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Re: Interesting game today - Liberatore
Posted: 11 Jun 2025 18:03 pm
by NYCardsFan
An Old Friend wrote: ↑11 Jun 2025 17:53 pm
NYCardsFan wrote: ↑11 Jun 2025 17:45 pm
An Old Friend wrote: ↑11 Jun 2025 17:21 pm
Brandon Kiley reported he was 91-92 today. Saw a couple of posts from the Ninja

with an 81 MPH breaker and 89 MPH cutter for Ks. I assume his velo was down or waned, again?
10 day IL to skip a start should be a no brainer, no idea what they’re doing.
FB velo was down just a tick, but didn't look like anything major:
Pitch/MPH/Yr.avg/+/-
4-seam: 93.8/94.3/-0.5
CB: 77.9/77.7/+0.2
CH: 89.1/88.8/+0.3
Cut: 90.2/90.2/0.0
SL: 86.7/86.4/+0.3
2-seam: 93.8/94.2/-0.4
Biggest difference appeared to be pitch mix: more CB (23%) and fewer cutters (13%) and sliders (12%), all to RHH. He has skewed more heavily toward the harder CU/SL combo (37.8% combined) and away from the slow CB (11.2%) this year, especially against RHH, but today was a different story for whatever reason. With the Blue Jays' all-RH lineup today, I would have expected a lot more CU/SL and less CB.
Thanks. I never know whether or not to believe Kiley. I suppose we don't have inning by inning FB velocity.
4-seam:
5th inning: 92.4
4th inning: 92.2
3rd Inning: 94.4
2nd Inning: 94.9
1st inning: 94.9
Re: Interesting game today - Liberatore
Posted: 11 Jun 2025 18:07 pm
by An Old Friend
NYCardsFan wrote: ↑11 Jun 2025 18:03 pm
An Old Friend wrote: ↑11 Jun 2025 17:53 pm
NYCardsFan wrote: ↑11 Jun 2025 17:45 pm
An Old Friend wrote: ↑11 Jun 2025 17:21 pm
Brandon Kiley reported he was 91-92 today. Saw a couple of posts from the Ninja

with an 81 MPH breaker and 89 MPH cutter for Ks. I assume his velo was down or waned, again?
10 day IL to skip a start should be a no brainer, no idea what they’re doing.
FB velo was down just a tick, but didn't look like anything major:
Pitch/MPH/Yr.avg/+/-
4-seam: 93.8/94.3/-0.5
CB: 77.9/77.7/+0.2
CH: 89.1/88.8/+0.3
Cut: 90.2/90.2/0.0
SL: 86.7/86.4/+0.3
2-seam: 93.8/94.2/-0.4
Biggest difference appeared to be pitch mix: more CB (23%) and fewer cutters (13%) and sliders (12%), all to RHH. He has skewed more heavily toward the harder CU/SL combo (37.8% combined) and away from the slow CB (11.2%) this year, especially against RHH, but today was a different story for whatever reason. With the Blue Jays' all-RH lineup today, I would have expected a lot more CU/SL and less CB.
Thanks. I never know whether or not to believe Kiley. I suppose we don't have inning by inning FB velocity.
4-seam:
5th inning: 92.4
4th inning: 92.2
3rd Inning: 94.4
2nd Inning: 94.9
1st inning: 94.9
Thanks.
Yeah, he needs a break. Where do you source this? I used to look at Brooks Baseball but that was always day after data.
Re: Interesting game today - Liberatore
Posted: 11 Jun 2025 18:34 pm
by scoutyjones2
JohnnyMO wrote: ↑11 Jun 2025 11:01 am
Libby pitched 86 innings last year mostly an inning or two at a time. He’s a couple starts away from that total now. This shouldn’t have been hard to see coming, but the Cardinals apparently had no plan for load management.
That's what she said...
Re: Interesting game today - Liberatore
Posted: 11 Jun 2025 18:44 pm
by NYCardsFan
An Old Friend wrote: ↑11 Jun 2025 18:07 pm
NYCardsFan wrote: ↑11 Jun 2025 18:03 pm
An Old Friend wrote: ↑11 Jun 2025 17:53 pm
NYCardsFan wrote: ↑11 Jun 2025 17:45 pm
An Old Friend wrote: ↑11 Jun 2025 17:21 pm
Brandon Kiley reported he was 91-92 today. Saw a couple of posts from the Ninja

with an 81 MPH breaker and 89 MPH cutter for Ks. I assume his velo was down or waned, again?
10 day IL to skip a start should be a no brainer, no idea what they’re doing.
FB velo was down just a tick, but didn't look like anything major:
Pitch/MPH/Yr.avg/+/-
4-seam: 93.8/94.3/-0.5
CB: 77.9/77.7/+0.2
CH: 89.1/88.8/+0.3
Cut: 90.2/90.2/0.0
SL: 86.7/86.4/+0.3
2-seam: 93.8/94.2/-0.4
Biggest difference appeared to be pitch mix: more CB (23%) and fewer cutters (13%) and sliders (12%), all to RHH. He has skewed more heavily toward the harder CU/SL combo (37.8% combined) and away from the slow CB (11.2%) this year, especially against RHH, but today was a different story for whatever reason. With the Blue Jays' all-RH lineup today, I would have expected a lot more CU/SL and less CB.
Thanks. I never know whether or not to believe Kiley. I suppose we don't have inning by inning FB velocity.
4-seam:
5th inning: 92.4
4th inning: 92.2
3rd Inning: 94.4
2nd Inning: 94.9
1st inning: 94.9
Thanks.
Yeah, he needs a break. Where do you source this? I used to look at Brooks Baseball but that was always day after data.
Inning-by-inning is just Savant pitch data with manual calculation of averages.
Re: Interesting game today - Liberatore
Posted: 11 Jun 2025 19:08 pm
by ScotchMIrish
NYCardsFan wrote: ↑11 Jun 2025 17:45 pm
An Old Friend wrote: ↑11 Jun 2025 17:21 pm
Brandon Kiley reported he was 91-92 today. Saw a couple of posts from the Ninja

with an 81 MPH breaker and 89 MPH cutter for Ks. I assume his velo was down or waned, again?
10 day IL to skip a start should be a no brainer, no idea what they’re doing.
FB velo was down just a tick, but didn't look like anything major:
Pitch/MPH/Yr.avg/+/-
4-seam: 93.8/94.3/-0.5
CB: 77.9/77.7/+0.2
CH: 89.1/88.8/+0.3
Cut: 90.2/90.2/0.0
SL: 86.7/86.4/+0.3
2-seam: 93.8/94.2/-0.4
Biggest difference appeared to be pitch mix: more CB (23%) and fewer cutters (13%) and sliders (12%), all to RHH. He has skewed more heavily toward the harder CU/SL combo (37.8% combined) and away from the slow CB (11.2%) this year, but today was a different story for whatever reason. With the Blue Jays' all-RH lineup, I would have expected a lot more CU/SL and less CB.
Is that about the same as he was throwing earlier in the season?
Toronto can hit. Not a great start but could have been worse.
Re: Interesting game today - Liberatore
Posted: 11 Jun 2025 23:53 pm
by ilcubuffs
Post game interview said everything was fine. Felt good, etc. No need to worry the Best Minds in MLB are monitoring his situation.
“Felt better physically today,” Liberatore said. “Shapes, bends, everything felt like it was in a much better spot today. So, feel confident in that moving forward.”
While Liberatore’s four-seam fastball velocity dipped as low as 91.3 after starting in the mid-90’s, it was still a far cry from dropping as low as 89.5 in his last outing.
“It was still [about] average velo over the course of the entire outing,” Cardinals manager Oliver Marmol said. “It was still better than last time. He felt much better, so that's a plus. So, him coming out of this outing feeling positive ... just physically getting through that outing, we're in a good spot.”
Of course the fact the Cards lost the game, were swept by Blue Jays, and losing home stand record was never important enough to be mentioned.
Re: Interesting game today - Liberatore
Posted: 12 Jun 2025 12:40 pm
by tyanl
Looks to me he’s not moving forward toward the batter when he follows through, stays upright.