Seattle

Welcome to STLtoday.com's forum for fans of the St. Louis Cardinals.

Moderators: STLtoday Forum Moderators, Cards Talk Moderators

Cardinals1964
Forum User
Posts: 2816
Joined: 12 May 2024 02:13 am
Location: St. Louis

Re: Seattle

Post by Cardinals1964 »

JohnnyMO wrote: 28 Jul 2026 10:47 am
rockondlouie wrote: 28 Jul 2026 10:38 am
JohnnyMO wrote: 28 Jul 2026 09:36 am
rockondlouie wrote: 28 Jul 2026 08:45 am
JohnnyMO wrote: 27 Jul 2026 15:05 pm
rockondlouie wrote: 27 Jul 2026 14:41 pm I wouldn't trade I. Herrera unless the return was a major league, near FOTR starter with three years of control.

Cardinals finally have an all star DH, not willing to give him away for prospects.
You may as well say you wouldn’t trade Herrera at all because that is way too much. There is no rumored available top of the rotation starter with 3 years of control. The closest is Joe Ryan who only has one year of control and his trade value is currently about three times Herrera’s.

That’s just way way too much to expect from IH. Being named an all star replacement because he was the best player from a list of poor options that had enough at bats as DH doesn’t suddenly triple his value.
Okay

I wouldn't trade Herrera at all :mrgreen:

Prior to this season he was a mid 120's wRC+, that has great value!

Now you may think he didn't deserve it but he's also now an all-star DH, that too adds value.

And of curse I said "near FOTR starter" (re: a low level #2), didn't say "FOTR" starter (re: #1). :wink:

I wouldn't deal him for anything less pitching wise.
It absolutely does not. Not a single team is going to pay a dime more for a player because they were an all star.
Your opinion and always respect it JMo
Respect to you too. Can we at least agree those Seattle dogs are delicious?
Maybe somebody could look up Herrera’s trade value before and after the All-Star game. I bet it hasn’t changed either.
JuanAgosto
Forum User
Posts: 8130
Joined: 01 Jul 2021 21:30 pm

Re: Seattle

Post by JuanAgosto »

Cardinals1964 wrote: 28 Jul 2026 12:21 pm
JohnnyMO wrote: 28 Jul 2026 10:47 am
rockondlouie wrote: 28 Jul 2026 10:38 am
JohnnyMO wrote: 28 Jul 2026 09:36 am
rockondlouie wrote: 28 Jul 2026 08:45 am
JohnnyMO wrote: 27 Jul 2026 15:05 pm
rockondlouie wrote: 27 Jul 2026 14:41 pm I wouldn't trade I. Herrera unless the return was a major league, near FOTR starter with three years of control.

Cardinals finally have an all star DH, not willing to give him away for prospects.
You may as well say you wouldn’t trade Herrera at all because that is way too much. There is no rumored available top of the rotation starter with 3 years of control. The closest is Joe Ryan who only has one year of control and his trade value is currently about three times Herrera’s.

That’s just way way too much to expect from IH. Being named an all star replacement because he was the best player from a list of poor options that had enough at bats as DH doesn’t suddenly triple his value.
Okay

I wouldn't trade Herrera at all :mrgreen:

Prior to this season he was a mid 120's wRC+, that has great value!

Now you may think he didn't deserve it but he's also now an all-star DH, that too adds value.

And of curse I said "near FOTR starter" (re: a low level #2), didn't say "FOTR" starter (re: #1). :wink:

I wouldn't deal him for anything less pitching wise.
It absolutely does not. Not a single team is going to pay a dime more for a player because they were an all star.
Your opinion and always respect it JMo
Respect to you too. Can we at least agree those Seattle dogs are delicious?
Maybe somebody could look up Herrera’s trade value before and after the All-Star game. I bet it hasn’t changed either.
Why don't you look it up? Not smart enough?
RunSup
Forum User
Posts: 4038
Joined: 07 Dec 2022 19:08 pm

Re: Seattle

Post by RunSup »

JuanAgosto wrote: 28 Jul 2026 12:32 pm
Cardinals1964 wrote: 28 Jul 2026 12:21 pm
JohnnyMO wrote: 28 Jul 2026 10:47 am
rockondlouie wrote: 28 Jul 2026 10:38 am
JohnnyMO wrote: 28 Jul 2026 09:36 am
rockondlouie wrote: 28 Jul 2026 08:45 am
JohnnyMO wrote: 27 Jul 2026 15:05 pm
rockondlouie wrote: 27 Jul 2026 14:41 pm I wouldn't trade I. Herrera unless the return was a major league, near FOTR starter with three years of control.

Cardinals finally have an all star DH, not willing to give him away for prospects.
You may as well say you wouldn’t trade Herrera at all because that is way too much. There is no rumored available top of the rotation starter with 3 years of control. The closest is Joe Ryan who only has one year of control and his trade value is currently about three times Herrera’s.

That’s just way way too much to expect from IH. Being named an all star replacement because he was the best player from a list of poor options that had enough at bats as DH doesn’t suddenly triple his value.
Okay

I wouldn't trade Herrera at all :mrgreen:

Prior to this season he was a mid 120's wRC+, that has great value!

Now you may think he didn't deserve it but he's also now an all-star DH, that too adds value.

And of curse I said "near FOTR starter" (re: a low level #2), didn't say "FOTR" starter (re: #1). :wink:

I wouldn't deal him for anything less pitching wise.
It absolutely does not. Not a single team is going to pay a dime more for a player because they were an all star.
Your opinion and always respect it JMo
Respect to you too. Can we at least agree those Seattle dogs are delicious?
Maybe somebody could look up Herrera’s trade value before and after the All-Star game. I bet it hasn’t changed either.
Why don't you look it up? Not smart enough?
Are BTV's behind a paywall now? I gave up going to a BTV site that wanted subscriptions. Maybe that was a scam link.
Futuregm2
Forum User
Posts: 9138
Joined: 23 May 2024 13:18 pm

Re: Seattle

Post by Futuregm2 »

RunSup wrote: 28 Jul 2026 12:35 pm
JuanAgosto wrote: 28 Jul 2026 12:32 pm
Cardinals1964 wrote: 28 Jul 2026 12:21 pm
JohnnyMO wrote: 28 Jul 2026 10:47 am
rockondlouie wrote: 28 Jul 2026 10:38 am
JohnnyMO wrote: 28 Jul 2026 09:36 am
rockondlouie wrote: 28 Jul 2026 08:45 am
JohnnyMO wrote: 27 Jul 2026 15:05 pm
rockondlouie wrote: 27 Jul 2026 14:41 pm I wouldn't trade I. Herrera unless the return was a major league, near FOTR starter with three years of control.

Cardinals finally have an all star DH, not willing to give him away for prospects.
You may as well say you wouldn’t trade Herrera at all because that is way too much. There is no rumored available top of the rotation starter with 3 years of control. The closest is Joe Ryan who only has one year of control and his trade value is currently about three times Herrera’s.

That’s just way way too much to expect from IH. Being named an all star replacement because he was the best player from a list of poor options that had enough at bats as DH doesn’t suddenly triple his value.
Okay

I wouldn't trade Herrera at all :mrgreen:

Prior to this season he was a mid 120's wRC+, that has great value!

Now you may think he didn't deserve it but he's also now an all-star DH, that too adds value.

And of curse I said "near FOTR starter" (re: a low level #2), didn't say "FOTR" starter (re: #1). :wink:

I wouldn't deal him for anything less pitching wise.
It absolutely does not. Not a single team is going to pay a dime more for a player because they were an all star.
Your opinion and always respect it JMo
Respect to you too. Can we at least agree those Seattle dogs are delicious?
Maybe somebody could look up Herrera’s trade value before and after the All-Star game. I bet it hasn’t changed either.
Why don't you look it up? Not smart enough?
Are BTV's behind a paywall now? I gave up going to a BTV site that wanted subscriptions. Maybe that was a scam link.
Yea they are, I stopped using them when they did that, too.
JohnnyMO
Forum User
Posts: 1190
Joined: 23 May 2024 13:17 pm

Re: Seattle

Post by JohnnyMO »

His BTV peaked before the break at 16 and has fallen slightly post asg to 15.8.

Looking at mlb proven ace or number two type pitchers wit three plus years of control they tend to be anywhere from 3 to 5 times more valuable than IH. If you believe btv is relatively accurate and I do.
Adam2
Forum User
Posts: 1621
Joined: 26 Jun 2024 11:40 am

Re: Seattle

Post by Adam2 »

cardinalsfever44 wrote: 27 Jul 2026 12:51 pm It's wild that we could be selling off to a team like Seattle that is currently 52-54 and 1.5 games worse than we are on the season. What is going on in the AL and how is a team with as much talent as Seattle has 52-54?
Cal Raleigh is hitting below .170. unreal
JuanAgosto
Forum User
Posts: 8130
Joined: 01 Jul 2021 21:30 pm

Re: Seattle

Post by JuanAgosto »

JuanAgosto wrote: 28 Jul 2026 12:32 pm
Cardinals1964 wrote: 28 Jul 2026 12:21 pm
JohnnyMO wrote: 28 Jul 2026 10:47 am
rockondlouie wrote: 28 Jul 2026 10:38 am
JohnnyMO wrote: 28 Jul 2026 09:36 am
rockondlouie wrote: 28 Jul 2026 08:45 am
JohnnyMO wrote: 27 Jul 2026 15:05 pm
rockondlouie wrote: 27 Jul 2026 14:41 pm I wouldn't trade I. Herrera unless the return was a major league, near FOTR starter with three years of control.

Cardinals finally have an all star DH, not willing to give him away for prospects.
You may as well say you wouldn’t trade Herrera at all because that is way too much. There is no rumored available top of the rotation starter with 3 years of control. The closest is Joe Ryan who only has one year of control and his trade value is currently about three times Herrera’s.

That’s just way way too much to expect from IH. Being named an all star replacement because he was the best player from a list of poor options that had enough at bats as DH doesn’t suddenly triple his value.
Okay

I wouldn't trade Herrera at all :mrgreen:

Prior to this season he was a mid 120's wRC+, that has great value!

Now you may think he didn't deserve it but he's also now an all-star DH, that too adds value.

And of curse I said "near FOTR starter" (re: a low level #2), didn't say "FOTR" starter (re: #1). :wink:

I wouldn't deal him for anything less pitching wise.
It absolutely does not. Not a single team is going to pay a dime more for a player because they were an all star.
Your opinion and always respect it JMo
Respect to you too. Can we at least agree those Seattle dogs are delicious?
Maybe somebody could look up Herrera’s trade value before and after the All-Star game. I bet it hasn’t changed either.
Why don't you look it up? Not smart enough? Maybe you should proofread your search. Or just make up something false like you typically do. Putz.
JDW
Forum User
Posts: 1835
Joined: 23 May 2024 13:42 pm

Re: Seattle

Post by JDW »

JohnnyMO wrote: 28 Jul 2026 12:45 pm His BTV peaked before the break at 16 and has fallen slightly post asg to 15.8.

Looking at mlb proven ace or number two type pitchers wit three plus years of control they tend to be anywhere from 3 to 5 times more valuable than IH. If you believe btv is relatively accurate and I do.
Before the AS break, Herrera's BTV was +20.9, and like posted above, is now at +15.8

Hit 2 HR's tonight Ivan, and it might be right back up to the +20M range, lol.
JohnnyMO
Forum User
Posts: 1190
Joined: 23 May 2024 13:17 pm

Re: Seattle

Post by JohnnyMO »

JDW wrote: 28 Jul 2026 13:31 pm
JohnnyMO wrote: 28 Jul 2026 12:45 pm His BTV peaked before the break at 16 and has fallen slightly post asg to 15.8.

Looking at mlb proven ace or number two type pitchers wit three plus years of control they tend to be anywhere from 3 to 5 times more valuable than IH. If you believe btv is relatively accurate and I do.
Before the AS break, Herrera's BTV was +20.9, and like posted above, is now at +15.8

Hit 2 HR's tonight Ivan, and it might be right back up to the +20M range, lol.
I didn't remember it getting that high but I'm sure you're right. I'm not sure BTV adjusts that quickly, but I'll take a multi-homer game or two...I have him on my fantasy roster :).
renostl
Forum User
Posts: 4432
Joined: 23 May 2024 12:40 pm

Re: Seattle

Post by renostl »

WaltsSuccessor wrote: 28 Jul 2026 12:07 pm
RunSup wrote: 28 Jul 2026 11:06 am
JDW wrote: 28 Jul 2026 09:46 am So on the BTV site, there's a proposed trade involving; Lazaro Montes +23.1, Emerson Hancock +24.3 and Luis Castillo -16.1 = +31.3 going to the Cardinals.
Montes is similar to our Joshua Baez. Corner OF with plus power.
Emerson Hancock is pitching for Seattle like a No. 2 SP this year. Is he for real, or more like a #3 or 4? Don't know, but looks like a solid SP with control thru 2030.
Luis Castillo has the remaining of this year and next year left on his contract, thus his negative value. He's also not pitching great, but if he can return to previous form, he could be really good. All of a sudden, you have a Castillo, McGreevy, Hancock, Pallante, Mathews and Leahy SP rotation going into 2027. Opens up 1B for Herrera, with possibly Rainiel on the doorstep.
They had the Cards returning Herrera, Mautz, Hjerpe, Padilla, Odle and Hansen. Forget that, instead insert Burleson who all by himself might come close to +31.3. To balance add May, and/or Noot, and/or cash, Idk. Seattle wants to win now with established MLB players helping their 26 man roster.
An outfield of Montes, Baez and Walker might hit 100 HR's a season. Btw, don't ask how many K's that might correlate to.
The Mariners have a really nice starting rotation with Gilbert, Kirby, Woo, Hancock, and Miller. They are in a quandary of go for it or pause and reset for next year.

They have Anderson coming. Sloan behind him. Arroyo just reached AAA. Donovan could/ should be healthy in 2027.

JDW says just buy the Mariners pitching right now. Effectively take them out of the Sell market The Cardinals could turn around and Sell pitching to other contenders.

It might work.
Not sure if this is the move, but I like the thinking. The Cards payroll is so below normal levels that I surely hope they can pull off some maneuver like this to take back an underwater contract (with some bounce back potential) in order to obtain better prospects/players with control in whatever deadline deals they make.

They have the payroll capacity. Use it to our advantage to leverage better deals out of other teams that are desperate to get under the luxury tax or are trying to go for it but can't take on more payroll.
These hypothetical trades usually grow instead of staying simple.

IMO Seattle should sell.

Seattle would trade Castillo for a used donkey. Moving him frees up money to a point
that allows them to go for it again in 2027. They need players that they are committed
to, to produce. Those players repeating 2025 is chasing it with a lot of hope.

If the Cards wanted Hancock and were willing to Take Castillo imo Herrera could get that done
by himself. No idea if either player is desired though.
Talkin' Baseball
Forum User
Posts: 4728
Joined: 11 Feb 2018 12:39 pm

Re: Seattle

Post by Talkin' Baseball »

JohnnyMO wrote: 28 Jul 2026 13:34 pm
JDW wrote: 28 Jul 2026 13:31 pm
JohnnyMO wrote: 28 Jul 2026 12:45 pm His BTV peaked before the break at 16 and has fallen slightly post asg to 15.8.

Looking at mlb proven ace or number two type pitchers wit three plus years of control they tend to be anywhere from 3 to 5 times more valuable than IH. If you believe btv is relatively accurate and I do.
Before the AS break, Herrera's BTV was +20.9, and like posted above, is now at +15.8

Hit 2 HR's tonight Ivan, and it might be right back up to the +20M range, lol.
I didn't remember it getting that high but I'm sure you're right. I'm not sure BTV adjusts that quickly, but I'll take a multi-homer game or two...I have him on my fantasy roster :).
Except in the case of injury, I just don't subscribe to the idea that an experienced player with a track record has a 20% variance in their trade value in a two week span based on performance. Herrera, or anyone else.
JDW
Forum User
Posts: 1835
Joined: 23 May 2024 13:42 pm

Re: Seattle

Post by JDW »

Talkin' Baseball wrote: 28 Jul 2026 13:57 pm
JohnnyMO wrote: 28 Jul 2026 13:34 pm
JDW wrote: 28 Jul 2026 13:31 pm
JohnnyMO wrote: 28 Jul 2026 12:45 pm His BTV peaked before the break at 16 and has fallen slightly post asg to 15.8.

Looking at mlb proven ace or number two type pitchers wit three plus years of control they tend to be anywhere from 3 to 5 times more valuable than IH. If you believe btv is relatively accurate and I do.
Before the AS break, Herrera's BTV was +20.9, and like posted above, is now at +15.8

Hit 2 HR's tonight Ivan, and it might be right back up to the +20M range, lol.
I didn't remember it getting that high but I'm sure you're right. I'm not sure BTV adjusts that quickly, but I'll take a multi-homer game or two...I have him on my fantasy roster :).
Except in the case of injury, I just don't subscribe to the idea that an experienced player with a track record has a 20% variance in their trade value in a two week span based on performance. Herrera, or anyone else.
BTV's are very fluid if you track them weekly. They are also estimates, so one might as well round them off, and only use them as a guide to try and get in the ballpark. Here's one for you, Bobby Witt Jr. was +275.6 just a few weeks ago. Last I saw it last week had dropped to +231.4. Still a crazy high number, but a +40M plus drop, and don't ask me why.
Even after the Cards had missed on trading O'Neill at his peak value, he had rebounded enough for a short period a year or 2 later where it went up to the low +30 range. Then he slumped, and missed some time but it quickly dropped to single digits. Carlson's had a great value (+60's) only to watch it crash. Flaherty had a crazy high BTV (+120) at one time that crashed. IF the Cards had cashed in just at their median type value, instead of their near rock bottom, the Cards likely look a lot better the last few years.
At least the Cards cashed in on Bader to some extent when he was in the +8 range, but he could have brought about 3 times that with better timing.
Futuregm2
Forum User
Posts: 9138
Joined: 23 May 2024 13:18 pm

Re: Seattle

Post by Futuregm2 »

JDW wrote: 28 Jul 2026 15:56 pm
Talkin' Baseball wrote: 28 Jul 2026 13:57 pm
JohnnyMO wrote: 28 Jul 2026 13:34 pm
JDW wrote: 28 Jul 2026 13:31 pm
JohnnyMO wrote: 28 Jul 2026 12:45 pm His BTV peaked before the break at 16 and has fallen slightly post asg to 15.8.

Looking at mlb proven ace or number two type pitchers wit three plus years of control they tend to be anywhere from 3 to 5 times more valuable than IH. If you believe btv is relatively accurate and I do.
Before the AS break, Herrera's BTV was +20.9, and like posted above, is now at +15.8

Hit 2 HR's tonight Ivan, and it might be right back up to the +20M range, lol.
I didn't remember it getting that high but I'm sure you're right. I'm not sure BTV adjusts that quickly, but I'll take a multi-homer game or two...I have him on my fantasy roster :).
Except in the case of injury, I just don't subscribe to the idea that an experienced player with a track record has a 20% variance in their trade value in a two week span based on performance. Herrera, or anyone else.
BTV's are very fluid if you track them weekly. They are also estimates, so one might as well round them off, and only use them as a guide to try and get in the ballpark. Here's one for you, Bobby Witt Jr. was +275.6 just a few weeks ago. Last I saw it last week had dropped to +231.4. Still a crazy high number, but a +40M plus drop, and don't ask me why.
Even after the Cards had missed on trading O'Neill at his peak value, he had rebounded enough for a short period a year or 2 later where it went up to the low +30 range. Then he slumped, and missed some time but it quickly dropped to single digits. Carlson's had a great value (+60's) only to watch it crash. Flaherty had a crazy high BTV (+120) at one time that crashed. IF the Cards had cashed in just at their median type value, instead of their near rock bottom, the Cards likely look a lot better the last few years.
At least the Cards cashed in on Bader to some extent when he was in the +8 range, but he could have brought about 3 times that with better timing.
That’s all assuming that teams want the players at the values they are. Just because a player’s BTV is listed at a certain price, doesn’t mean there are teams interested in said player.
Cardinals1964
Forum User
Posts: 2816
Joined: 12 May 2024 02:13 am
Location: St. Louis

Re: Seattle

Post by Cardinals1964 »

RunSup wrote: 28 Jul 2026 12:35 pm
JuanAgosto wrote: 28 Jul 2026 12:32 pm
Cardinals1964 wrote: 28 Jul 2026 12:21 pm
JohnnyMO wrote: 28 Jul 2026 10:47 am
rockondlouie wrote: 28 Jul 2026 10:38 am
JohnnyMO wrote: 28 Jul 2026 09:36 am
rockondlouie wrote: 28 Jul 2026 08:45 am
JohnnyMO wrote: 27 Jul 2026 15:05 pm
rockondlouie wrote: 27 Jul 2026 14:41 pm I wouldn't trade I. Herrera unless the return was a major league, near FOTR starter with three years of control.

Cardinals finally have an all star DH, not willing to give him away for prospects.
You may as well say you wouldn’t trade Herrera at all because that is way too much. There is no rumored available top of the rotation starter with 3 years of control. The closest is Joe Ryan who only has one year of control and his trade value is currently about three times Herrera’s.

That’s just way way too much to expect from IH. Being named an all star replacement because he was the best player from a list of poor options that had enough at bats as DH doesn’t suddenly triple his value.
Okay

I wouldn't trade Herrera at all :mrgreen:

Prior to this season he was a mid 120's wRC+, that has great value!

Now you may think he didn't deserve it but he's also now an all-star DH, that too adds value.

And of curse I said "near FOTR starter" (re: a low level #2), didn't say "FOTR" starter (re: #1). :wink:

I wouldn't deal him for anything less pitching wise.
It absolutely does not. Not a single team is going to pay a dime more for a player because they were an all star.
Your opinion and always respect it JMo
Respect to you too. Can we at least agree those Seattle dogs are delicious?
Maybe somebody could look up Herrera’s trade value before and after the All-Star game. I bet it hasn’t changed either.
Why don't you look it up? Not smart enough?
Are BTV's behind a paywall now? I gave up going to a BTV site that wanted subscriptions. Maybe that was a scam link.
J(ack) A(ss) that you quoted just keeps dancing. He’s obsessed over me.
JuanAgosto
Forum User
Posts: 8130
Joined: 01 Jul 2021 21:30 pm

Re: Seattle

Post by JuanAgosto »

Cardinals1964 wrote: 28 Jul 2026 16:08 pm
RunSup wrote: 28 Jul 2026 12:35 pm
JuanAgosto wrote: 28 Jul 2026 12:32 pm
Cardinals1964 wrote: 28 Jul 2026 12:21 pm
JohnnyMO wrote: 28 Jul 2026 10:47 am
rockondlouie wrote: 28 Jul 2026 10:38 am
JohnnyMO wrote: 28 Jul 2026 09:36 am
rockondlouie wrote: 28 Jul 2026 08:45 am
JohnnyMO wrote: 27 Jul 2026 15:05 pm
rockondlouie wrote: 27 Jul 2026 14:41 pm I wouldn't trade I. Herrera unless the return was a major league, near FOTR starter with three years of control.

Cardinals finally have an all star DH, not willing to give him away for prospects.
You may as well say you wouldn’t trade Herrera at all because that is way too much. There is no rumored available top of the rotation starter with 3 years of control. The closest is Joe Ryan who only has one year of control and his trade value is currently about three times Herrera’s.

That’s just way way too much to expect from IH. Being named an all star replacement because he was the best player from a list of poor options that had enough at bats as DH doesn’t suddenly triple his value.
Okay

I wouldn't trade Herrera at all :mrgreen:

Prior to this season he was a mid 120's wRC+, that has great value!

Now you may think he didn't deserve it but he's also now an all-star DH, that too adds value.

And of curse I said "near FOTR starter" (re: a low level #2), didn't say "FOTR" starter (re: #1). :wink:

I wouldn't deal him for anything less pitching wise.
It absolutely does not. Not a single team is going to pay a dime more for a player because they were an all star.
Your opinion and always respect it JMo
Respect to you too. Can we at least agree those Seattle dogs are delicious?
Maybe somebody could look up Herrera’s trade value before and after the All-Star game. I bet it hasn’t changed either.
Why don't you look it up? Not smart enough?
Are BTV's behind a paywall now? I gave up going to a BTV site that wanted subscriptions. Maybe that was a scam link.
J(ack) A(ss) that you quoted just keeps dancing. He’s obsessed over me.
Obsessed? No. Just fascinated by how dumb a guy who claims to be smart can actually be.
Cardinals1964
Forum User
Posts: 2816
Joined: 12 May 2024 02:13 am
Location: St. Louis

Re: Seattle

Post by Cardinals1964 »

Dance dummy. I can’t see what you are saying. This will be my last reply to you in any manner whatsoever. I do hope you get help.
If you spend all your waking hours, just waiting to reply to me, there is something definitely missing in your life.
I do wish you the best.
Bye