Pete Alonso (5 yrs./$155 million), Kyle Schwarber (5 yrs./$150 million), etc.

Hence, your effort to "try to win" in 2026 would almost certainly be in vain AND you would likely end up sinking the future 2028, 2029, etc. teams with what will then be bad contracts when they might otherwise actually be ready to "try to win" with a much better core of young cost controlled players.
Then go offer some lucrative 1 year deals. Offer Suarez 1 year/35 M. Be hard to pass that up AND have the chance to become a free agent again next year. (Just an out of the box example.)
Then you are just spending an obscene amount of money in 2026 to not be competitive. If you are overpaying by that much for good but not great players (like a Suarez), how is that anything other than window dressing for a non-competitive 2026 season?

Better to take shots with guys like Dustin May for a lot less but who have upside potential to outplay their contract and be tradable in 2026.
Yeah, Suarez's 49 bombs wouldn't help.
It's very unlikely that Suarez approaches that in 2026.

FG's models predict him to hit just .230/.306/.450 with 30-33 HRs and 2.5 fWAR in 2026.
Why? He literally just hit that.
I forgot, your predictions are a much better tool than actual performance. Thanks for the reminder. Lol
Did you expect Goldschmidt and Arenado to repeat their 2022 seasons in 2023? Because that didn't happen either.
Suarez will be good for 30+ guaranteed.
FG's models say 30.

But 30 is a long way from 49.
Cardinals4Life
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Re: I feel I must admit that I've been wrong on Cardinals payroll of the past

Post by Cardinals4Life »

mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 12:39 pm
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:24 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:17 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:16 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:14 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 10:47 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 10:36 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 09:26 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 07:05 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 27 Dec 2025 23:07 pm How is it wasting money to spend some money on this season and try to win?
This has been discussed many times before.

It's not about the $$$ spent this year. It's about the fact to spend $$$ this year to the level that you suggest and to "try to win" in 2026, they would almost certainly have to go out and sign a Dylan Cease (7 yrs./$210 million), Pete Alonso (5 yrs./$155 million), Kyle Schwarber (5 yrs./$150 million), etc.

Hence, your effort to "try to win" in 2026 would almost certainly be in vain AND you would likely end up sinking the future 2028, 2029, etc. teams with what will then be bad contracts when they might otherwise actually be ready to "try to win" with a much better core of young cost controlled players.
Then go offer some lucrative 1 year deals. Offer Suarez 1 year/35 M. Be hard to pass that up AND have the chance to become a free agent again next year. (Just an out of the box example.)
Then you are just spending an obscene amount of money in 2026 to not be competitive. If you are overpaying by that much for good but not great players (like a Suarez), how is that anything other than window dressing for a non-competitive 2026 season?

Better to take shots with guys like Dustin May for a lot less but who have upside potential to outplay their contract and be tradable in 2026.
Yeah, Suarez's 49 bombs wouldn't help.
It's very unlikely that Suarez approaches that in 2026.

FG's models predict him to hit just .230/.306/.450 with 30-33 HRs and 2.5 fWAR in 2026.
Why? He literally just hit that.
I forgot, your predictions are a much better tool than actual performance. Thanks for the reminder. Lol
Did you expect Goldschmidt and Arenado to repeat their 2022 seasons in 2023? Because that didn't happen either.
Suarez will be good for 30+ guaranteed.
FG's models say 30.

But 30 is a long way from 49.
Cards have no one close who could provide 30+.
Ronnie Dobbs
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Re: I feel I must admit that I've been wrong on Cardinals payroll of the past

Post by Ronnie Dobbs »

CCard wrote: 28 Dec 2025 08:56 am1. You just basically repeated what I posted. With the caveat that what I called laboring under a misconception you call a lie. I won't respond to your goading on that though.
2. I'm sure you intimately know and can relate the intricacies of the financial minutia of baseball and it's teams. LOL
3. They are gutting payroll and that is evident, so yeah.
4. Quick, off the top of your head, what was the payroll of the Cards from 1982 to 1990? That's what I thought. No need to answer, I know you'd have to look it up. It's rhetorical.

In summation, I post that after going back through the long history of the Cardinals over the last few decades that I came to the realization that they spent right around league average to above it a bit. I posted as such because I had a misconception that they were cheap bastards, though to be fair, ownership had change during that period. But even as I have made my mea culpa you jump in with both feet in some sort of misguided "gotcha" moment that I couldn't be less inclined to pay attention too. I will in the interest of fostering some sort of decent and civil debate answer this time however. But I won't be drawn in any further into some pissing contest over semantics.
1. Fine. You were ignorant and continued to argue as if you had any idea what you were talking about for over a year.
2. No, but I know how to figure out what their payroll is and has been.
3. Okay?
4. You're right. If I didn't know the answer, I'd look it up. If someone was arguing with me and told me it was a certain number and I didn't believe it, I'd look it up in relatively short order. I'd guess you'd spend over a year arguing the opposite and then finally look it up.

You're still refusing to answer the question, by the way. Why would it take you over a year of arguing the opposite of something to just now look it up. You don't think that's strange?
renostl
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Re: I feel I must admit that I've been wrong on Cardinals payroll of the past

Post by renostl »

Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 12:45 pm
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 12:39 pm
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:24 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:17 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:16 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:14 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 10:47 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 10:36 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 28 Dec 2025 09:26 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 07:05 am
Cardinals4Life wrote: 27 Dec 2025 23:07 pm How is it wasting money to spend some money on this season and try to win?
This has been discussed many times before.

It's not about the $$$ spent this year. It's about the fact to spend $$$ this year to the level that you suggest and to "try to win" in 2026, they would almost certainly have to go out and sign a Dylan Cease (7 yrs./$210 million), Pete Alonso (5 yrs./$155 million), Kyle Schwarber (5 yrs./$150 million), etc.

Hence, your effort to "try to win" in 2026 would almost certainly be in vain AND you would likely end up sinking the future 2028, 2029, etc. teams with what will then be bad contracts when they might otherwise actually be ready to "try to win" with a much better core of young cost controlled players.

Then go offer some lucrative 1 year deals. Offer Suarez 1 year/35 M. Be hard to pass that up AND have the chance to become a free agent again next year. (Just an out of the box example.)
Then you are just spending an obscene amount of money in 2026 to not be competitive. If you are overpaying by that much for good but not great players (like a Suarez), how is that anything other than window dressing for a non-competitive 2026 season?

Better to take shots with guys like Dustin May for a lot less but who have upside potential to outplay their contract and be tradable in 2026.
Yeah, Suarez's 49 bombs wouldn't help.
It's very unlikely that Suarez approaches that in 2026.

FG's models predict him to hit just .230/.306/.450 with 30-33 HRs and 2.5 fWAR in 2026.
Why? He literally just hit that.
I forgot, your predictions are a much better tool than actual performance. Thanks for the reminder. Lol
Did you expect Goldschmidt and Arenado to repeat their 2022 seasons in 2023? Because that didn't happen either.
Suarez will be good for 30+ guaranteed.
FG's models say 30.

But 30 is a long way from 49.
Cards have no one close who could provide 30+.
It is because of the HR's he hit as well as the one that you predict
that I think the only way he signs a 1 year is if that is his only offer.
He's not young enough to want to do that and his season was about as
he can do. IMO, he'd take a higher total value contract if 2 are offered.
CCard
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Re: I feel I must admit that I've been wrong on Cardinals payroll of the past

Post by CCard »

Ronnie Dobbs wrote: 28 Dec 2025 13:07 pm
CCard wrote: 28 Dec 2025 08:56 am1. You just basically repeated what I posted. With the caveat that what I called laboring under a misconception you call a lie. I won't respond to your goading on that though.
2. I'm sure you intimately know and can relate the intricacies of the financial minutia of baseball and it's teams. LOL
3. They are gutting payroll and that is evident, so yeah.
4. Quick, off the top of your head, what was the payroll of the Cards from 1982 to 1990? That's what I thought. No need to answer, I know you'd have to look it up. It's rhetorical.

In summation, I post that after going back through the long history of the Cardinals over the last few decades that I came to the realization that they spent right around league average to above it a bit. I posted as such because I had a misconception that they were cheap bastards, though to be fair, ownership had change during that period. But even as I have made my mea culpa you jump in with both feet in some sort of misguided "gotcha" moment that I couldn't be less inclined to pay attention too. I will in the interest of fostering some sort of decent and civil debate answer this time however. But I won't be drawn in any further into some pissing contest over semantics.
1. Fine. You were ignorant and continued to argue as if you had any idea what you were talking about for over a year.
2. No, but I know how to figure out what their payroll is and has been.
3. Okay?
4. You're right. If I didn't know the answer, I'd look it up. If someone was arguing with me and told me it was a certain number and I didn't believe it, I'd look it up in relatively short order. I'd guess you'd spend over a year arguing the opposite and then finally look it up.

You're still refusing to answer the question, by the way. Why would it take you over a year of arguing the opposite of something to just now look it up. You don't think that's strange?
Current events. They've been gutting payroll for a while now. Because of their cheapness it lends that they've always been that way. Since there's no reason to gut payroll except to increase losing and pad their pockets, it seems like common sense that is the way they operate. BTW, you did read where I said ownership changed during that period. Right? That being said, you're just being a jerk about it with some kind of gotcha destination since it doesn't matter in the least. Trolling is no way to go through life son. Be better.
CCard
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Re: I feel I must admit that I've been wrong on Cardinals payroll of the past

Post by CCard »

AnExParrot wrote: 28 Dec 2025 11:02 am
CCard wrote: 28 Dec 2025 08:56 am
Ronnie Dobbs wrote: 28 Dec 2025 08:32 am
CCard wrote: 27 Dec 2025 20:44 pmI believe I explained it pretty well. What didn't you understand?
No, I don’t think you did explain it. You said you never researched it and pushed a lie that the Cardinals were cheapskates and you were surprised that they spent around top third or more overall. You’ve been here under this username for over a year. I’m guessing you were here before over one or more, but maybe not.

But my question was this. How did you spend at least over a year, maybe more, spreading lies? You’re saying it took you that long to actually research it and find the truth. So, what kind of person argues a point that they’ve never actually researched? At any point over the last nearly 1.5 years you never once looked to see if you were correct, until now? You just denied it and you insisted you were right without actually looking? You don’t find that strange?

I’m pretty sure I understand what is actually going on with your OP, but I am very interested to hear your answer for my question.
1. You just basically repeated what I posted. With the caveat that what I called laboring under a misconception you call a lie. I won't respond to your goading on that though.
2. I'm sure you intimately know and can relate the intricacies of the financial minutia of baseball and it's teams. LOL
3. They are gutting payroll and that is evident, so yeah.
4. Quick, off the top of your head, what was the payroll of the Cards from 1982 to 1990? That's what I thought. No need to answer, I know you'd have to look it up. It's rhetorical.

In summation, I post that after going back through the long history of the Cardinals over the last few decades that I came to the realization that they spent right around league average to above it a bit. I posted as such because I had a misconception that they were cheap bastards, though to be fair, ownership had change during that period. But even as I have made my mea culpa you jump in with both feet in some sort of misguided "gotcha" moment that I couldn't be less inclined to pay attention too. I will in the interest of fostering some sort of decent and civil debate answer this time however. But I won't be drawn in any further into some pissing contest over semantics.
It's not a pissing contest over semantics. He's asked why you would argue a point from total ignorance, you still haven't answered.
FY troll.
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Re: I feel I must admit that I've been wrong on Cardinals payroll of the past

Post by CCard »

ecleme22 wrote: 28 Dec 2025 10:33 am
CCard wrote: 28 Dec 2025 08:18 am
ecleme22 wrote: 27 Dec 2025 21:17 pm
CCard wrote: 27 Dec 2025 21:10 pm
ecleme22 wrote: 27 Dec 2025 20:47 pm
CCard wrote: 27 Dec 2025 20:45 pm
alw80 wrote: 27 Dec 2025 14:18 pm
CCard wrote: 27 Dec 2025 13:04 pm After looking back through the last 2 decades it's apparent that the Cards have spent money. They're pretty consistently between about 9th to 14th or so. I was a bit surprised at this. Still, payroll is way down right now for no real reason, but they aren't the cheapskates that I thought they were, at least in past years. So this is a mea culpa for not researching sooner and pushing an untruth however unintentional. This probably helps explain why they contended for 2 decades too. So, pile on if you will but the numbers don't lie. They have spent solidly in the upper middle of payroll. The demographics of payroll are changing though. It will require more payroll to stay relevant and I hope after this aberration they'll at least revert back to their norm.
Payroll isn't down "for no real reason".
You're right, there is a reason. The owners don't want to compete this season. Good enough?
It’s a rebuild. Look it up.
It's planning to fail in order fore DeWitt to not have expensive contracts going into the CBA and probable lockout. It's also an excuse to get cheap when everyone knows they have the money to add some premium players and try to win.
No, it’s a rebuild.

During a rebuild, payroll decreases, vets are traded for prospects, etc. This is basic rebuild 101…

I look forward to you writing a similar OP to this one in a few years stating that you were once again wrong.
When do the consistently winning teams have their "rebuilds"? This is what you and your ilk are doing...You're excusing a billionaire from putting decent product on the field in some mythical quest for temporary greatness down the road. There's plenty of payroll to put a decent product on the field "for the fans". You've been fooled into this scam as others have. Tanking a team only, and I mean only, benefits the billionaire owners. To make matters even worse, that dreamy pot of gold at the end of the rainbow isn't even guaranteed to be there. Keep up the good work though.
I would say most if not every 2025 playoff team experienced a ‘reset’ or ‘rebuild’ at lease once in the last 15-20 years.

As of now, youre kind of embarrassing yourself.

I’ve seriously never thought I would see this much whining over Gray, Contreras, Arenado and Donovan.

Bloom just flipped Gray and WC for TWO major league starters and 4 prospects. We traded 3 years of total control for potentially 30 years of control. And as much as I loved WC, we have internal 1b options.

You already admitted you were wrong about the Cards being cheap (see OP). This is just another example of you being wrong…
You're simply wrong. The top spending teams don't "reset". If they're out of the running in a season they might jettison some veterans or others but they always replace them. Gray, Contreras and Donovan are in the top 4 of the Cards players. Why wouldn't somebody complain if they wanted to watch a competitive team? Are you down for watching 80 - 100 losses? I certainly am not. I've attempted to explain that they were middle of the pack in payroll, considering they drew 3 million a lot of that time, one could say that they should have escalated payroll even more but the fact is they were one of the more successful teams for pretty close to two decades and they did it without gutting payroll and selling off all their top tier talent. So while they aren't as cheap as Cincy, Miami and others (which I attempted to state and reiterate) they still have no reason to gut the team and lose on purpose for years. It bastardizes the game of baseball. And in fact any sport where some teams intentionally lose. It's just wrong.
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Re: I feel I must admit that I've been wrong on Cardinals payroll of the past

Post by WaltsSuccessor »

I’ll always wonder what the last 10 years of Cardinals baseball would’ve been if Oscar didn’t die in the 2015 offseason. Maybe there’s a thread in the multiverse that has that outcome. Would be cool to see. Might have a completely different view on the Mo era.

If OT doesn’t die, we never trade for Jason Heyward. Then we don’t make the push to re-sign him and he chooses the Cubs. This caused Mo to panic and offer David Price a record contract. Price 180s at the last minute for Boston instead so Mo panics again and gives Mike Leake 5/$80m with NTC. This means we have no money to retain Lance Lynn the following offseason.

Then in the 2017 offseason, Mo tries to get revenge on Chicago by overpaying Fowler to come here to play CF. Another silly NTC and 5 year deal.

We probably still end up with the Cecil and Matz bad contracts. But it’s easy to see a version where we have OT and LL instead of Leake and Fowler the back half of the 2010s (maybe beyond). Then maybe the trades of Goldy and Arenado put us over the top. Instead, Mo did these but we never had any good homegrown SP or OFs to supplement.
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