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Re: Sell or hold
Posted: 19 Oct 2025 13:10 pm
by mattmitchl44
Regarding Nootbaar, if the Cardinals had an exciting, ML-ready OF prospect or two, you could make a case for moving on from Nootbaar to give them playing time in 2026. But, if they trade Donovan for value and make room for Burleson to move to 1B, the Cardinals have:
Walker
Scott
Nootbaar
Church
with not much behind them. For a team going nowhere in 2026, trading Nootbaar for nothing and signing a cheap FA OF on a 1-year deal doesn't make much sense, and the Cardinals are not likely going to invest big in any FA OF this offseason (nor should they).
Maybe if they get ML-ready OF prospects when they move Gray, Arenado, Contreras, Donovan, etc., they include Nootbaar. But otherwise they might as well play Nootbaar and hope he has a healthy bounce back year and is maybe worth something at the trade deadline.
Re: Sell or hold
Posted: 19 Oct 2025 13:12 pm
by mattmitchl44
kyace wrote: ↑19 Oct 2025 13:01 pm
Nootbaar has to go. Yes, this MAY be the year he stays healthy and becomes a star player. This is his appeal. However history has shown he is most likely to underperform or is hurt at the deadline like this past year. At that point come next off season he’s a possible non tender guy.
If they can get a decent return they need to move him. Some team now will still dream on the potential and offer a decent return.
I think it has reached a point where it is in all best interest to move him.
If a team in a rebuilding mode like the Cardinals are moving on from Nootbaar after the year he had in 2025, no team is going to feel compelled to offer them a decent return.
Re: Sell or hold
Posted: 19 Oct 2025 13:33 pm
by kyace
mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑19 Oct 2025 13:12 pm
kyace wrote: ↑19 Oct 2025 13:01 pm
Nootbaar has to go. Yes, this MAY be the year he stays healthy and becomes a star player. This is his appeal. However history has shown he is most likely to underperform or is hurt at the deadline like this past year. At that point come next off season he’s a possible non tender guy.
If they can get a decent return they need to move him. Some team now will still dream on the potential and offer a decent return.
I think it has reached a point where it is in all best interest to move him.
If a team in a rebuilding mode like the Cardinals are moving on from Nootbaar after the year he had in 2025, no team is going to feel compelled to offer them a decent return.
A team that views him as a complimentary piece will. They will view it as a gamble worth taking. Say you don’t trade him and Noot has a great start next year and is the most popular player and best player on the team do you dare trade him at the trade deadline? How will the fans view that? Many will be demanding he be extended. I just think the demand will be there and he will be moved this offseason.
Re: Sell or hold
Posted: 19 Oct 2025 13:42 pm
by mattmitchl44
kyace wrote: ↑19 Oct 2025 13:33 pm
mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑19 Oct 2025 13:12 pm
kyace wrote: ↑19 Oct 2025 13:01 pm
Nootbaar has to go. Yes, this MAY be the year he stays healthy and becomes a star player. This is his appeal. However history has shown he is most likely to underperform or is hurt at the deadline like this past year. At that point come next off season he’s a possible non tender guy.
If they can get a decent return they need to move him. Some team now will still dream on the potential and offer a decent return.
I think it has reached a point where it is in all best interest to move him.
If a team in a rebuilding mode like the Cardinals are moving on from Nootbaar after the year he had in 2025, no team is going to feel compelled to offer them a decent return.
A team that views him as a complimentary piece will. They will view it as a gamble worth taking.
Say you don’t trade him and Noot has a great start next year and is the most popular player and best player on the team do you dare trade him at the trade deadline? How will the fans view that? Many will be demanding he be extended. I just think the demand will be there and he will be moved this offseason.
If you don't trade him and he gets off to a great start in 2026, that's a GOOD problem to have. You figure it out at that point whether you want to trade him for value in 2026 to offer him contract to make him part of the team for another 3-4 years.
If I were running the team, it wouldn't be based on how the fans "feel" at that point. It would be based on what is best for the long term competitiveness of the team.
Re: Sell or hold
Posted: 19 Oct 2025 13:43 pm
by Youboughtit
mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑19 Oct 2025 08:49 am
Gray - sell - Eat some salary if necessary to maximized getting prospect value back from a team looking to contend in 2026.
Arenado - sell - Same
Contreras - sell - Same
Donovan - sell - At least shop him to sell what teams are willing to give. More valuable to a contender than to the Cardinals in 2026 (and probably 2027).
Pages/Crooks - sell - Shop one of the catchers with Bernal and Rodriguez coming.
Winn - hold - Offer a longer term extension to try to lock him up through age 30.
Burleson - hold - Needs to find a home at 1B if Contreras is moved. Could even offer him a low $ longer term extension (4 yrs./$18 million, $4.5M AAV).
Herrera - hold - May not find a position, but his bat is interesting enough as a DH to keep. Could even offer him a low $ longer term extension (5 yrs./$25 million, $5M AAV).
Nootbaar - hold - Coming off his worst ML season, it would probably be selling low to move him this offseason. Give him a chance to reestablish himself in 2026 before making a decision.
Walker - hold - Same
Gorman - hold- Same
So you’re brining back everyone from the worst offensive OF in baseball? Good plan.
Re: Sell or hold
Posted: 19 Oct 2025 13:44 pm
by rockondlouie
mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑19 Oct 2025 13:10 pm
Regarding Nootbaar, if the Cardinals had an exciting, ML-ready OF prospect or two, you could make a case for moving on from Nootbaar to give them playing time in 2026. But, if they trade Donovan for value and make room for Burleson to move to 1B, the Cardinals have:
Walker
Scott
Nootbaar
Church
with not much behind them. For a team going nowhere in 2026, trading Nootbaar for nothing and signing a cheap FA OF on a 1-year deal doesn't make much sense, and the Cardinals are not likely going to invest big in any FA OF this offseason (nor should they).
Maybe if they get ML-ready OF prospects when they move Gray, Arenado, Contreras, Donovan, etc., they include Nootbaar. But otherwise they might as well play Nootbaar and hope he has a healthy bounce back year and is maybe worth something at the trade deadline.
I'd add A. Burleson to that list of OF'ers since I think WillyC will still be here.
At -3 DRS Bumbles was better than J. Walker at -11 DRS.
(Both were -4 OAA)
As for Noot, when healthy he does bring a solid career .341 OB% and a .747 OPS, he's not the "bum" some in this thread think.
No way I just give Noot away, the return would have to be strong for me to move him.
And no way I want a 2026 OF of Church-VSII-Walker which might be the worst hitting OF in Cardinals history.

Re: Sell or hold
Posted: 19 Oct 2025 13:45 pm
by mattmitchl44
Youboughtit wrote: ↑19 Oct 2025 13:43 pm
mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑19 Oct 2025 08:49 am
Gray - sell - Eat some salary if necessary to maximized getting prospect value back from a team looking to contend in 2026.
Arenado - sell - Same
Contreras - sell - Same
Donovan - sell - At least shop him to sell what teams are willing to give. More valuable to a contender than to the Cardinals in 2026 (and probably 2027).
Pages/Crooks - sell - Shop one of the catchers with Bernal and Rodriguez coming.
Winn - hold - Offer a longer term extension to try to lock him up through age 30.
Burleson - hold - Needs to find a home at 1B if Contreras is moved. Could even offer him a low $ longer term extension (4 yrs./$18 million, $4.5M AAV).
Herrera - hold - May not find a position, but his bat is interesting enough as a DH to keep. Could even offer him a low $ longer term extension (5 yrs./$25 million, $5M AAV).
Nootbaar - hold - Coming off his worst ML season, it would probably be selling low to move him this offseason. Give him a chance to reestablish himself in 2026 before making a decision.
Walker - hold - Same
Gorman - hold- Same
So you’re brining back everyone from the worst offensive OF in baseball? Good plan.
I'm not concerned about 2026. I'm concerned about building the organization for 2, 3, 5 years down the line.
Re: Sell or hold
Posted: 19 Oct 2025 14:53 pm
by Goldfan
mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑19 Oct 2025 11:05 am
JohnnyMO wrote: ↑19 Oct 2025 09:59 am
Goldfan wrote: ↑19 Oct 2025 09:18 am
rockondlouie wrote: ↑19 Oct 2025 09:13 am
Goldfan wrote: ↑19 Oct 2025 09:08 am
rockondlouie wrote: ↑19 Oct 2025 09:03 am
Gray - Trade
NADO- Trade
Donovan - Trade (C. Bloom's best trade piece)
Pages/Pozo - Trade (toss in, no value as stand alone's)
Contreras - hold (possible midseason trade)
Winn - hold (no long term deal until after the 2026 season)
Burleson - hold (no extension)
Herrera - hold (if he stays healthy and has a good year, then lock him up w/an extension after the new CBA is ratified)
Noot - hold (needed if Walker starts at Memphis where he belongs, midseason trade candidate?)
VSII - hold
Crooks - hold until one of the better prospects is ready
Gorman - hold (IF NADO is dealt, then he's OD 3rd baseman. IF NADO is still here-unlikely-then DH)
Saggese - hold, possible secondary part in any trade
Walker - AAA
Gorman, Walker, Noot should not be on the ML club. Suck the life out of the lineup. Call up a Kid, trade for a bat, just about any other option than watching those 3 underperform another year. Team need to stop with this “tryout philosophy” on the ML club…..HOPING that low talent somehow miraculously become a viable player. There is no upside here.
-Walker absolutely needs to start at Memphis.
-Gorman will be here unless both NADO and Donny aren't dealt (highly unlikely), I see Gorman being the OD 3rd baseman.
I'm not an anti-Noot guy GF, just frustrated like everyone w/his inability to stay healthy.
Right now you're getting pennies on the dollar back in value for him if he's dealt (Walker has very little trade value, Gorman just a bit more).
If Noot gets off to a hot start, then he'd be a solid mid season trade candidate unless the Cardinals are surprising us and in the race for the NLC.
JMO
I’m in the “turn the page” mode. Mo gone……and all his mistakes should be too. Again, theres no upside with those guys. Bring in fresh face
To say no upside on Walker is nuts at his age / experience. Gorman has done it before so we know he has upside. Noot is the only one a reasonable person could say lacks upside.
Do they need to be starting in the big leagues? Should they be traded? Those are questions worth debating. But upside is there.
Yeah, in 2023:
Nootbaar (age 25), .261/.367/.418, 3.1 fWAR in 503 PA
Gorman (age 23), .236/.328/.478, 2.3 fWAR in 464 PA
Walker (age 21), .273/.342/.455, 1.0 fWAR in 465 PA (pulled down by his defense in RF)
They looked like three future starters for years.
They may not recapture that productivity, but to say there is "no upside" or "no rebound potential" is overstating it.
Yall are funny and apparently with short memories
Can you post the “good” years for TO, Carlson, and PDJ while you’re at it
The league has figured out Gorman and Walker and they haven’t been able to adjust…..2023…..what happened to ‘24, ‘25?? It’s ‘26 next year.
So if you thing you’re going to get something out of Noot, Gorman, Walker then lets bring back TO, Carlson, PDJ…..they MIGHT have a good month or 2 as well.
Re: Sell or hold
Posted: 19 Oct 2025 15:11 pm
by Jatalk
mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑19 Oct 2025 08:49 am
Gray - sell - Eat some salary if necessary to maximized getting prospect value back from a team looking to contend in 2026.
Arenado - sell - Same
Contreras - sell - Same
Donovan - sell - At least shop him to sell what teams are willing to give. More valuable to a contender than to the Cardinals in 2026 (and probably 2027).
Pages/Crooks - sell - Shop one of the catchers with Bernal and Rodriguez coming.
Winn - hold - Offer a longer term extension to try to lock him up through age 30.
Burleson - hold - Needs to find a home at 1B if Contreras is moved. Could even offer him a low $ longer term extension (4 yrs./$18 million, $4.5M AAV).
Herrera - hold - May not find a position, but his bat is interesting enough as a DH to keep. Could even offer him a low $ longer term extension (5 yrs./$25 million, $5M AAV).
Nootbaar - hold - Coming off his worst ML season, it would probably be selling low to move him this offseason. Give him a chance to reestablish himself in 2026 before making a decision.
Walker - hold - Same
Gorman - hold- Same
Can’t really judge your list without knowing return for sell players. The exception is Arenado. Definite sell. And probably at catcher. Don’t agree on Gorman and Walker. I’ve seen enough.
Re: Sell or hold
Posted: 19 Oct 2025 15:14 pm
by Goldfan
Gorman
‘24
.203, .271, .400,.671
‘25
.205, .296, .370, .666
And y’all want to stick this below avg defender at 3b a whole season???
Walker
‘24
.201, .253, .366, .619
‘25
.215, .278, .306, .584
And these 2 look like MLers who you want on your team???
Fine kick Walker down and don’t think about seeing him again until he produces AT LEAST a year of AAA excellence.
Re: Sell or hold
Posted: 19 Oct 2025 15:35 pm
by opti mist
mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑19 Oct 2025 13:10 pm
Regarding Nootbaar, if the Cardinals had an exciting, ML-ready OF prospect or two, you could make a case for moving on from Nootbaar to give them playing time in 2026. But, if they trade Donovan for value and make room for Burleson to move to 1B, the Cardinals have:
Walker
Scott
Nootbaar
Church
with not much behind them. For a team going nowhere in 2026, trading Nootbaar for nothing and signing a cheap FA OF on a 1-year deal doesn't make much sense, and the Cardinals are not likely going to invest big in any FA OF this offseason (nor should they).
Maybe if they get ML-ready OF prospects when they move Gray, Arenado, Contreras, Donovan, etc., they include Nootbaar. But otherwise they might as well play Nootbaar and hope he has a healthy bounce back year and is maybe worth something at the trade deadline.
This was a lot of my thought also. If you trade all those on the list, how do you field a major league team? You don't want to repeat the mistakes of promoting players who are not ready, so who plays? Cardinals may trade Gray and Arenado but that will be $$ decisions. This rebuild is going to take serious time.
Opti
Re: Sell or hold
Posted: 19 Oct 2025 16:11 pm
by CCard
LOL...Trade your best pitcher and your best power bat. Brilliant. Go back to the strato-matic and play the gm game. To win you don't subtract from the on field talent, you add to it. Get a pitcher that you can put beside Gray. You know, a 1-2 punch for the rotation that gives them a fighting chance. Trim Noot, possibly Arenado and maybe Donny. Get a big bat for left field and see what happens. Also, this bullpen has to be better, devote some serious dollars to it. My only problem with trading Arenado would be that Gorman really didn't look good at the corner when I saw him. Donny doesn't have the power for 3rd base so who does that leave? The philosophy that mitch loves is to trade everyone away and play AAA players. A sure recipe for disaster. Scott and Walker should get better. If they don't....well...you probably are going to have a hole then. Burleson should be DH, especially against righty's. Herrera belongs behind the plate and could DH against tough lefty's that Burleson can't hit well. Ideally they would sign a big bat for left field that could take pressure off of Walker, Scott and Gorman. The usual formula is to have power at the corners and defense up the middle. We have the defense but are sorely lacking in the power dept. But....without a pitching upgrade it won't really matter.
Re: Sell or hold
Posted: 19 Oct 2025 17:07 pm
by Dewey Kuey
mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑19 Oct 2025 08:49 am
Gray - sell - Eat some salary if necessary to maximized getting prospect value back from a team looking to contend in 2026.
Arenado - sell - Same
Contreras - sell - Same
Donovan - sell - At least shop him to sell what teams are willing to give. More valuable to a contender than to the Cardinals in 2026 (and probably 2027).
Pages/Crooks - sell - Shop one of the catchers with Bernal and Rodriguez coming.
Winn - hold - Offer a longer term extension to try to lock him up through age 30.
Burleson - hold - Needs to find a home at 1B if Contreras is moved. Could even offer him a low $ longer term extension (4 yrs./$18 million, $4.5M AAV).
Herrera - hold - May not find a position, but his bat is interesting enough as a DH to keep. Could even offer him a low $ longer term extension (5 yrs./$25 million, $5M AAV).
Nootbaar - hold - Coming off his worst ML season, it would probably be selling low to move him this offseason. Give him a chance to reestablish himself in 2026 before making a decision.
Walker - hold - Same
Gorman - hold- Same
I think that is a good plan. As you said these older players who won't fit into the plan 2-3 years down the road need to go now if Bloom can deal them. A lot of people on here can not accept the fact that this team is going to basically suck again in 2026.
I tend to agree with you on most points. My feelings is with you on Nootbaar. Give him a chance to have a few good months then trade him. What we might disagree on is, I feel the same way about Gorman. If he has a good first half he should go also. Walker I would give one more year here.
Re: Sell or hold
Posted: 19 Oct 2025 17:22 pm
by Hoosier59
CCard wrote: ↑19 Oct 2025 16:11 pm
LOL...Trade your best pitcher and your best power bat. Brilliant. Go back to the strato-matic and play the gm game. To win you don't subtract from the on field talent, you add to it. Get a pitcher that you can put beside Gray. You know, a 1-2 punch for the rotation that gives them a fighting chance. Trim Noot, possibly Arenado and maybe Donny. Get a big bat for left field and see what happens. Also, this bullpen has to be better, devote some serious dollars to it. My only problem with trading Arenado would be that Gorman really didn't look good at the corner when I saw him. Donny doesn't have the power for 3rd base so who does that leave? The philosophy that mitch loves is to trade everyone away and play AAA players. A sure recipe for disaster. Scott and Walker should get better. If they don't....well...you probably are going to have a hole then. Burleson should be DH, especially against righty's. Herrera belongs behind the plate and could DH against tough lefty's that Burleson can't hit well. Ideally they would sign a big bat for left field that could take pressure off of Walker, Scott and Gorman. The usual formula is to have power at the corners and defense up the middle. We have the defense but are sorely lacking in the power dept. But....without a pitching upgrade it won't really matter.
I don’t understand this “ he doesn’t have even power to play 3rd base “ stuff!
If Wetherholt were to play 3rd base and Donovan 2nd, would you still have a problem?
Donovan hits in the clutch, hits for a high average, and gets on base well, but….he doesn’t hit enough home runs to play 3rd base? To me that’s not very logical, especially if the lack of power is made up at another position.
Re: Sell or hold
Posted: 19 Oct 2025 22:39 pm
by Cardinals4Life
CCard wrote: ↑19 Oct 2025 16:11 pm
LOL...Trade your best pitcher and your best power bat. Brilliant. Go back to the strato-matic and play the gm game. To win you don't subtract from the on field talent, you add to it. Get a pitcher that you can put beside Gray. You know, a 1-2 punch for the rotation that gives them a fighting chance. Trim Noot, possibly Arenado and maybe Donny. Get a big bat for left field and see what happens. Also, this bullpen has to be better, devote some serious dollars to it. My only problem with trading Arenado would be that Gorman really didn't look good at the corner when I saw him. Donny doesn't have the power for 3rd base so who does that leave? The philosophy that mitch loves is to trade everyone away and play AAA players. A sure recipe for disaster. Scott and Walker should get better. If they don't....well...you probably are going to have a hole then. Burleson should be DH, especially against righty's. Herrera belongs behind the plate and could DH against tough lefty's that Burleson can't hit well. Ideally they would sign a big bat for left field that could take pressure off of Walker, Scott and Gorman. The usual formula is to have power at the corners and defense up the middle. We have the defense but are sorely lacking in the power dept. But....without a pitching upgrade it won't really matter.
Mostly agree, CCard.
Keep Gray. Add a top pitcher via FA to pair with him. Follow that with Liberatore and McGreevy and make a trade for a #3 type arm.
Start Walker in AAA and let him find some success before coming back up. If that takes all year, so be it.
Trade Nado (time to move on). Trade Noot. Donovan, maybe? Good player, but maybe he can help us get that #3 pitcher.
Gorman, in my opinion, doesn’t have what it takes.
Go sign Eugenio Suarez.
Leave Winn, Scott and add JJW up the middle, with Herrera behind the dish.
Go get a thumper for corner OF.
Wetherholt 2B
Herrera C
Contreras 1B
Suarez 3B
Corner OFer???
Burleson DH
Winn SS
Church RF
Scott CF
Re: Sell or hold
Posted: 20 Oct 2025 07:40 am
by mattmitchl44
CCard wrote: ↑19 Oct 2025 16:11 pm
LOL...Trade your best pitcher and your best power bat. Brilliant. Go back to the strato-matic and play the gm game. To win you don't subtract from the on field talent, you add to it. Get a pitcher that you can put beside Gray. You know, a 1-2 punch for the rotation that gives them a fighting chance. Trim Noot, possibly Arenado and maybe Donny. Get a big bat for left field and see what happens. Also, this bullpen has to be better, devote some serious dollars to it. My only problem with trading Arenado would be that Gorman really didn't look good at the corner when I saw him. Donny doesn't have the power for 3rd base so who does that leave? The philosophy that mitch loves is to trade everyone away and play AAA players. A sure recipe for disaster. Scott and Walker should get better. If they don't....well...you probably are going to have a hole then. Burleson should be DH, especially against righty's. Herrera belongs behind the plate and could DH against tough lefty's that Burleson can't hit well. Ideally they would sign a big bat for left field that could take pressure off of Walker, Scott and Gorman. The usual formula is to have power at the corners and defense up the middle. We have the defense but are sorely lacking in the power dept. But....without a pitching upgrade it won't really matter.
And then when that doesn't get you anywhere in 2026, you:
(1) Failed to get as much in prospects for Gray, Contreras, etc. when you could.
(2) Handcuffed yourself to new, expensive, long term contracts for a SP and OF who may well be bad contracts when you are ready to compete again in 3, 4, 5 years.