Re: After 3 awful years now the cards want to rebuild lol
Posted: 04 Dec 2025 09:09 am
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You beat me to it lol it took MVP caliber seasons from goldy and arenado and a magical second half run frommattmitchl44 wrote: ↑04 Dec 2025 08:39 amI'd point out that 2022, when both Arenado at age 31 (7.2 fWAR) and Goldschmidt at age 34 (6.8 fWAR) had outlier "career years" (along with Pujols' unexpected contributions) to carry the team to maybe six more regular seasons wins than expected, was the season that came out of nowhere.ecleme22 wrote: ↑04 Dec 2025 08:31 am2023: came out of nowhere
2024: actually competed, but couldn’t make up for the regressions of JW, NA and PG.
2025: only signed Maton. Sell off at the deadline.
The cards already started a rebuild about a year ago.
But since offseason 2022 (three years ago), the team has only given up two draft picks (WC, SG), but have accumulated a lot since then.
And if they trade WC, then those draft picks they gave up will be a wash.
Meaning they have only accumulated prospects the last three years.
2023, if we consider Arenado going from 4.3 fWAR in 2021 to 2.7 fWAR in 2023 and Goldschmidt going from 4.8 fWAR in 2021 to 3.4 fWAR in 2023, was actually more predictable.
The Cardinals convinced themselves that all could be made right in 2024 instead of selling off heavily in 2023 like they should have.
Yeah - it is somewhat scary that the CT faction that insists that the Cardinals should "just" go sign Valdez, Schwarber, etc. and "try to compete" in 2026 don't see that that is the same, failed strategy they tried in 2024, 2025, etc. when they didn't have an adequate foundation of young talent then either.Ozziesfan41 wrote: ↑04 Dec 2025 09:21 amYou beat me to it lol it took MVP caliber seasons from goldy and arenado and a magical second half run frommattmitchl44 wrote: ↑04 Dec 2025 08:39 amI'd point out that 2022, when both Arenado at age 31 (7.2 fWAR) and Goldschmidt at age 34 (6.8 fWAR) had outlier "career years" (along with Pujols' unexpected contributions) to carry the team to maybe six more regular seasons wins than expected, was the season that came out of nowhere.ecleme22 wrote: ↑04 Dec 2025 08:31 am2023: came out of nowhere
2024: actually competed, but couldn’t make up for the regressions of JW, NA and PG.
2025: only signed Maton. Sell off at the deadline.
The cards already started a rebuild about a year ago.
But since offseason 2022 (three years ago), the team has only given up two draft picks (WC, SG), but have accumulated a lot since then.
And if they trade WC, then those draft picks they gave up will be a wash.
Meaning they have only accumulated prospects the last three years.
2023, if we consider Arenado going from 4.3 fWAR in 2021 to 2.7 fWAR in 2023 and Goldschmidt going from 4.8 fWAR in 2021 to 3.4 fWAR in 2023, was actually more predictable.
The Cardinals convinced themselves that all could be made right in 2024 instead of selling off heavily in 2023 like they should have.
Pujols in 2022 pujols was gone in 2023 and there was very little chance arenado and goldy would have repeat seasons like that so I expected a big drop off and then 2024 lol signing Gibson and Lynn anyone who looked at the team objectively knew those weren’t moves that were going to win anything it was just another desperate attempt to sustain mediocrity then 2025 mo doubled down on dumb by not trading Fedde and helsley in the off season in a desperate attempt to throw a Hail Mary then predictably when that stupidity failed had to dump Fedde for nothing and sell lower on helsley
Along those lines…mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑04 Dec 2025 08:46 amWhile true, many of the same CT posters who complain about a rebuild now would have burning effigies of Mozeliak if he had dared to trade away "their stars" - Goldschmidt, Arenado, Contreras, etc. - in 2023 instead of "trying to compete" in 2024.
I'd argue that trading for Arenado in 2020 was part of the problem. The team probably should have been rebuilt before Ozuna and before Fowler. Each of those moves was part of the patch-up-and-delay-the-inevitable problem.mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑04 Dec 2025 08:22 am They kept trying to patch the ML roster to "compete" (what many here continue to call for) until they just couldn't any longer.
As noted long ago, they should have traded Goldschmidt and Arenado at back in July 2023 and started the rebuild at that point.
And BDW could have fired Mo a full year earlier effective immediately when he decided to install Bloom instead of giving him a wasted year of runway. That handling was a massive missed opportunity.
Hopefully, I've still got plenty of years, but some of us will be dead before then. The average age on this board is not favorable.Red Bird Classic wrote: ↑04 Dec 2025 11:02 amI'd argue that trading for Arenado in 2020 was part of the problem. The team probably should have been rebuilt before Ozuna and before Fowler. Each of those moves was part of the patch-up-and-delay-the-inevitable problem.mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑04 Dec 2025 08:22 am They kept trying to patch the ML roster to "compete" (what many here continue to call for) until they just couldn't any longer.
As noted long ago, they should have traded Goldschmidt and Arenado at back in July 2023 and started the rebuild at that point.
But all that is ancient history. Hopefully the FO will proceed now at full speed with a rebuild and the team can win a WS before we're all dead.
Just being loyal to a long time friend who had helped bring winning seasons for many years.
Two factors play into the timing. 1. Billy made the move once attendance dropped. Proves he is only concerned about the $ at this point. And 2. John Mozeliak was an inept POBO who didn't know how to change strategy. His career was built on the work of others. He was clueless about talent evaluation and worthless at fixing the real issues. Thankfully, DeWitt was smart enough to let Bloom orchestrate the rebuild.
You and Mr. DeWitt?Cranny wrote: ↑04 Dec 2025 11:28 amJust being loyal to a long time friend who had helped bring winning seasons for many years.
Thats a false narrative that there weren't any other options than cheap c r a p.mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑04 Dec 2025 09:08 amThey got Gray going into 2024, which was very much NOT a cheap patch. Once that - along with still having to pay Arenado, Goldschmidt, Contreras, Mikolas, etc., there was no other serious option than some "cheaper patching" for the many other inadequacies on the roster.Cardinals4Life wrote: ↑04 Dec 2025 09:04 amNo. The problem wasn't "patching". Teams always have to do this. The problem was cheap patching. Period.mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑04 Dec 2025 08:22 am They kept trying to patch the ML roster to "compete" (what many here continue to call for) until they just couldn't any longer.
As noted long ago, they should have traded Goldschmidt and Arenado at back in July 2023 and started the rebuild at that point.
When they had like $100, $110, etc. million tied up in five players, not a lot of flexibility in filling out the other 21.Cardinals4Life wrote: ↑04 Dec 2025 12:11 pmThats a false narrative that there weren't any other options than cheap c r a p.mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑04 Dec 2025 09:08 amThey got Gray going into 2024, which was very much NOT a cheap patch. Once that - along with still having to pay Arenado, Goldschmidt, Contreras, Mikolas, etc., there was no other serious option than some "cheaper patching" for the many other inadequacies on the roster.Cardinals4Life wrote: ↑04 Dec 2025 09:04 amNo. The problem wasn't "patching". Teams always have to do this. The problem was cheap patching. Period.mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑04 Dec 2025 08:22 am They kept trying to patch the ML roster to "compete" (what many here continue to call for) until they just couldn't any longer.
As noted long ago, they should have traded Goldschmidt and Arenado at back in July 2023 and started the rebuild at that point.
I think he was referring to BDWJr being loyal to Mo.OldRed wrote: ↑04 Dec 2025 12:05 pmYou and Mr. DeWitt?Cranny wrote: ↑04 Dec 2025 11:28 amJust being loyal to a long time friend who had helped bring winning seasons for many years.