I think that would be a terrible idea and I believe teams should always compete.CCard wrote: ↑22 Dec 2025 21:03 pmThey could have kept Gray and spent 30 million on a top tier pitcher and still had money left over for other needs. That would put this team in contention for a playoff spot. They need top tier pitching. Now they have none. Who is there number 1 starter? It certainly isn't Pallante(who should be in the bullpen). McGreevy? He better show more than he has. Some of these other minor league untested pitchers? Not hardly.renostl wrote: ↑22 Dec 2025 16:13 pmI don't disagree with the POV that they will have to spend.CCard wrote: ↑22 Dec 2025 12:33 pmYou don't have to spend $350 million to compete with the Dodgers but you do have to spend $180-$2XX. You aren't going to compete with any top tier teams fielding a $100 million or less team. You'll just be a farm team then. Ask Pittsburgh or Miami about that.mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑21 Dec 2025 06:10 amThat's exactly the thinking the Cardinals should, and apparently are, trying to get away from.CCard wrote: ↑21 Dec 2025 05:52 amCards won the WS with an 83 win team. You get in the playoffs and you take your chances. Lightning can and does strike. Or you can take years, build some mythical beast and get bounced in the first series you play against a hot team. Ask the Yankees and the WS Champion Red Sox. We should be able to agree that a payroll of 120 to 130 is a disgrace for the Cardinal organization.mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑21 Dec 2025 05:30 amGray was worth 3.6 fWAR last year, and he'll be another year over 30 in 2026. So 3 wins, maybe 4, is a good estimate.CCard wrote: ↑20 Dec 2025 17:42 pmYou're guessing again. It's not a good look for a stats guy.mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑20 Dec 2025 08:08 amIf they had kept Gray, maybe 84 or 85 wins instead of 81. But that's about it.CCard wrote: ↑20 Dec 2025 07:44 amAdd an rbi guy to the lineup and a top of the rotation pitcher. Shore up the bullpen with some quality and not trade away one of the better Lefty relievers in baseball. Still think it's an 81 win team? This was with Gray, now they have to replace that talent.mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑20 Dec 2025 05:38 amAn 81 win team?CCard wrote: ↑19 Dec 2025 20:12 pmYour point is pure foolishness. The Cards had the 16th highest payroll in baseball in 2025. For this franchise that's a disgrace. You all get on here and justify it, kissing DeWitt's a$%. You make me sick. They could easily be spending 50 million more, easily. Imagine what that could turn this team into.Ronnie Dobbs wrote: ↑19 Dec 2025 08:02 am
Yes, and why did they do it? They didn't just start from scratch and were immediately successful. It took building of the developmental infrastructure to get it in place so that when they were at a point where they could be truly competitive, they could start bringing in those more established, potentially more expensive players.
We have to build that again (you know, reduild) to get to that point where we were in the past. Unless you think that we are producing players like we did in the first 10 years of the 2000s, then I would think you would agree that development needs more improvement.
All of your machinations keep coming back to the same place, an 84, 85 - maybe if most everything breaks right 86, 87 - win team. Unless you magically have the Cardinals increasing payroll to $210, $215, $225 million, that's where this roster is basically stuck until they develop more young talent.
Having to go through more rounds of playoffs than in 2006 works against you. Having to likely go through multiple teams now like the Dodgers, Phillies, Yankees, etc. who are always loaded because of how much more money they can spend works against you.
And, if they are not in a position where they can build a more solid 90+, or better yet 92+, win roster, I don't care whether they spend $50 million, $100 million, or $150 million. I'm not offended, or pacified, by how much money they spend or don't spend if they aren't competitive.
How much can be discussed but for the sake of this question lets
say the $180M you mentioned.
Do you want $40 million of that going to 1 year of Gray?
Perhaps if he's the last piece, he not. WC can be debated but
acknowledge that there plenty of rationale to move him.
The Cards had bad money on the books the last 2+ seasons.
SG, WC, MM, SM, NA amounted to $88M add PG $113M on horses
that could no longer carry. That means every position filled
with prospects has to work out with plus production.
JMO, but if or when they spend it needs to be on different
players and the way to get there is to clear the books.
The roster needs to still be worked out
before I'll become more critical.
That move has $90M on WC, SG, and the $30M SP. Leaves $90 for the rest of the team
assuming the low end of your guesstimate of $180M-$2XXM.
Now with still questionable TV revenue and some fans basically boycotting, what happens if the 2026 dollars
are a little less and fall to the upside of $130M? The lack of depth that you point out
would still be there, just 2 known names at the top.