It seems like the lower the prospect level, the greater the chance of success.

[Wattage]

Gorman, Walker, Wong, Carlson, Rasmus, Miller etc.
Vs. Burlseson, Donovan, Edman, Carpenter, Craig.
Strange how that works.
Maybe I better revise my expectations for JJ?

Some of those guys like rasmus and wong were nof busts at all and had solid careers- people just had sky high expectations and were disappointed despite very solid production

Yup, a 20 WAR career from both Wong and Rasmus is a really good outcome from a #22/#28 (respectively) overall pick, many of which never even make it to the bigs.

The only problem is the org/fan hype on these guys, which fans never seem to learn how to guard against. E.g. I'd bet most people right now would say they'd be really disappointed if Wetherholt only has a 20 WAR career.

Darn it 3dender for calling me out, but yes, I'll be disappointed if Wetherholt only has a 20 WAR career.

In the last 50 years, only 441 position players have had careers of 20 fWAR or more.

so to be an above average franchise, the Cards should have gotten about 15-20 of those 441 during my lifetime. Who are they all?

Well, the cardinals have taken far more.pitchers 1st round over the years than position players, but templeton van slyke, wong rasmus and jd drew off top of my head. Adam kennedy was close albeit not with us.