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Donovan hitting lead-off

Posted: 30 Jun 2025 14:30 pm
by rockondlouie
Donny hitting lead-off is not working.........

59 PA
.231 .305 .365 .670

Donny hitting 3rd........

250 PA
.309 .386 .423 .808

May be time to put Noot back up there?

Last 35 PA's
.267 .371 .600 .971

Re: Donovan hitting lead-off

Posted: 30 Jun 2025 14:37 pm
by Futuregm2
We are 9-4 since he was put in the leadoff spot and have scored 72 runs in those 13 games. I would say overall it’s more than working, it’s excelling. He’s literately been the only regular not hitting since becoming the leadoff hitter. So I wouldn’t mess with it.

Re: Donovan hitting lead-off

Posted: 30 Jun 2025 14:47 pm
by rockondlouie
Futuregm2 wrote: 30 Jun 2025 14:37 pm We are 9-4 since he was put in the leadoff spot and have scored 72 runs in those 13 games. I would say overall it’s more than working, it’s excelling. He’s literately been the only regular not hitting since becoming the leadoff hitter. So I wouldn’t mess with it.
20 of those runs came against the hapless ChiSox in two games.

We also got shutout in back-to-back games, scored only one run in another.

Donny's not hitting since being moved to leadoff, I'd put Noot back there.

When Nootbaar gets on base at least twice in a game, the Cardinals are 28-12.

When Noot scores at least one run in a game, the Cards are 20-7. When he scores two or more, they’re 7-1.

-Bernie

Re: Donovan hitting lead-off

Posted: 30 Jun 2025 14:48 pm
by jcgmoi
First, anyone can hit anything in 59 PAs.

Second, lead-off has been a black hole for the Cards all year. Donovan's line is shabby but it fits in perfectly with the team's lead-off OPS. Nootbaar's 692 OPS in more than 300 PAs isn't much better.

The key is runs. I'd be interested in how many runs the team has scored in the first inning for each lead-off man, a comparison with other teams, and an adjustment for quality of pitching faced. Anyone?

Re: Donovan hitting lead-off

Posted: 30 Jun 2025 14:51 pm
by Futuregm2
rockondlouie wrote: 30 Jun 2025 14:47 pm
Futuregm2 wrote: 30 Jun 2025 14:37 pm We are 9-4 since he was put in the leadoff spot and have scored 72 runs in those 13 games. I would say overall it’s more than working, it’s excelling. He’s literately been the only regular not hitting since becoming the leadoff hitter. So I wouldn’t mess with it.
20 of those runs came against the hapless ChiSox in two games.

We also got shutout in back-to-back games, scored only one run in another.

Donny's not hitting since being moved to leadoff, I'd put Noot back there.

When Nootbaar gets on base at least twice in a game, the Cardinals are 28-12.

When Noot scores at least one run in a game, the Cards are 20-7. When he scores two or more, they’re 7-1.

-Bernie
I don’t know, when Donny was hitting 3rd we were terrible in RBI from the 3rd spot of the lineup. We’re averaging 5.5 runs per game with him hitting leadoff. We’ve scored 5+ runs in 9 of the 13 games that Donovan has been in the leadoff spot. Yea, we were shutout twice. But overall it’s been an explosive lineup over the last two weeks. I like having guys that are actually hitting the ball with some power in the 3rd-6th spots like we have right now.

Re: Donovan hitting lead-off

Posted: 30 Jun 2025 14:56 pm
by Futuregm2
I will say, Donovan should hit leadoff vs RHP. Against LHP, I’m not sure about it. I’d say heck no against LHP, but our options to hit leadoff vs LHP aren’t great. Maybe Winn?

We really need a good RH bat that can hit for power. Even after Herrera gets back from the IL.

Re: Donovan hitting lead-off

Posted: 30 Jun 2025 18:50 pm
by Absolut
Futuregm2 wrote: 30 Jun 2025 14:56 pm I will say, Donovan should hit leadoff vs RHP. Against LHP, I’m not sure about it. I’d say heck no against LHP, but our options to hit leadoff vs LHP aren’t great. Maybe Winn?

We really need a good RH bat that can hit for power. Even after Herrera gets back from the IL.
His splits support this. Huge difference righty vs lefty pitcher this year.

Re: Donovan hitting lead-off

Posted: 01 Jul 2025 09:15 am
by rockondlouie
Futuregm2 wrote: 30 Jun 2025 14:51 pm
rockondlouie wrote: 30 Jun 2025 14:47 pm
Futuregm2 wrote: 30 Jun 2025 14:37 pm We are 9-4 since he was put in the leadoff spot and have scored 72 runs in those 13 games. I would say overall it’s more than working, it’s excelling. He’s literately been the only regular not hitting since becoming the leadoff hitter. So I wouldn’t mess with it.
20 of those runs came against the hapless ChiSox in two games.

We also got shutout in back-to-back games, scored only one run in another.

Donny's not hitting since being moved to leadoff, I'd put Noot back there.

When Nootbaar gets on base at least twice in a game, the Cardinals are 28-12.

When Noot scores at least one run in a game, the Cards are 20-7. When he scores two or more, they’re 7-1.

-Bernie
I don’t know, when Donny was hitting 3rd we were terrible in RBI from the 3rd spot of the lineup. We’re averaging 5.5 runs per game with him hitting leadoff. We’ve scored 5+ runs in 9 of the 13 games that Donovan has been in the leadoff spot. Yea, we were shutout twice. But overall it’s been an explosive lineup over the last two weeks. I like having guys that are actually hitting the ball with some power in the 3rd-6th spots like we have right now.
Throw yet another shutout on your calculations.

I'm a huge fan of Donovan so this isn't me ragging on him, just don't like him at lead-off.

When I. Hererra gets back, I would drop Donny out of the #3 spot where I've never liked him hitting anyway.

Re: Donovan hitting lead-off

Posted: 01 Jul 2025 09:25 am
by Honky Tonk Man
rockondlouie wrote: 01 Jul 2025 09:15 am
Futuregm2 wrote: 30 Jun 2025 14:51 pm
rockondlouie wrote: 30 Jun 2025 14:47 pm
Futuregm2 wrote: 30 Jun 2025 14:37 pm We are 9-4 since he was put in the leadoff spot and have scored 72 runs in those 13 games. I would say overall it’s more than working, it’s excelling. He’s literately been the only regular not hitting since becoming the leadoff hitter. So I wouldn’t mess with it.
20 of those runs came against the hapless ChiSox in two games.

We also got shutout in back-to-back games, scored only one run in another.

Donny's not hitting since being moved to leadoff, I'd put Noot back there.

When Nootbaar gets on base at least twice in a game, the Cardinals are 28-12.

When Noot scores at least one run in a game, the Cards are 20-7. When he scores two or more, they’re 7-1.

-Bernie
I don’t know, when Donny was hitting 3rd we were terrible in RBI from the 3rd spot of the lineup. We’re averaging 5.5 runs per game with him hitting leadoff. We’ve scored 5+ runs in 9 of the 13 games that Donovan has been in the leadoff spot. Yea, we were shutout twice. But overall it’s been an explosive lineup over the last two weeks. I like having guys that are actually hitting the ball with some power in the 3rd-6th spots like we have right now.
Throw yet another shutout on your calculations.

I'm a huge fan of Donovan so this isn't me ragging on him, just don't like him at lead-off.

When I. Hererra gets back, I would drop Donny out of the #3 spot where I've never liked him hitting anyway.
There are not many options other than Donovan the roster is terrible, and no walker will not help if and when he returns

Re: Donovan hitting lead-off

Posted: 01 Jul 2025 09:26 am
by Futuregm2
rockondlouie wrote: 01 Jul 2025 09:15 am
Futuregm2 wrote: 30 Jun 2025 14:51 pm
rockondlouie wrote: 30 Jun 2025 14:47 pm
Futuregm2 wrote: 30 Jun 2025 14:37 pm We are 9-4 since he was put in the leadoff spot and have scored 72 runs in those 13 games. I would say overall it’s more than working, it’s excelling. He’s literately been the only regular not hitting since becoming the leadoff hitter. So I wouldn’t mess with it.
20 of those runs came against the hapless ChiSox in two games.

We also got shutout in back-to-back games, scored only one run in another.

Donny's not hitting since being moved to leadoff, I'd put Noot back there.

When Nootbaar gets on base at least twice in a game, the Cardinals are 28-12.

When Noot scores at least one run in a game, the Cards are 20-7. When he scores two or more, they’re 7-1.

-Bernie
I don’t know, when Donny was hitting 3rd we were terrible in RBI from the 3rd spot of the lineup. We’re averaging 5.5 runs per game with him hitting leadoff. We’ve scored 5+ runs in 9 of the 13 games that Donovan has been in the leadoff spot. Yea, we were shutout twice. But overall it’s been an explosive lineup over the last two weeks. I like having guys that are actually hitting the ball with some power in the 3rd-6th spots like we have right now.
Throw yet another shutout on your calculations.

I'm a huge fan of Donovan so this isn't me ragging on him, just don't like him at lead-off.

When I. Hererra gets back, I would drop Donny out of the #3 spot where I've never liked him hitting anyway.
They have still been better since he moved to the leadoff spot. They are averaging over 5 runs per game during that time. The 14 games before that they scored 12 less runs, averaging 4.29 runs per game.

The shutouts have all happened with a LHP on the mound, which I acknowledged that I don’t like him leading off vs LHP. Just like I don’t like Burly playing at all much less hitting 3rd vs LHP. I’m not sure what the answer is though since Noot isn’t much better vs LHP either. They need to get a RH bat. And I’d try Winn at leadoff vs LHP, although he isn’t as good this year as he was last year vs LHP.

Re: Donovan hitting lead-off

Posted: 01 Jul 2025 09:42 am
by rockondlouie
Futuregm2 wrote: 01 Jul 2025 09:26 am
rockondlouie wrote: 01 Jul 2025 09:15 am
Futuregm2 wrote: 30 Jun 2025 14:51 pm
rockondlouie wrote: 30 Jun 2025 14:47 pm
Futuregm2 wrote: 30 Jun 2025 14:37 pm We are 9-4 since he was put in the leadoff spot and have scored 72 runs in those 13 games. I would say overall it’s more than working, it’s excelling. He’s literately been the only regular not hitting since becoming the leadoff hitter. So I wouldn’t mess with it.
20 of those runs came against the hapless ChiSox in two games.

We also got shutout in back-to-back games, scored only one run in another.

Donny's not hitting since being moved to leadoff, I'd put Noot back there.

When Nootbaar gets on base at least twice in a game, the Cardinals are 28-12.

When Noot scores at least one run in a game, the Cards are 20-7. When he scores two or more, they’re 7-1.

-Bernie
I don’t know, when Donny was hitting 3rd we were terrible in RBI from the 3rd spot of the lineup. We’re averaging 5.5 runs per game with him hitting leadoff. We’ve scored 5+ runs in 9 of the 13 games that Donovan has been in the leadoff spot. Yea, we were shutout twice. But overall it’s been an explosive lineup over the last two weeks. I like having guys that are actually hitting the ball with some power in the 3rd-6th spots like we have right now.
Throw yet another shutout on your calculations.

I'm a huge fan of Donovan so this isn't me ragging on him, just don't like him at lead-off.

When I. Hererra gets back, I would drop Donny out of the #3 spot where I've never liked him hitting anyway.
They have still been better since he moved to the leadoff spot. They are averaging over 5 runs per game during that time. The 14 games before that they scored 12 less runs, averaging 4.29 runs per game.

The shutouts have all happened with a LHP on the mound, which I acknowledged that I don’t like him leading off vs LHP. Just like I don’t like Burly playing at all much less hitting 3rd vs LHP. I’m not sure what the answer is though since Noot isn’t much better vs LHP either. They need to get a RH bat. And I’d try Winn at leadoff vs LHP, although he isn’t as good this year as he was last year vs LHP.
I'd move Noot back there.

Winn is doing too well to move him from the #2 hole.

When Hererra returns, I'd drop Donny to #5 (behind Hererra/#3 and WillyC/#4) but ahead of NADO who I'd drop to #6.

And man the LHP is becoming a big problem, they're making them all look like Sandy Koufax.

Re: Donovan hitting lead-off

Posted: 01 Jul 2025 09:49 am
by Futuregm2
rockondlouie wrote: 01 Jul 2025 09:42 am
Futuregm2 wrote: 01 Jul 2025 09:26 am
rockondlouie wrote: 01 Jul 2025 09:15 am
Futuregm2 wrote: 30 Jun 2025 14:51 pm
rockondlouie wrote: 30 Jun 2025 14:47 pm
Futuregm2 wrote: 30 Jun 2025 14:37 pm We are 9-4 since he was put in the leadoff spot and have scored 72 runs in those 13 games. I would say overall it’s more than working, it’s excelling. He’s literately been the only regular not hitting since becoming the leadoff hitter. So I wouldn’t mess with it.
20 of those runs came against the hapless ChiSox in two games.

We also got shutout in back-to-back games, scored only one run in another.

Donny's not hitting since being moved to leadoff, I'd put Noot back there.

When Nootbaar gets on base at least twice in a game, the Cardinals are 28-12.

When Noot scores at least one run in a game, the Cards are 20-7. When he scores two or more, they’re 7-1.

-Bernie
I don’t know, when Donny was hitting 3rd we were terrible in RBI from the 3rd spot of the lineup. We’re averaging 5.5 runs per game with him hitting leadoff. We’ve scored 5+ runs in 9 of the 13 games that Donovan has been in the leadoff spot. Yea, we were shutout twice. But overall it’s been an explosive lineup over the last two weeks. I like having guys that are actually hitting the ball with some power in the 3rd-6th spots like we have right now.
Throw yet another shutout on your calculations.

I'm a huge fan of Donovan so this isn't me ragging on him, just don't like him at lead-off.

When I. Hererra gets back, I would drop Donny out of the #3 spot where I've never liked him hitting anyway.
They have still been better since he moved to the leadoff spot. They are averaging over 5 runs per game during that time. The 14 games before that they scored 12 less runs, averaging 4.29 runs per game.

The shutouts have all happened with a LHP on the mound, which I acknowledged that I don’t like him leading off vs LHP. Just like I don’t like Burly playing at all much less hitting 3rd vs LHP. I’m not sure what the answer is though since Noot isn’t much better vs LHP either. They need to get a RH bat. And I’d try Winn at leadoff vs LHP, although he isn’t as good this year as he was last year vs LHP.
I'd move Noot back there.

Winn is doing too well to move him from the #2 hole.

When Hererra returns, I'd drop Donny to #5 (behind Hererra/#3 and WillyC/#4) but ahead of NADO who I'd drop to #6.

And man the LHP is becoming a big problem, they're making them all look like Sandy Koufax.
Maybe against LHP. Noot has a sub .700 OPS vs LHP this year, too, though. Donovan is a good leadoff hitter vs RHP (.342 avg .412 OBP).

And yea, as bad as we are vs LHP though we’re about middle of the pack (17th) in OPS vs LHP. Two of the other potential WC teams (SD/SF) are below us in OPS vs LHP. And we’ve been without our best RH bat for about 1.5 months now this season.

Re: Donovan hitting lead-off

Posted: 01 Jul 2025 11:41 am
by rockondlouie
Futuregm2 wrote: 01 Jul 2025 09:49 am
rockondlouie wrote: 01 Jul 2025 09:42 am
Futuregm2 wrote: 01 Jul 2025 09:26 am
rockondlouie wrote: 01 Jul 2025 09:15 am
Futuregm2 wrote: 30 Jun 2025 14:51 pm
rockondlouie wrote: 30 Jun 2025 14:47 pm
Futuregm2 wrote: 30 Jun 2025 14:37 pm We are 9-4 since he was put in the leadoff spot and have scored 72 runs in those 13 games. I would say overall it’s more than working, it’s excelling. He’s literately been the only regular not hitting since becoming the leadoff hitter. So I wouldn’t mess with it.
20 of those runs came against the hapless ChiSox in two games.

We also got shutout in back-to-back games, scored only one run in another.

Donny's not hitting since being moved to leadoff, I'd put Noot back there.

When Nootbaar gets on base at least twice in a game, the Cardinals are 28-12.

When Noot scores at least one run in a game, the Cards are 20-7. When he scores two or more, they’re 7-1.

-Bernie
I don’t know, when Donny was hitting 3rd we were terrible in RBI from the 3rd spot of the lineup. We’re averaging 5.5 runs per game with him hitting leadoff. We’ve scored 5+ runs in 9 of the 13 games that Donovan has been in the leadoff spot. Yea, we were shutout twice. But overall it’s been an explosive lineup over the last two weeks. I like having guys that are actually hitting the ball with some power in the 3rd-6th spots like we have right now.
Throw yet another shutout on your calculations.

I'm a huge fan of Donovan so this isn't me ragging on him, just don't like him at lead-off.

When I. Hererra gets back, I would drop Donny out of the #3 spot where I've never liked him hitting anyway.
They have still been better since he moved to the leadoff spot. They are averaging over 5 runs per game during that time. The 14 games before that they scored 12 less runs, averaging 4.29 runs per game.

The shutouts have all happened with a LHP on the mound, which I acknowledged that I don’t like him leading off vs LHP. Just like I don’t like Burly playing at all much less hitting 3rd vs LHP. I’m not sure what the answer is though since Noot isn’t much better vs LHP either. They need to get a RH bat. And I’d try Winn at leadoff vs LHP, although he isn’t as good this year as he was last year vs LHP.
I'd move Noot back there.

Winn is doing too well to move him from the #2 hole.

When Hererra returns, I'd drop Donny to #5 (behind Hererra/#3 and WillyC/#4) but ahead of NADO who I'd drop to #6.

And man the LHP is becoming a big problem, they're making them all look like Sandy Koufax.
Maybe against LHP. Noot has a sub .700 OPS vs LHP this year, too, though. Donovan is a good leadoff hitter vs RHP (.342 avg .412 OBP).

And yea, as bad as we are vs LHP though we’re about middle of the pack (17th) in OPS vs LHP. Two of the other potential WC teams (SD/SF) are below us in OPS vs LHP. And we’ve been without our best RH bat for about 1.5 months now this season.
Both Players Career OB% hitting lead-off:

Noot
709 PA's
.346 OB%

Donny
652 PA
.336 OB%
His lowest sans a handful hitting clean-up (why? :roll: )

Big fan of Donny, just not hitting lead-off but I hope he does better since Oli appears to be sticking w/him despite the poor slash
.222 .306 .352 .658

Re: Donovan hitting lead-off

Posted: 01 Jul 2025 15:10 pm
by JDW
Any updates on when Herrera might return?
Tia