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craviduce wrote: ↑30 Dec 2025 15:40 pm Entering his age 34 season...he's coming off 3 of 4 seasons over 50 HR. He would've had 4 straight seasons of 50+ HR, but was injured in 2023 only accumulating 37 HR in around 105 games.

When does his fall off begin? I ask b/c he's at 368 HR, he's easily at 500 HR, that's not up for debate. Can he make to 600 HR? His pace is incredible, but again, he's coming up on that age and persistent injury cliff that nearly every veteran faces...clean veteran, which I assume he is.

Whatashame wrote: ↑30 Dec 2025 16:03 pm I don’t know that Judge is a lock for anything. No one can debate his dominance the last 3-4 years but he will be 34 next April. The older he gets, the more the injury concerns will come up. There’s the possibility of a work stoppage after the 2026 season. What if he loses a year there.

I don’t see Judge coming close to 700. Heck, 600 is a stretch. It’s all conjecture but his age, his big body, the possibility of a work stoppage all seem to work against him. I don’t have anything against Judge. He has been phenomenal but he has some things working against him that we have to wait and see how things work out.

craviduce wrote: ↑30 Dec 2025 16:09 pm

Whatashame wrote: ↑30 Dec 2025 16:03 pm I don’t know that Judge is a lock for anything. No one can debate his dominance the last 3-4 years but he will be 34 next April. The older he gets, the more the injury concerns will come up. There’s the possibility of a work stoppage after the 2026 season. What if he loses a year there.

I don’t see Judge coming close to 700. Heck, 600 is a stretch. It’s all conjecture but his age, his big body, the possibility of a work stoppage all seem to work against him. I don’t have anything against Judge. He has been phenomenal but he has some things working against him that we have to wait and see how things work out.

yeah...he would be hurt by a work stoppage. He'll come close to 600 HR. Shortened CoVid season and possible 2027 work stoppage might stand in his way

craviduce wrote: ↑30 Dec 2025 16:09 pm

Whatashame wrote: ↑30 Dec 2025 16:03 pm I don’t know that Judge is a lock for anything. No one can debate his dominance the last 3-4 years but he will be 34 next April. The older he gets, the more the injury concerns will come up. There’s the possibility of a work stoppage after the 2026 season. What if he loses a year there.

I don’t see Judge coming close to 700. Heck, 600 is a stretch. It’s all conjecture but his age, his big body, the possibility of a work stoppage all seem to work against him. I don’t have anything against Judge. He has been phenomenal but he has some things working against him that we have to wait and see how things work out.

yeah...he would be hurt by a work stoppage. He'll come close to 600 HR. Shortened CoVid season and possible 2027 work stoppage might stand in his way

craviduce wrote: ↑30 Dec 2025 16:09 pm

Whatashame wrote: ↑30 Dec 2025 16:03 pm I don’t know that Judge is a lock for anything. No one can debate his dominance the last 3-4 years but he will be 34 next April. The older he gets, the more the injury concerns will come up. There’s the possibility of a work stoppage after the 2026 season. What if he loses a year there.

I don’t see Judge coming close to 700. Heck, 600 is a stretch. It’s all conjecture but his age, his big body, the possibility of a work stoppage all seem to work against him. I don’t have anything against Judge. He has been phenomenal but he has some things working against him that we have to wait and see how things work out.

yeah...he would be hurt by a work stoppage. He'll come close to 600 HR. Shortened CoVid season and possible 2027 work stoppage might stand in his way

cardinalsfever44 wrote: ↑30 Dec 2025 15:43 pm He's such a big guy that he'll always be an injury concern. At some point the Yankees will have to move him to DH to decrease the wear and tear on his body. I think he makes a real run at 700.

HorseTrader wrote: ↑30 Dec 2025 17:44 pm

cardinalsfever44 wrote: ↑30 Dec 2025 15:43 pm He's such a big guy that he'll always be an injury concern. At some point the Yankees will have to move him to DH to decrease the wear and tear on his body. I think he makes a real run at 700.

I seriously doubt he makes a run at 700. He'd need another 332, even at 50 per year that's another 6+ years. He'll be 34 in April. So he'd have to play at his present level from age 34 through his age 39 season. I don't see it. I do think he will make 600 but that maybe all she wrote. I wish him the best

craviduce wrote: ↑30 Dec 2025 15:40 pm Entering his age 34 season...he's coming off 3 of 4 seasons over 50 HR. He would've had 4 straight seasons of 50+ HR, but was injured in 2023 only accumulating 37 HR in around 105 games.

When does his fall off begin? I ask b/c he's at 368 HR, he's easily at 500 HR, that's not up for debate. Can he make to 600 HR? His pace is incredible, but again, he's coming up on that age and persistent injury cliff that nearly every veteran faces...clean veteran, which I assume he is.

Carp4Cy wrote: ↑30 Dec 2025 17:57 pm

craviduce wrote: ↑30 Dec 2025 15:40 pm Entering his age 34 season...he's coming off 3 of 4 seasons over 50 HR. He would've had 4 straight seasons of 50+ HR, but was injured in 2023 only accumulating 37 HR in around 105 games.

When does his fall off begin? I ask b/c he's at 368 HR, he's easily at 500 HR, that's not up for debate. Can he make to 600 HR? His pace is incredible, but again, he's coming up on that age and persistent injury cliff that nearly every veteran faces...clean veteran, which I assume he is.

The Other Aaron hit 47 at 37, 40 at 39, and 42 after turning 40.

craviduce wrote: ↑30 Dec 2025 15:40 pm Entering his age 34 season...he's coming off 3 of 4 seasons over 50 HR. He would've had 4 straight seasons of 50+ HR, but was injured in 2023 only accumulating 37 HR in around 105 games.

When does his fall off begin? I ask b/c he's at 368 HR, he's easily at 500 HR, that's not up for debate. Can he make to 600 HR? His pace is incredible, but again, he's coming up on that age and persistent injury cliff that nearly every veteran faces...clean veteran, which I assume he is.

Cardinals4Life wrote: ↑30 Dec 2025 15:53 pm

craviduce wrote: ↑30 Dec 2025 15:40 pm Entering his age 34 season...he's coming off 3 of 4 seasons over 50 HR. He would've had 4 straight seasons of 50+ HR, but was injured in 2023 only accumulating 37 HR in around 105 games.

When does his fall off begin? I ask b/c he's at 368 HR, he's easily at 500 HR, that's not up for debate. Can he make to 600 HR? His pace is incredible, but again, he's coming up on that age and persistent injury cliff that nearly every veteran faces...clean veteran, which I assume he is.

According to MattMitch, Judge should be traded for prospects because he is 34 and there is now way you want a guy that hit that many HRs last year, because of his age, he will certainly not do it again.

Poojols wrote: ↑30 Dec 2025 18:27 pm

Cardinals4Life wrote: ↑30 Dec 2025 15:53 pm

craviduce wrote: ↑30 Dec 2025 15:40 pm Entering his age 34 season...he's coming off 3 of 4 seasons over 50 HR. He would've had 4 straight seasons of 50+ HR, but was injured in 2023 only accumulating 37 HR in around 105 games.

When does his fall off begin? I ask b/c he's at 368 HR, he's easily at 500 HR, that's not up for debate. Can he make to 600 HR? His pace is incredible, but again, he's coming up on that age and persistent injury cliff that nearly every veteran faces...clean veteran, which I assume he is.

According to MattMitch, Judge should be traded for prospects because he is 34 and there is now way you want a guy that hit that many HRs last year, because of his age, he will certainly not do it again.

If he were on the Cardinals, I'd certainly trade him during the rebuild. Judge is showing no signs of slowing down. He possibly has another 3 seasons like this in him. He's a freak athlete.