With more teams being eliminated and more clinching this week, it has come down to this:
AFC
- NewEngland, Denver, Pitt/Baltimore - LOCKS
- Bills (10), LA Chargers (10), Jacksonville (10), Houston (9), Colts (8) - FOUR SPOTS
NFC
-LARams, Philly, Tampa/Carlona - LOCKS
- Seattle (11), Bears (10), San Fran (10), GreenBay (9), Detroit (8) - FOUR SPOTS
Using the NFL Playoff machine and putting in my guesses I have the Chargers and San Francisco playing golf when the playoff rolls around.
OT: 5 teams for 4 spots in both NFC and AFC
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winonsports
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Re: OT: 5 teams for 4 spots in both NFC and AFC
I wouldn't discount the Chargers. They lead the conference in AFC wins with 8.
If they beat Houston at HOME next week, then they will have 11 wins, which can only be matched by Indy and Houston, who play each other the final week.
Indy did beat the Chargers but are two games back with games vs SF, JAX, HOU
If they beat Houston at HOME next week, then they will have 11 wins, which can only be matched by Indy and Houston, who play each other the final week.
Indy did beat the Chargers but are two games back with games vs SF, JAX, HOU
Re: OT: 5 teams for 4 spots in both NFC and AFC
if Pitt/Balt keep winning ... they might both make the playoffs
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winonsports
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Re: OT: 5 teams for 4 spots in both NFC and AFC
It's virtually impossible. Pitt plays Baltimore on the final Sunday.
Baltimore lost to Houston and have two less wins.
If Baltimore wins the North, then Pittsburgh can't catch the Chargers with only 10 wins and a head to head loss
If Pittsburgh wins the North, Baltimore can only get to 10 wins and would lose tiebreaker to Chargers based on conference record.
Re: OT: 5 teams for 4 spots in both NFC and AFC
Pitt can lose the division and still have 10 wins and can still pass Houston and Indywinonsports wrote: ↑16 Dec 2025 11:32 amIt's virtually impossible. Pitt plays Baltimore on the final Sunday.
Baltimore lost to Houston and have two less wins.
If Baltimore wins the North, then Pittsburgh can't catch the Chargers with only 10 wins and a head to head loss
If Pittsburgh wins the North, Baltimore can only get to 10 wins and would lose tiebreaker to Chargers based on conference record.
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winonsports
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Re: OT: 5 teams for 4 spots in both NFC and AFC
Pittsburgh is 63% to make the playoffs and 62% to win the division.dugoutrex wrote: ↑16 Dec 2025 17:23 pmPitt can lose the division and still have 10 wins and can still pass Houston and Indywinonsports wrote: ↑16 Dec 2025 11:32 amIt's virtually impossible. Pitt plays Baltimore on the final Sunday.
Baltimore lost to Houston and have two less wins.
If Baltimore wins the North, then Pittsburgh can't catch the Chargers with only 10 wins and a head to head loss
If Pittsburgh wins the North, Baltimore can only get to 10 wins and would lose tiebreaker to Chargers based on conference record.
What does that tell you?
https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/461 ... super-bowl
Re: OT: 5 teams for 4 spots in both NFC and AFC
that there are 6 teams for 4 spotswinonsports wrote: ↑16 Dec 2025 19:54 pmPittsburgh is 63% to make the playoffs and 62% to win the division.dugoutrex wrote: ↑16 Dec 2025 17:23 pmPitt can lose the division and still have 10 wins and can still pass Houston and Indywinonsports wrote: ↑16 Dec 2025 11:32 amIt's virtually impossible. Pitt plays Baltimore on the final Sunday.
Baltimore lost to Houston and have two less wins.
If Baltimore wins the North, then Pittsburgh can't catch the Chargers with only 10 wins and a head to head loss
If Pittsburgh wins the North, Baltimore can only get to 10 wins and would lose tiebreaker to Chargers based on conference record.
What does that tell you?
https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/461 ... super-bowl
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winonsports
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Re: OT: 5 teams for 4 spots in both NFC and AFC
https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/461 ... super-bowlrezero wrote: ↑15 Dec 2025 18:18 pm With more teams being eliminated and more clinching this week, it has come down to this:
AFC
- NewEngland, Denver, Pitt/Baltimore - LOCKS
- Bills (10), LA Chargers (10), Jacksonville (10), Houston (9), Colts (8) - FOUR SPOTS
NFC
-LARams, Philly, Tampa/Carlona - LOCKS
- Seattle (11), Bears (10), San Fran (10), GreenBay (9), Detroit (8) - FOUR SPOTS
Using the NFL Playoff machine and putting in my guesses I have the Chargers and San Francisco playing golf when the playoff rolls around.
The Chargers have a 95% chance to make the playoffs.
The 49'ers have a 98% chance
What were the guesses you put into this playoff machine?