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Re: What might a Contreras trade look like?

Posted: 16 Dec 2025 16:28 pm
by sikeston bulldog2
Ok, here we go. We got a real pressure cooker goin on here.
Two outs. Nobody on. No score. Bottom of the ninth.

Stop right there!

Re: What might a Contreras trade look like?

Posted: 16 Dec 2025 16:34 pm
by Shady
Talkin' Baseball wrote: 16 Dec 2025 15:37 pm
Shady wrote: 16 Dec 2025 15:36 pm
Talkin' Baseball wrote: 16 Dec 2025 15:27 pm
Shady wrote: 16 Dec 2025 15:22 pm
Talkin' Baseball wrote: 16 Dec 2025 15:01 pm
Shady wrote: 16 Dec 2025 14:53 pm
Talkin' Baseball wrote: 16 Dec 2025 14:44 pm
Shady wrote: 16 Dec 2025 14:39 pm
Talkin' Baseball wrote: 16 Dec 2025 14:07 pm
Shady wrote: 16 Dec 2025 14:01 pm
Talkin' Baseball wrote: 16 Dec 2025 13:24 pm C'mon Shady. I have a quality post loaded to go, just waiting on you. How would you answer some of the questions you have posed?
I'm not sure which teams Contreras would accept a trade to. Are you ? You must have an idea if you have a "quality post loaded". Go for it.
Only Willson knows for sure. After you.
Teams that might possibly be looking for help at 1B. From my source, "Clubs like the Pirates, Twins, Nationals, Guardians, and Diamondbacks are among those most likely seeking upgrades or depth at the position".
Of those, which ones might Willson agree to go to, how much money would the Cardinals send, and who might we want back?
Frankly, I don't see any of those teams being attractive to Contreras.
Then what might a trade for Contreras look like?
I understand the Yankees might be interested in trading for Contreras. If Contreras would be interested. Maybe Bloom should inquire about getting either Dominguez or Jones in return. If they turn down a 1 for 1. Which they probably would. Then see if they would be interested in the Cardinals paying a certain part of Contreras' remaining salary. Or maybe offer Arenado and some salary relief as part of a deal.
Thanks Shady.
I’ll start with this; I am aware of what BTV says about Willson’s contract, and I disagree. I’ve outlined the details of that in other posts. I won’t go into all of that today unless someone wants me to. The Contreras contract in my view is about even, meaning it is a good reflection of how the marketplace values that type of production at that position. You can move a contract like that without taking on the money if that is your goal, but you get little in return if that is the route you take. The more money you take on, the better the player return is.

I have no idea geographically, or by ballpark, where Willson Contreras wants to play, so I’ll just assume his primary constraint is that he would only go to a contender. Which contenders need a first baseman? The San Diego Padres, Texas Rangers, Arizona Diamondbacks, Boston Red Sox, and still the New York Mets.

What the Padres, Rangers, and Diamondbacks have in common is that they are trying to build a contender while also cutting their overall payroll. Footing the bill for some of Willson’s salary would have huge appeal for them. All 5 teams might also have a level of interest in Contreras as a backup catcher.

I’m assuming from the Cardinals point of view this is not a straight salary dump. Yes, they would be glad for the financial relief, but they are equally interested in getting a player(s) back who could help them at some point. I’m going to suggest they kick in 5M next season and 5M the following season, so the receiving team pays 13M this season, 13.5M next, and a 5M buyout if they want out after that.
Padres- They are going to have trouble swinging this. They seem like they are trying to trade players already that they like and need, just to save money. Their system is already barren. If they were willing to take that much of the contract I would be looking for left-handed pitcher Kash Mayfield or infielder Kale Fountain.

Rangers- I would ask for right-handers Cade Scarborough and Alejandro Rosario. Rosario won’t pitch this season as he recovers from TJ surgery.
Diamondbacks- I don’t find a prospect that would match up well with Contreras.
Mets and Red Sox- They have prospects, but I don’t know which ones would be a good return for Contreras.

Best fit- Texas. Their window will close soon. They have enough money to pay the contract, enough interesting pitchers to make it happen, and enough competitive fire to pull the trigger.

Alejandro Rosario #6
Rosario operated at 94-98 mph and reached 100 with his fastball in 2024, and he found more success blasting it by hitters at the letters in pro ball than he did sinking it down in the zone in college. His 88-92 mph splitter was a swing-and-miss pitch with devastating tumble and run at its best last year. He has scrapped the curveball and cutter he toyed with at Miami to focus on an 83-85 mph slider that shows flashes of giving him a third plus offering.

After Rosario turned pro, the Rangers moved him to the third-base side of the rubber and had him keep his delivery closed longer to hide the ball better from hitters. He also creates some deception with his flat approach angle and his new mechanics have allowed him to pound the strike zone after he battled his control and command with the Hurricanes. Before he got hurt, he once again looked like the pitcher who intrigued scouts in high school and has the upside of a frontline starter.

Cade Scarborough #8
Very much a work in progress, Scarborough can touch 96 mph with his fastball in the first inning and then top out at 93 in the second. If he adds velocity as expected once he fills out his lanky 6-foot-5 frame, he could have a special heater because his mechanics create a great deal of carry and armside run. He entered pro ball with a soft mid-70s curveball that needs more power, and Texas had him focus instead on a low-80s slider last summer.
Good thoughts. Thanks. What about trying to get either Dominguez or Jones from the Yankees? How would you approach the Yankees about that regarding offering Contreras?
I don't think you can touch either one of those guys for Contreras. Not even with including money.
You can probably see that I'm trying to figure out how Bloom can trade for an upgrade in the Cardinals outfield.

Re: What might a Contreras trade look like?

Posted: 16 Dec 2025 16:36 pm
by NYCardsFan
Cranny wrote: 16 Dec 2025 16:15 pm Constant put downs of other posters is petty and plebian.
And for your edification, Cranpot, the word you’re failingly reaching for is “plebeian.”

Re: What might a Contreras trade look like?

Posted: 16 Dec 2025 16:36 pm
by Talkin' Baseball
Shady wrote: 16 Dec 2025 16:34 pm
Talkin' Baseball wrote: 16 Dec 2025 15:37 pm
Shady wrote: 16 Dec 2025 15:36 pm
Talkin' Baseball wrote: 16 Dec 2025 15:27 pm
Shady wrote: 16 Dec 2025 15:22 pm
Talkin' Baseball wrote: 16 Dec 2025 15:01 pm
Shady wrote: 16 Dec 2025 14:53 pm
Talkin' Baseball wrote: 16 Dec 2025 14:44 pm
Shady wrote: 16 Dec 2025 14:39 pm
Talkin' Baseball wrote: 16 Dec 2025 14:07 pm
Shady wrote: 16 Dec 2025 14:01 pm
Talkin' Baseball wrote: 16 Dec 2025 13:24 pm C'mon Shady. I have a quality post loaded to go, just waiting on you. How would you answer some of the questions you have posed?
I'm not sure which teams Contreras would accept a trade to. Are you ? You must have an idea if you have a "quality post loaded". Go for it.
Only Willson knows for sure. After you.
Teams that might possibly be looking for help at 1B. From my source, "Clubs like the Pirates, Twins, Nationals, Guardians, and Diamondbacks are among those most likely seeking upgrades or depth at the position".
Of those, which ones might Willson agree to go to, how much money would the Cardinals send, and who might we want back?
Frankly, I don't see any of those teams being attractive to Contreras.
Then what might a trade for Contreras look like?
I understand the Yankees might be interested in trading for Contreras. If Contreras would be interested. Maybe Bloom should inquire about getting either Dominguez or Jones in return. If they turn down a 1 for 1. Which they probably would. Then see if they would be interested in the Cardinals paying a certain part of Contreras' remaining salary. Or maybe offer Arenado and some salary relief as part of a deal.
Thanks Shady.
I’ll start with this; I am aware of what BTV says about Willson’s contract, and I disagree. I’ve outlined the details of that in other posts. I won’t go into all of that today unless someone wants me to. The Contreras contract in my view is about even, meaning it is a good reflection of how the marketplace values that type of production at that position. You can move a contract like that without taking on the money if that is your goal, but you get little in return if that is the route you take. The more money you take on, the better the player return is.

I have no idea geographically, or by ballpark, where Willson Contreras wants to play, so I’ll just assume his primary constraint is that he would only go to a contender. Which contenders need a first baseman? The San Diego Padres, Texas Rangers, Arizona Diamondbacks, Boston Red Sox, and still the New York Mets.

What the Padres, Rangers, and Diamondbacks have in common is that they are trying to build a contender while also cutting their overall payroll. Footing the bill for some of Willson’s salary would have huge appeal for them. All 5 teams might also have a level of interest in Contreras as a backup catcher.

I’m assuming from the Cardinals point of view this is not a straight salary dump. Yes, they would be glad for the financial relief, but they are equally interested in getting a player(s) back who could help them at some point. I’m going to suggest they kick in 5M next season and 5M the following season, so the receiving team pays 13M this season, 13.5M next, and a 5M buyout if they want out after that.
Padres- They are going to have trouble swinging this. They seem like they are trying to trade players already that they like and need, just to save money. Their system is already barren. If they were willing to take that much of the contract I would be looking for left-handed pitcher Kash Mayfield or infielder Kale Fountain.

Rangers- I would ask for right-handers Cade Scarborough and Alejandro Rosario. Rosario won’t pitch this season as he recovers from TJ surgery.
Diamondbacks- I don’t find a prospect that would match up well with Contreras.
Mets and Red Sox- They have prospects, but I don’t know which ones would be a good return for Contreras.

Best fit- Texas. Their window will close soon. They have enough money to pay the contract, enough interesting pitchers to make it happen, and enough competitive fire to pull the trigger.

Alejandro Rosario #6
Rosario operated at 94-98 mph and reached 100 with his fastball in 2024, and he found more success blasting it by hitters at the letters in pro ball than he did sinking it down in the zone in college. His 88-92 mph splitter was a swing-and-miss pitch with devastating tumble and run at its best last year. He has scrapped the curveball and cutter he toyed with at Miami to focus on an 83-85 mph slider that shows flashes of giving him a third plus offering.

After Rosario turned pro, the Rangers moved him to the third-base side of the rubber and had him keep his delivery closed longer to hide the ball better from hitters. He also creates some deception with his flat approach angle and his new mechanics have allowed him to pound the strike zone after he battled his control and command with the Hurricanes. Before he got hurt, he once again looked like the pitcher who intrigued scouts in high school and has the upside of a frontline starter.

Cade Scarborough #8
Very much a work in progress, Scarborough can touch 96 mph with his fastball in the first inning and then top out at 93 in the second. If he adds velocity as expected once he fills out his lanky 6-foot-5 frame, he could have a special heater because his mechanics create a great deal of carry and armside run. He entered pro ball with a soft mid-70s curveball that needs more power, and Texas had him focus instead on a low-80s slider last summer.
Good thoughts. Thanks. What about trying to get either Dominguez or Jones from the Yankees? How would you approach the Yankees about that regarding offering Contreras?
I don't think you can touch either one of those guys for Contreras. Not even with including money.
You can probably see that I'm trying to figure out how Bloom can trade for an upgrade in the Cardinals outfield.
A worthy endeavor. We need improvement. To get what we need there, we probably have to trade Donovan, Burleson, or Nootbaar.

Re: What might a Contreras trade look like?

Posted: 16 Dec 2025 16:49 pm
by Shady
Talkin' Baseball wrote: 16 Dec 2025 16:36 pm
Shady wrote: 16 Dec 2025 16:34 pm
Talkin' Baseball wrote: 16 Dec 2025 15:37 pm
Shady wrote: 16 Dec 2025 15:36 pm
Talkin' Baseball wrote: 16 Dec 2025 15:27 pm
Shady wrote: 16 Dec 2025 15:22 pm
Talkin' Baseball wrote: 16 Dec 2025 15:01 pm
Shady wrote: 16 Dec 2025 14:53 pm
Talkin' Baseball wrote: 16 Dec 2025 14:44 pm
Shady wrote: 16 Dec 2025 14:39 pm
Talkin' Baseball wrote: 16 Dec 2025 14:07 pm
Shady wrote: 16 Dec 2025 14:01 pm

I'm not sure which teams Contreras would accept a trade to. Are you ? You must have an idea if you have a "quality post loaded". Go for it.
Only Willson knows for sure. After you.
Teams that might possibly be looking for help at 1B. From my source, "Clubs like the Pirates, Twins, Nationals, Guardians, and Diamondbacks are among those most likely seeking upgrades or depth at the position".
Of those, which ones might Willson agree to go to, how much money would the Cardinals send, and who might we want back?
Frankly, I don't see any of those teams being attractive to Contreras.
Then what might a trade for Contreras look like?
I understand the Yankees might be interested in trading for Contreras. If Contreras would be interested. Maybe Bloom should inquire about getting either Dominguez or Jones in return. If they turn down a 1 for 1. Which they probably would. Then see if they would be interested in the Cardinals paying a certain part of Contreras' remaining salary. Or maybe offer Arenado and some salary relief as part of a deal.
Thanks Shady.
I’ll start with this; I am aware of what BTV says about Willson’s contract, and I disagree. I’ve outlined the details of that in other posts. I won’t go into all of that today unless someone wants me to. The Contreras contract in my view is about even, meaning it is a good reflection of how the marketplace values that type of production at that position. You can move a contract like that without taking on the money if that is your goal, but you get little in return if that is the route you take. The more money you take on, the better the player return is.

I have no idea geographically, or by ballpark, where Willson Contreras wants to play, so I’ll just assume his primary constraint is that he would only go to a contender. Which contenders need a first baseman? The San Diego Padres, Texas Rangers, Arizona Diamondbacks, Boston Red Sox, and still the New York Mets.

What the Padres, Rangers, and Diamondbacks have in common is that they are trying to build a contender while also cutting their overall payroll. Footing the bill for some of Willson’s salary would have huge appeal for them. All 5 teams might also have a level of interest in Contreras as a backup catcher.

I’m assuming from the Cardinals point of view this is not a straight salary dump. Yes, they would be glad for the financial relief, but they are equally interested in getting a player(s) back who could help them at some point. I’m going to suggest they kick in 5M next season and 5M the following season, so the receiving team pays 13M this season, 13.5M next, and a 5M buyout if they want out after that.
Padres- They are going to have trouble swinging this. They seem like they are trying to trade players already that they like and need, just to save money. Their system is already barren. If they were willing to take that much of the contract I would be looking for left-handed pitcher Kash Mayfield or infielder Kale Fountain.

Rangers- I would ask for right-handers Cade Scarborough and Alejandro Rosario. Rosario won’t pitch this season as he recovers from TJ surgery.
Diamondbacks- I don’t find a prospect that would match up well with Contreras.
Mets and Red Sox- They have prospects, but I don’t know which ones would be a good return for Contreras.

Best fit- Texas. Their window will close soon. They have enough money to pay the contract, enough interesting pitchers to make it happen, and enough competitive fire to pull the trigger.

Alejandro Rosario #6
Rosario operated at 94-98 mph and reached 100 with his fastball in 2024, and he found more success blasting it by hitters at the letters in pro ball than he did sinking it down in the zone in college. His 88-92 mph splitter was a swing-and-miss pitch with devastating tumble and run at its best last year. He has scrapped the curveball and cutter he toyed with at Miami to focus on an 83-85 mph slider that shows flashes of giving him a third plus offering.

After Rosario turned pro, the Rangers moved him to the third-base side of the rubber and had him keep his delivery closed longer to hide the ball better from hitters. He also creates some deception with his flat approach angle and his new mechanics have allowed him to pound the strike zone after he battled his control and command with the Hurricanes. Before he got hurt, he once again looked like the pitcher who intrigued scouts in high school and has the upside of a frontline starter.

Cade Scarborough #8
Very much a work in progress, Scarborough can touch 96 mph with his fastball in the first inning and then top out at 93 in the second. If he adds velocity as expected once he fills out his lanky 6-foot-5 frame, he could have a special heater because his mechanics create a great deal of carry and armside run. He entered pro ball with a soft mid-70s curveball that needs more power, and Texas had him focus instead on a low-80s slider last summer.
Good thoughts. Thanks. What about trying to get either Dominguez or Jones from the Yankees? How would you approach the Yankees about that regarding offering Contreras?
I don't think you can touch either one of those guys for Contreras. Not even with including money.
You can probably see that I'm trying to figure out how Bloom can trade for an upgrade in the Cardinals outfield.
A worthy endeavor. We need improvement. To get what we need there, we probably have to trade Donovan, Burleson, or Nootbaar.
I feel one of the young catchers, Crooks or Bernal, might help get that outfield help in a trade.

Re: What might a Contreras trade look like?

Posted: 17 Dec 2025 06:45 am
by WLTFE
NYCardsFan wrote: 16 Dec 2025 16:17 pm
Cranny wrote: 16 Dec 2025 16:15 pm
NYCardsFan wrote: 16 Dec 2025 16:10 pm
Shady wrote: 16 Dec 2025 15:27 pm
rage-STL wrote: 16 Dec 2025 15:13 pm Texas Rangers receive:
Willson Contreras - 1B/DH
Nolan Arrenado - 3B
$15M cash

St Louis Cardinals receive:
Josh Jung - 3B
Kumar Rocker - RHP
David Davalillo - RHP (#7 prospect)

Full disclosure; I have no idea if this is a realistic trade proposal, but someone had to throw something out there :D
That's an interesting, creative proposal. That might be the kind of proposal that could get the Yankees interested in making a deal returning an outfielder and pitcher to the Cardinals.
Image
Constant put downs of other posters is petty and plebian.
I’m “criticizing the post, not the poster,” just like you sanctimoniously and hypocritically lectured us all to do.
🤣🤣🤣wow...you might have shut him up and I didnt think that was possible!

Re: What might a Contreras trade look like?

Posted: 17 Dec 2025 06:47 am
by AnExParrot
sikeston bulldog2 wrote: 16 Dec 2025 12:26 pm
Shady wrote: 16 Dec 2025 12:24 pm
Talkin' Baseball wrote: 16 Dec 2025 11:36 am I share my trade outlooks pretty freely on here, and it's an interestng question, but this time you go first- what do you think a Contreras trade might look like?
What are some teams that might have an oversupply of young outfielders? And could use a veteran 1B or even catcher. That's who I'd be contacting.
Every team already knows this data; and huge amounts more about each and every player. There are no secrets at this point.
Yehbut, Shady doesn't. So, he's fishing for ideas for a thread(s) he will regurgitate several times over the next day/week/month/year.

Re: What might a Contreras trade look like?

Posted: 17 Dec 2025 07:14 am
by OldRed
Shady wrote: 16 Dec 2025 11:24 am Money sent, if any at all, and player/players returned. Any chance to get a fairly young, productive MLB outfielder for him? Maybe an upgrade over Nootbaar.
I would think it would be a pitcher, one who can eat some innings.

Re: What might a Contreras trade look like?

Posted: 17 Dec 2025 07:29 am
by scoutyjones2
Shady wrote: 16 Dec 2025 11:24 am Money sent, if any at all, and player/players returned. Any chance to get a fairly young, productive MLB outfielder for him? Maybe an upgrade over Nootbaar.
Shut up Bobo

Re: What might a Contreras trade look like?

Posted: 17 Dec 2025 08:57 am
by Adam2
Shady wrote: 16 Dec 2025 12:24 pm
Talkin' Baseball wrote: 16 Dec 2025 11:36 am I share my trade outlooks pretty freely on here, and it's an interestng question, but this time you go first- what do you think a Contreras trade might look like?
What are some teams that might have an oversupply of young outfielders? Including at the AAA level. And could use a veteran 1B or even a catcher. That's who I'd be contacting.
He asked for your opinion/projection. What do you think a trade might look like? Include the team and the specific prospect/prospects

Re: What might a Contreras trade look like?

Posted: 17 Dec 2025 09:28 am
by Talkin' Baseball
Adam2 wrote: 17 Dec 2025 08:57 am
Shady wrote: 16 Dec 2025 12:24 pm
Talkin' Baseball wrote: 16 Dec 2025 11:36 am I share my trade outlooks pretty freely on here, and it's an interestng question, but this time you go first- what do you think a Contreras trade might look like?
What are some teams that might have an oversupply of young outfielders? Including at the AAA level. And could use a veteran 1B or even a catcher. That's who I'd be contacting.
He asked for your opinion/projection. What do you think a trade might look like? Include the team and the specific prospect/prospects
In fairness, he mentioned the Yankees and either Dominguez or Spencer Jones.

Re: What might a Contreras trade look like?

Posted: 17 Dec 2025 11:05 am
by Shady
I've seen some chatter about the possibility of Contreras going to the Guardians. I'm not sure if he'd waive his NTC for that. If he did, what would be a fair return from the Guardians for Contreras ? How about outfielder, Chase DeLauter, their #2 prospect?

Re: What might a Contreras trade look like?

Posted: 17 Dec 2025 11:10 am
by Talkin' Baseball
Shady wrote: 17 Dec 2025 11:05 am I've seen some chatter about the possibility of Contreras going to the Guardians. I'm not sure if he'd waive his NTC for that. If he did, what would be a fair return from the Guardians for Contreras ?
I should have included the Guardians on my list of contenders needing a 1B. How about Contreras + 10M in return for Khal Stephen?

Re: What might a Contreras trade look like?

Posted: 17 Dec 2025 11:14 am
by Shady
Talkin' Baseball wrote: 17 Dec 2025 11:10 am
Shady wrote: 17 Dec 2025 11:05 am I've seen some chatter about the possibility of Contreras going to the Guardians. I'm not sure if he'd waive his NTC for that. If he did, what would be a fair return from the Guardians for Contreras ?
I should have included the Guardians on my list of contenders needing a 1B. How about Contreras + 10M in return for Khal Stephen?
Wonder if Jace LaViolette is available.

Re: What might a Contreras trade look like?

Posted: 17 Dec 2025 13:34 pm
by zuck698
Shady wrote: 17 Dec 2025 11:14 am
Talkin' Baseball wrote: 17 Dec 2025 11:10 am
Shady wrote: 17 Dec 2025 11:05 am I've seen some chatter about the possibility of Contreras going to the Guardians. I'm not sure if he'd waive his NTC for that. If he did, what would be a fair return from the Guardians for Contreras ?
I should have included the Guardians on my list of contenders needing a 1B. How about Contreras + 10M in return for Khal Stephen?
Wonder if Jace LaViolette is available.
See you have been hitting it hard Shady! Great thinking! :roll:
https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/201069