netboy65 wrote: ↑20 Jun 2025 11:42 am
rbirules wrote: ↑19 Jun 2025 18:47 pm
Are we overlooking how much control McDavid has over the situation with his NMC? He can veto not only any destination, but any
deal. If he says he's not signing an extension he can say I'll accept a deal to one of these teams (1, 2, 3, 5, 10, etc.) or else I'll go for it one last year here and sign wherever I want in 12 months.
This destroys leverage for the Oilers. Why would he agree to a trade where the team he wants to join just lost several of the reasons he wanted to go there (good players)? He wouldn't, or rather couldn't if he didn't want to. As a one year rental he's worth a couple of firsts and a good prospect or two. Rantanen returned Necas and a 1st, IIRC. But he had a limited no trade list. But with a full NMC McDavid can drive the price down some more if he wants to.
It's not gonna cost Thomas, Snuggerud, a few 1sts, and another player because he wouldn't want to come here anymore. Same for any team he would want to go to. He certainly has value in 25/26 at $12.5M instead of waiting 12 months but, again, he can suppress that value with his NMC (if he wants to).
True enough, but I don’t think it would be “where ever he wants” Only the bottom feeders typically have the cap space, certainly not major contenders.
His cap hit for 25/26 is
only $12.5M. That certainly excludes some contenders going after him but not all. Also those contenders could send contracts back in a trade. For example, the Blues have about $11.5M in cap space, once you account for Krug on LTIR, with only Hofer to sign. It wouldn't take much to clear a few million to be able to take on McDavid's cap hit. Or you have the Oilers retain a portion of it. The Kings could probably pretty easily absorb his cap hit, the Canes definitely could. The Leafs could probably do it but they'd have to fill out the rest of the roster on the cheap . . . or exactly what they've been doing for years now. Utah could do it. Columbus could probably do it as well. Vancouver wouldn't have to do too much to make it work. Obviously Chicago and Nashville could do it, but why would McDavid want to go to either . . . right now.
Obviously if he expressed an interest to go to a particular team, I'm sure that team, those teams on the list, would explore every option to see if they could make it work from a roster and cap perspective.
I think the Blues are actually positioned better than most teams for a situation like that in terms of cap space with few holes to fill (i.e. don't need cap for a lot of other signings), a contender or close to it (I would say we're a contender if you magically add McDavid to our roster and take away very little), and have picks or prospects that we could trade without horribly messing up our core (assuming McDavid uses his leverage to make sure the team doesn't gut their roster to get him).