mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑23 Nov 2025 09:23 am
If you ask me "how far behind where they need to be in having young, cost controlled players on the ML roster to really compete are they?" I would say the "deficit" would be just about exactly:
1) Walker having not developed into the ~4+ fWAR player you could have easily hoped he would be by this time
2) Gorman having not developed into the ~2-3 fWAR player you could have easily hoped he would be by this time, and
3) To a lesser extent Liberatore having not developed into the ~3 fWAR, borderline #2/#3 SP you could have easily hoped he would be by this time
I have thought that something similar to this summary is what represented the drop-off from 2022 to 2023+. I think the organization seriously miscalculated the ability of Walker/Gorman to take up the slack of Pujols (who overperformed to a level the organization couldn't have planned).
2022 gave us career years from Goldschmidt and Arenado, and a lucky season from Albert. Perhaps those things shielded the organization from seeing certain deficiencies. The passing of the baton did not take effect. You could say it was expecting too much too soon to expect Walker (21) and Gorman (23) to take up slack as serious contributors. But, the decline of GoldyNado made their flops that much more pronounced. Contreras was a total success but it wasn't enough to cover for these several grave miscalculations.
I tend to think that the flop of Walker may have been what finally sent the red flags up that there was a serious problem in the Cardinals Player Development. Emperor with pants down moment. It was probably already understood that Mozeliak would be nearing the end of his time as POBO (... I can't remember when exactly they officially announced 2025 would be his last year). But by the end of 2023, anyways, DeWitt had made the decision to bring on Bloom to conduct an entire audit essentially of the Cardinals system. For DeWitt to do this, he had to have realized there was something seriously wrong.
I hold to the idea that DeWitt's decision to bring in Bloom was out of the same spirit that he brought Luhnow on in 2003. The circumstances were similar... in that they were both brought in first in an understudy role with an unnamed position. They were both given time to understand their assignment. Because of this similarity, I keep a candle lit on the notion that perhaps DeWitt still does infact have an inner desire for the team to be successful.
Anyways, to the OP, I sure would love to see Walker still have a chance to become a 30/100 hitter in a Cardinal uniform. Boy, we sure thought that was a lock at one point. And then when Baez comes up you might have a pair of tall, right-handed power-hitting corner outfielders on your hands.