W/C standings

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Melville
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Joined: 23 May 2024 16:16 pm

W/C standings

Post by Melville »

STL has 47 losses.
Reds have 47.
Giants 46.
Padres 44.
Mets 43.
Brewers 40.
As of today, STL would need to outplay the Reds, Giants, and Padres to grab the last spot.
While hoping that the D' Backs and Marlins neither get hot and catch up from behind.
In other words, STL must catch 3 and hold off 2.
And if they do so, the "reward" is to play a series against a division winner.
If the spread remains the same a week from now, STL would have about a 20-25% chance at winning the final W/C.
Would you buy?
Sell?
Or a little bit of both?
Would certainly help matters if the Cardinals could win 4 of the next 5.
Anything less is going to put them in a world of hurt.
45s
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Re: W/C standings

Post by 45s »

Melville wrote: 19 Jul 2025 16:22 pm STL has 47 losses.
Reds have 47.
Giants 46.
Padres 44.
Mets 43.
Brewers 40.
As of today, STL would need to outplay the Reds, Giants, and Padres to grab the last spot.
While hoping that the D' Backs and Marlins neither get hot and catch up from behind.
In other words, STL must catch 3 and hold off 2.
And if they do so, the "reward" is to play a series against a division winner.
If the spread remains the same a week from now, STL would have about a 20-25% chance at winning the final W/C.
Would you buy?
Sell?
Or a little bit of both?
Would certainly help matters if the Cardinals could win 4 of the next 5.
Anything less is going to put them in a world of hurt.
The course of action at the deadline should not be determined by the third wild card possibilities.
AZ_Cardsfan
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Re: W/C standings

Post by AZ_Cardsfan »

45s wrote: 19 Jul 2025 17:44 pm [
The course of action at the deadline should not be determined by the third wild card possibilities.
Agreed. It should be decided by what will put the team in serious contention for a WS title. Slinking into a WC spot with a weak team isn't the answer.

But that isn't what WILL decide it. Selling tickets is a higher priority for most teams.
ramfandan
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Re: W/C standings

Post by ramfandan »

The BUY or SELL doesn't seem to apply for St. Louis . I forsee them doing a little buying and a little selling . It won't be one or the other .
45s
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Posts: 17080
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Re: W/C standings

Post by 45s »

AZ_Cardsfan wrote: 19 Jul 2025 18:14 pm
45s wrote: 19 Jul 2025 17:44 pm [
The course of action at the deadline should not be determined by the third wild card possibilities.
Agreed. It should be decided by what will put the team in serious contention for a WS title. Slinking into a WC spot with a weak team isn't the answer.

But that isn't what WILL decide it. Selling tickets is a higher priority for most teams.
And I agree with you….

There have been some roster decisions in the last few years obviously based on p r and ticket sales..
Melville
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Posts: 4041
Joined: 23 May 2024 16:16 pm

Re: W/C standings

Post by Melville »

45s wrote: 19 Jul 2025 20:29 pm
AZ_Cardsfan wrote: 19 Jul 2025 18:14 pm
45s wrote: 19 Jul 2025 17:44 pm [
The course of action at the deadline should not be determined by the third wild card possibilities.
Agreed. It should be decided by what will put the team in serious contention for a WS title. Slinking into a WC spot with a weak team isn't the answer.

But that isn't what WILL decide it. Selling tickets is a higher priority for most teams.
And I agree with you….

There have been some roster decisions in the last few years obviously based on p r and ticket sales..
All of them.
Melville
Forum User
Posts: 4041
Joined: 23 May 2024 16:16 pm

Re: W/C standings

Post by Melville »

45s wrote: 19 Jul 2025 17:44 pm
Melville wrote: 19 Jul 2025 16:22 pm STL has 47 losses.
Reds have 47.
Giants 46.
Padres 44.
Mets 43.
Brewers 40.
As of today, STL would need to outplay the Reds, Giants, and Padres to grab the last spot.
While hoping that the D' Backs and Marlins neither get hot and catch up from behind.
In other words, STL must catch 3 and hold off 2.
And if they do so, the "reward" is to play a series against a division winner.
If the spread remains the same a week from now, STL would have about a 20-25% chance at winning the final W/C.
Would you buy?
Sell?
Or a little bit of both?
Would certainly help matters if the Cardinals could win 4 of the next 5.
Anything less is going to put them in a world of hurt.
The course of action at the deadline should not be determined by the third wild card possibilities.
But it will be.
Melville
Forum User
Posts: 4041
Joined: 23 May 2024 16:16 pm

Re: W/C standings

Post by Melville »

ramfandan wrote: 19 Jul 2025 18:44 pm The BUY or SELL doesn't seem to apply for St. Louis . I forsee them doing a little buying and a little selling . It won't be one or the other .
By definition every trade is both selling and buying.
But I get your point.
Again, if STL is not within 5 games and/or too many teams are ahead, it will be a full-scale attempt to trade every pending FA and N/A.
They will need to be within 5 for Mo to ride into the sunset without at least grasping for one last meaningless post season early exit.
MIDMOBIRDTWO
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Re: W/C standings

Post by MIDMOBIRDTWO »

ramfandan wrote: 19 Jul 2025 18:44 pm The BUY or SELL doesn't seem to apply for St. Louis . I forsee them doing a little buying and a little selling . It won't be one or the other .
That is partly because of no trade contracts Dan, as well as many of the people that need moved have no roster space for slugs on contending teams.
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