GDT : Cardinals vs Brewers (5/4) ~ 6:45pm CDT

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11WSChamps
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Re: GDT : Cardinals vs Brewers (5/4) ~ 6:45pm CDT

Post by 11WSChamps »

No way O'Brien should have had to be used tonight.

Winning with this bullpen is not sustainable.
ramfandan
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Re: GDT : Cardinals vs Brewers (5/4) ~ 6:45pm CDT

Post by ramfandan »

11WSChamps wrote: 04 May 2026 22:50 pm No way O'Brien should have had to be used tonight.

Winning with this bullpen is not sustainable.
My opinion is that O'Brien did not have to be used tonight.
Cardinals led by 3 runs with one out and a runner on 1st base.
The mathematical odds of the Brewers winning that game were 1.5% Below is the MLB Gameday in that situation.

Brice Turang homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Jackson Chourio scores.
MIL 3,STL 6
MILwin probability:1.5%(0.8)

So no Oli did not have to use O'Brien as the odds were overwhelmingly in his favor to still win the game.
I believe Oli wanted to play it very safe by putting in his closer. If by that 1.5% , that 1 or 2 games in 100 that the Brewers would take the lead thern Oli gets 2nd guessed up the kazoo. So he played it super cautious . I don't blame him as A. it was a divisional game B. the first game of the series he wants to win to enhance his chances of winning the series .
11WSChamps
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Posts: 6564
Joined: 23 May 2024 13:35 pm

Re: GDT : Cardinals vs Brewers (5/4) ~ 6:45pm CDT

Post by 11WSChamps »

ramfandan wrote: 05 May 2026 00:37 am
11WSChamps wrote: 04 May 2026 22:50 pm No way O'Brien should have had to be used tonight.

Winning with this bullpen is not sustainable.
My opinion is that O'Brien did not have to be used tonight.
Cardinals led by 3 runs with one out and a runner on 1st base.
The mathematical odds of the Brewers winning that game were 1.5% Below is the MLB Gameday in that situation.

Brice Turang homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Jackson Chourio scores.
MIL 3,STL 6
MILwin probability:1.5%(0.8)

So no Oli did not have to use O'Brien as the odds were overwhelmingly in his favor to still win the game.
I believe Oli wanted to play it very safe by putting in his closer. If by that 1.5% , that 1 or 2 games in 100 that the Brewers would take the lead thern Oli gets 2nd guessed up the kazoo. So he played it super cautious . I don't blame him as A. it was a divisional game B. the first game of the series he wants to win to enhance his chances of winning the series .
Look beyond the obvious in how folks debate here.

This has nothing to do with Oli.

It's about the personnel in the bullpen and how he should have never had to make that decision.