Futuregm2 wrote: ↑07 Jul 2025 15:49 pm
Carp4Cy wrote: ↑07 Jul 2025 15:42 pm
Futuregm2 wrote: ↑07 Jul 2025 15:24 pm
Carp4Cy wrote: ↑07 Jul 2025 15:08 pm
We were in last place, so I'm not saying there was a better choice, but honestly, I'm underwhelmed at the return. Sagesse is a 0 WAR player, with awful defense at 3b. John King is a JAG. Rom was a disaster. A few people are excited about this guy or that guy but what if they disappoint as well once (if) they make the show? Its a long road but its been 2 years already.
All that to say - we aren't going to turn into a pennant winner by dumping AS or former AS talent for whatever filler the other GM is willing to let go of. We get better thru targeted trades for either existing players or possibly prospects we've vetted, and thru drafting and FA and Intl FA markets. And yes spending $ wisely but not pinching pennies.
As far as the trade deadline goes - seems like anyone we trade away needs to be for existing MLB players in order to make this a better team. Dumping roster talent for no-name prospects isn't going to move the needle now or probably even way into the future.
The goods we sold were are currently
Flaherty- 5-9 4.84 ERA 0.1 bWAR
Montgomery- Out for year, and was horrible last year. We basically sold at his peak.
Stratton- 7.71 ERA -0.5 bWAR
PDJ- .592 OPS 0.2 bWAR
Hicks- 1-5 6.49 ERA -1.1 bWAR
Am I forgetting anyone?
What of it? If we had non-tendered these guys (or giving Monty a QO and taken the draft pick) we wouldn't be in a materially different position now.
Like I said in the OP - we didn't have a choice but it also didn't help us. We need to be looking for an entirely different strategy to improve this team.
I think it’s a little early to say that we didn’t get materially better. Saggese has barely had any time in the big leagues (heck he went 3 for 8 over the weekend against the Cubs with a double and 2 RBI) and Tekoah Roby is in AAA on the cusp of the MLB. So those two pieces alone could (and probably will) determine the path that deadline takes us. And that’s also because they were the return in the biggest name we dealt.
And for your last sentence, I’d say hiring Bloom, bringing in Cerfolio and others is the way they are doing just that. But it won’t happen overnight, but I think it is changing.
I guess they could still surprise, but I just don't see even Sagesse or Roby becoming the studs you build a winning franchise around. Maybe they contribute but there are tons of ways to get decent roster filler and scrappy utility guys. We've done a good job of drafting the Donovan/Edman/Knizner/Lane Thomas types in the middle draft rounds already. Even Matt Carpenter was a 13th rounder.
Its not whether the trade was bad or good, just that these types of trades never get you "enough" to become a a juggernaut. Nobody is trading you a Gunner Henderson or Bobby Witt level prospect for a rental. So whether we "sell" this month or don't, isn't a "mortgage our future" kind of decision.
If we do sell - it could kill off the rest of 2025, sell less tickets for 2026 and put us in worse financial position. And gain us an expected value of small-needle-movement players with a long development timeline.
If we don't sell and just hold - we might win a WC slot and we might win a series or two and sell more tickets for 2026, which helps the projections heading into FA markets offseason. Or we might tank due to further unforseen injuries, just get unlucky and miss the playoffs. BDW is out a few more $ but not a big deal. And we miss some prospects who weren't needle movers to begin with.
Or we move some guys for some other guys that we actually need. This his how the trade market used to be used - household names for household names. Vets for Vets. dollars for dollars. Done right this has maybe the best chance of upgrading our chances this year of winning a WC or better, and winning some playoff games, and maybe even land us someone we want to extend, like a Eugenio Suarez, who can be a MOTO bat we need in 2026 and beyond. I like a smartly aggressive approach where we don't simply go all in on 2025 alone, but try to improve for both Now and the near future as opposed to punting on 2025 and maybe not improving as much as we hope for 2026/2027, or just running scared from the table and not making any trades at all.