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Re: Baseball Prospectus PECOTA Standings 66 Wins--I can't get over this one and I'm sure you've already seen it.
Posted: 12 Feb 2026 07:05 am
by Ronnie Dobbs
The usual haters now now taking PECOTA predictions very seriously.
Re: Baseball Prospectus PECOTA Standings 66 Wins--I can't get over this one and I'm sure you've already seen it.
Posted: 12 Feb 2026 07:10 am
by scoutyjones2
Bully4you wrote: ↑12 Feb 2026 01:08 am
66 Wins y'all.
Just 66 wins are projected.
I'm sure you've seen this.
We have some on here that are clouded into thinking this team is better than last year.
I think that is 2nd worst projected, just ahead of Colorado.
But, according to Bloom, we are going to be competitive in 2026?
Bloom the Gaslighter.
https://www.baseballprospectus.com/standings/
How horrible for you.
I hope you're seeing a professional to work thru this painful moment.
Re: Baseball Prospectus PECOTA Standings 66 Wins--I can't get over this one and I'm sure you've already seen it.
Posted: 12 Feb 2026 07:31 am
by jcgmoi
PECOTA predictions
Projections, not predictions. They don't have a crystal ball.
Pecota projects the Cards have one chance in 500 in making the playoffs, so there's that.
At a glance BP's rankings match up well with Fangraphs'. That's not surprising since they're using the same inputs and essentially the same methodology but it's a nice sanity check that their system hasn't gone nuts.
Re: Baseball Prospectus PECOTA Standings 66 Wins--I can't get over this one and I'm sure you've already seen it.
Posted: 12 Feb 2026 07:35 am
by ramfandan
Nice to know that PECOTA projects 66 wins this year. At least , I don't have to watch the Cardinals losing 100 games on TV. Whew !
Re: Baseball Prospectus PECOTA Standings 66 Wins--I can't get over this one and I'm sure you've already seen it.
Posted: 12 Feb 2026 07:43 am
by 3dender
I don't blame any projections this year... this offense has a huge delta of possible outcomes. The pitching has a relatively high floor of like 5-6 runs/game at worst, but the offense could be absolutely putrid if e.g. Walker/Gorman/Scott still suck, and maybe JJ scuffles a bit more than expected.
Re: Baseball Prospectus PECOTA Standings 66 Wins--I can't get over this one and I'm sure you've already seen it.
Posted: 12 Feb 2026 07:51 am
by CCard
Bully4you wrote: ↑12 Feb 2026 01:08 am
66 Wins y'all.
Just 66 wins are projected.
I'm sure you've seen this.
We have some on here that are clouded into thinking this team is better than last year.
I think that is 2nd worst projected, just ahead of Colorado.
But, according to Bloom, we are going to be competitive in 2026?
Bloom the Gaslighter.
https://www.baseballprospectus.com/standings/
Just way too many question marks. Too many unproven pitchers. Too weak of an offense. They may not be figuring in the impact of a Wetherholt but he might be good enough to get them close to 70 wins, but then again, if he fails...ugh! If things go right maybe they look at 70ish wins, but if things go wrong it could be a historic season.
Re: Baseball Prospectus PECOTA Standings 66 Wins--I can't get over this one and I'm sure you've already seen it.
Posted: 12 Feb 2026 07:53 am
by CCard
Ronnie Dobbs wrote: ↑12 Feb 2026 07:05 am
The usual haters now now taking PECOTA predictions very seriously.
Well, there's some on here who think this team will finish .500, to us realists that seems like some strong kool-aid.
Re: Baseball Prospectus PECOTA Standings 66 Wins--I can't get over this one and I'm sure you've already seen it.
Posted: 12 Feb 2026 08:20 am
by NYCardsFan
mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑12 Feb 2026 06:18 am
70-92, and a little of that maybe due to if they sell some more at the trading deadline.
You’re in good company—after the Donovan trade, the O/U lines are down -2 wins:
O/U (previous)
Draftkings: 69.5 (71.5)
Caesars: 70.5 (72.5)
Rivers: 69.5 (71.5)
Re: Baseball Prospectus PECOTA Standings 66 Wins--I can't get over this one and I'm sure you've already seen it.
Posted: 12 Feb 2026 08:22 am
by 45s
Seems a little high
Re: Baseball Prospectus PECOTA Standings 66 Wins--I can't get over this one and I'm sure you've already seen it.
Posted: 12 Feb 2026 08:26 am
by sikeston bulldog2
NYCardsFan wrote: ↑12 Feb 2026 08:20 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑12 Feb 2026 06:18 am
70-92, and a little of that maybe due to if they sell some more at the trading deadline.
You’re in good company—after the Donovan trade, the O/U lines are down -2 wins:
O/U (previous)
Draftkings: 69.5 (71.5)
Caesars: 70.5 (72.5)
Rivers: 69.5 (71.5)
I’d worry more about these odds than Pecota. These dudes know their stuff.
Re: Baseball Prospectus PECOTA Standings 66 Wins--I can't get over this one and I'm sure you've already seen it.
Posted: 12 Feb 2026 08:29 am
by Ozziesfan41
BrockFloodMaris wrote: ↑12 Feb 2026 04:04 am
Cardinals1964 wrote: ↑12 Feb 2026 02:24 am
Bully4you wrote: ↑12 Feb 2026 01:08 am
66 Wins y'all.
Just 66 wins are projected.
I'm sure you've seen this.
We have some on here that are clouded into thinking this team is better than last year.
I think that is 2nd worst projected, just ahead of Colorado.
But, according to Bloom, we are going to be competitive in 2026?
Bloom the Gaslighter.
https://www.baseballprospectus.com/standings/
Why do you care? Would 77 make you feel better? What about 81? Would that make you feel like a winner? Get a different hobby if you can’t deal wit th a few down years.
Bully is a charter member of the short attention span club. They are only interested with the 2026 MLB W/L record. Nothing else matters, except the 2026 MLB payroll. Any number below $170M will result in extreme outrage and wailing about DeWallet.
The new regime's cleanup and reinvestment in development means zero to this bunch. We may need to call the waaambulance.
If pectoa had predicted them for 82 wins he would be saying it’s stupid and pointing out the truth that pecota is frequently wrong. But since it aligns with something he believes he references it like well pecota said they will win 66 games that’s how many games they will win
Re: Baseball Prospectus PECOTA Standings 66 Wins--I can't get over this one and I'm sure you've already seen it.
Posted: 12 Feb 2026 08:56 am
by Ronnie Dobbs
CCard wrote: ↑12 Feb 2026 07:53 am
Ronnie Dobbs wrote: ↑12 Feb 2026 07:05 am
The usual haters now now taking PECOTA predictions very seriously.
Well, there's some on here who think this team will finish .500, to us realists that seems like some strong kool-aid.
People can think over they want. I don't care one way or the other if they think the team is better or worse.
My point is that a bunch of people who usually (bleep) on these kind of projections when they are halfway decent all of a sudden are now touting them because they are bad.
Re: Baseball Prospectus PECOTA Standings 66 Wins--I can't get over this one and I'm sure you've already seen it.
Posted: 12 Feb 2026 09:35 am
by HOUCARD
Bully4you wrote: ↑12 Feb 2026 01:08 am
66 Wins y'all.
Just 66 wins are projected.
I'm sure you've seen this.
We have some on here that are clouded into thinking this team is better than last year.
I think that is 2nd worst projected, just ahead of Colorado.
But, according to Bloom, we are going to be competitive in 2026?
Bloom the Gaslighter.
https://www.baseballprospectus.com/standings/
It's possible to compete and still lose 96 games. I don't care if it's 66 wins or 72: It's still a lot.
Re: Baseball Prospectus PECOTA Standings 66 Wins--I can't get over this one and I'm sure you've already seen it.
Posted: 12 Feb 2026 09:50 am
by Pura Vida
45s wrote: ↑12 Feb 2026 08:22 am
Seems a little high
LOL...thx, I needed that!
Re: Baseball Prospectus PECOTA Standings 66 Wins--I can't get over this one and I'm sure you've already seen it.
Posted: 12 Feb 2026 10:14 am
by rockondlouie
PECOTA has almost always been wrong on the Cardinals
I've ignored their lame predictions for years.
BIG time take the over
Re: Baseball Prospectus PECOTA Standings 66 Wins--I can't get over this one and I'm sure you've already seen it.
Posted: 12 Feb 2026 10:30 am
by Midrange Jay
rockondlouie wrote: ↑12 Feb 2026 10:14 am
PECOTA has almost always been wrong on the Cardinals
I've ignored their lame predictions for years.
BIG time take the over
They seem pretty close the last 2 years.
https://www.thescore.com/mlb/news/3210667
https://www.vivaelbirdos.com/2024/2/11 ... ls-in-2024