Competing now vs. rebuilding are conflicting goals

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ecleme22
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Re: Competing now vs. rebuilding are conflicting goals

Post by ecleme22 »

45s wrote: 21 Nov 2025 08:30 am
ecleme22 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 07:19 am You can compete now by signing vets to one year deals.

No vet should be picked up by way of trading prospects, nor be the primary return for any of our trades (the exception would be an Arenado for Castellanos deal if Bloom can’t get anything for NA…).


This strategy is pro today and pro rebuild. If the team is out of it, you flip all the vets at the deadline…
No quality vet is going to take a one year deal…
Pederson, 2021
Schwarber, 2021
Chapman, 2023
Quintana, 2022 and 2025
Maton 2025
Severino 2024
Ozuna, 2020
Shelby Miller, 2025
Carson Kelly, 2023

That's just off the top of my head...
mattmitchl44
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Re: Competing now vs. rebuilding are conflicting goals

Post by mattmitchl44 »

rockondlouie wrote: 21 Nov 2025 08:48 am Completely wrong premise by matt.

C. Bloom already has repaired Mo's broken minor league player development system and continues to add quality people to the system.

Nothing done at the big league level can disrupt that...........THE MINOR LEAGUE SYSTEM IS NOW PRIMED to send quality players to the Cardinals!

He can now focus on dealing away veterans like NADO, S. Gray, Donny and maybe even WillyC for prospects or YOUNG MAJOR LEAGUE players with years of control............while STILL FIELDING A COMPETITVE, BUT PERHAPS NOT A PLAYOFF TEAM.

If he's able to save some payroll money dealing away those veterans contracts, then BDWJR (LIKELY) will allow him to re-invest that savings into the 2026 roster adding major league players via trades and smart, low cost free agency.

The 2026 payroll will likely settle somewhere in the $115-130M range...................NOT $200M.

If the Cardinals win 90 games or lose 90 games in 2026 how on earth does this setback the re-build?

AGAIN

THIS DOES NOTHING to disrupt the minor league system or halt the minors from funneling players to the Cardinals in this re-build!

How some can't see this is baffling. :?
I don't consider obtaining young players with 4 or 5 years of team control to be materially different from ML ready prospects. So we can agree that either is fine for a rebuild.

However, since the teams that are going to be interested in Gray, Arenado, Donovan, etc. should be teams in "win now" mode, they should be much less likely to want to give up young ML players that they are counting on to help them "win now" this year rather than their ML ready prospects.

So even if that's what you want, you may only be able to get what you need (ML ready prospects).
scoutyjones2
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Re: Competing now vs. rebuilding are conflicting goals

Post by scoutyjones2 »

mattmitchl44 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 09:12 am
rockondlouie wrote: 21 Nov 2025 08:48 am Completely wrong premise by matt.

C. Bloom already has repaired Mo's broken minor league player development system and continues to add quality people to the system.

Nothing done at the big league level can disrupt that...........THE MINOR LEAGUE SYSTEM IS NOW PRIMED to send quality players to the Cardinals!

He can now focus on dealing away veterans like NADO, S. Gray, Donny and maybe even WillyC for prospects or YOUNG MAJOR LEAGUE players with years of control............while STILL FIELDING A COMPETITVE, BUT PERHAPS NOT A PLAYOFF TEAM.

If he's able to save some payroll money dealing away those veterans contracts, then BDWJR (LIKELY) will allow him to re-invest that savings into the 2026 roster adding major league players via trades and smart, low cost free agency.

The 2026 payroll will likely settle somewhere in the $115-130M range...................NOT $200M.

If the Cardinals win 90 games or lose 90 games in 2026 how on earth does this setback the re-build?

AGAIN

THIS DOES NOTHING to disrupt the minor league system or halt the minors from funneling players to the Cardinals in this re-build!

How some can't see this is baffling. :?
I don't consider obtaining young players with 4 or 5 years of team control to be materially different from ML ready prospects. So we can agree that either is fine for a rebuild.

However, since the teams that are going to be interested in Gray, Arenado, Donovan, etc. should be teams in "win now" mode, they should be much less likely to want to give up young ML players that they are counting on to help them "win now" this year rather than their ML ready prospects.

So even if that's what you want, you may only be able to get what you need (ML ready prospects).
But if you try sometimes, you just might find, you get what you need
Last edited by scoutyjones2 on 21 Nov 2025 09:18 am, edited 1 time in total.
Carp4Cy
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Re: Competing now vs. rebuilding are conflicting goals

Post by Carp4Cy »

mattmitchl44 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 08:33 am
scoutyjones2 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 08:26 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 08:10 am
scoutyjones2 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 06:57 am Whole heartedly disagree.

They are not conflicting. You can do both. Making decisions on players isn't unique. It happens every year.

You can have it both ways..

To say otherwise shows lack of creativity and judgement.
As noted you can TRY to do both, and likely end up doing both poorly.
I disagree.
Again Donovan is the team's one tradable asset that could bring back a much needed high ceiling prospect to rebuild the farm system.

But he'd also be one of the most valuable players to hang onto if they were really trying to compete on 2026.

He can't be in two places at once. Conflict.
It depends on who you trade him for. He could potentially be traded for someone incrementally younger but who can contribute in both 2026 and for years more - which isn't a bad thing. Might require a 3 way trade.
Hazelwood72
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Re: Competing now vs. rebuilding are conflicting goals

Post by Hazelwood72 »

scoutyjones2 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 09:17 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 09:12 am
rockondlouie wrote: 21 Nov 2025 08:48 am Completely wrong premise by matt.

C. Bloom already has repaired Mo's broken minor league player development system and continues to add quality people to the system.

Nothing done at the big league level can disrupt that...........THE MINOR LEAGUE SYSTEM IS NOW PRIMED to send quality players to the Cardinals!

He can now focus on dealing away veterans like NADO, S. Gray, Donny and maybe even WillyC for prospects or YOUNG MAJOR LEAGUE players with years of control............while STILL FIELDING A COMPETITVE, BUT PERHAPS NOT A PLAYOFF TEAM.

If he's able to save some payroll money dealing away those veterans contracts, then BDWJR (LIKELY) will allow him to re-invest that savings into the 2026 roster adding major league players via trades and smart, low cost free agency.

The 2026 payroll will likely settle somewhere in the $115-130M range...................NOT $200M.

If the Cardinals win 90 games or lose 90 games in 2026 how on earth does this setback the re-build?

AGAIN

THIS DOES NOTHING to disrupt the minor league system or halt the minors from funneling players to the Cardinals in this re-build!

How some can't see this is baffling. :?
I don't consider obtaining young players with 4 or 5 years of team control to be materially different from ML ready prospects. So we can agree that either is fine for a rebuild.

However, since the teams that are going to be interested in Gray, Arenado, Donovan, etc. should be teams in "win now" mode, they should be much less likely to want to give up young ML players that they are counting on to help them "win now" this year rather than their ML ready prospects.

So even if that's what you want, you may only be able to get what you need (ML ready prospects).
But if you try sometimes, you just might find, you get what you need
Years ago, when Mrs. Hazelwood was griping to get something out of our budget, I did my best Mick Jagger impression and sang, “You can’t always get what you want…”

I got the stink eye and the silent treatment for the rest of that day. :lol:
mattmitchl44
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Re: Competing now vs. rebuilding are conflicting goals

Post by mattmitchl44 »

Carp4Cy wrote: 21 Nov 2025 09:17 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 08:33 am
scoutyjones2 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 08:26 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 08:10 am
scoutyjones2 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 06:57 am Whole heartedly disagree.

They are not conflicting. You can do both. Making decisions on players isn't unique. It happens every year.

You can have it both ways..

To say otherwise shows lack of creativity and judgement.
As noted you can TRY to do both, and likely end up doing both poorly.
I disagree.
Again Donovan is the team's one tradable asset that could bring back a much needed high ceiling prospect to rebuild the farm system.

But he'd also be one of the most valuable players to hang onto if they were really trying to compete on 2026.

He can't be in two places at once. Conflict.
It depends on who you trade him for. He could potentially be traded for someone incrementally younger but who can contribute in both 2026 and for years more - which isn't a bad thing. Might require a 3 way trade.
Sure, my whole premise has been trading him for a higher ceiling, ML ready AA or AAA prospect - so someone you expect to see in St.Louis by the end of 2026 at the latest.
45s
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Re: Competing now vs. rebuilding are conflicting goals

Post by 45s »

ecleme22 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 09:07 am
45s wrote: 21 Nov 2025 08:30 am
ecleme22 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 07:19 am You can compete now by signing vets to one year deals.

No vet should be picked up by way of trading prospects, nor be the primary return for any of our trades (the exception would be an Arenado for Castellanos deal if Bloom can’t get anything for NA…).


This strategy is pro today and pro rebuild. If the team is out of it, you flip all the vets at the deadline…
No quality vet is going to take a one year deal…
Pederson, 2021
Schwarber, 2021
Chapman, 2023
Quintana, 2022 and 2025
Maton 2025
Severino 2024
Ozuna, 2020
Shelby Miller, 2025
Carson Kelly, 2023

That's just off the top of my head...
They went to competitive teams

You are proposing that a quality vet who has multiple offers, sign a one year deal with a bad team so they can be traded in July

Yeah. I bet they are lining up to do that..
scoutyjones2
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Re: Competing now vs. rebuilding are conflicting goals

Post by scoutyjones2 »

Hazelwood72 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 09:22 am
scoutyjones2 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 09:17 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 09:12 am
rockondlouie wrote: 21 Nov 2025 08:48 am Completely wrong premise by matt.

C. Bloom already has repaired Mo's broken minor league player development system and continues to add quality people to the system.

Nothing done at the big league level can disrupt that...........THE MINOR LEAGUE SYSTEM IS NOW PRIMED to send quality players to the Cardinals!

He can now focus on dealing away veterans like NADO, S. Gray, Donny and maybe even WillyC for prospects or YOUNG MAJOR LEAGUE players with years of control............while STILL FIELDING A COMPETITVE, BUT PERHAPS NOT A PLAYOFF TEAM.

If he's able to save some payroll money dealing away those veterans contracts, then BDWJR (LIKELY) will allow him to re-invest that savings into the 2026 roster adding major league players via trades and smart, low cost free agency.

The 2026 payroll will likely settle somewhere in the $115-130M range...................NOT $200M.

If the Cardinals win 90 games or lose 90 games in 2026 how on earth does this setback the re-build?

AGAIN

THIS DOES NOTHING to disrupt the minor league system or halt the minors from funneling players to the Cardinals in this re-build!

How some can't see this is baffling. :?
I don't consider obtaining young players with 4 or 5 years of team control to be materially different from ML ready prospects. So we can agree that either is fine for a rebuild.

However, since the teams that are going to be interested in Gray, Arenado, Donovan, etc. should be teams in "win now" mode, they should be much less likely to want to give up young ML players that they are counting on to help them "win now" this year rather than their ML ready prospects.

So even if that's what you want, you may only be able to get what you need (ML ready prospects).
But if you try sometimes, you just might find, you get what you need
Years ago, when Mrs. Hazelwood was griping to get something out of our budget, I did my best Mick Jagger impression and sang, “You can’t always get what you want…”

I got the stink eye and the silent treatment for the rest of that day. :lol:
:lol: we've all been there
ecleme22
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Re: Competing now vs. rebuilding are conflicting goals

Post by ecleme22 »

45s wrote: 21 Nov 2025 09:30 am
ecleme22 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 09:07 am
45s wrote: 21 Nov 2025 08:30 am
ecleme22 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 07:19 am You can compete now by signing vets to one year deals.

No vet should be picked up by way of trading prospects, nor be the primary return for any of our trades (the exception would be an Arenado for Castellanos deal if Bloom can’t get anything for NA…).


This strategy is pro today and pro rebuild. If the team is out of it, you flip all the vets at the deadline…
No quality vet is going to take a one year deal…
Pederson, 2021
Schwarber, 2021
Chapman, 2023
Quintana, 2022 and 2025
Maton 2025
Severino 2024
Ozuna, 2020
Shelby Miller, 2025
Carson Kelly, 2023

That's just off the top of my head...
They went to competitive teams

You are proposing that a quality vet who has multiple offers, sign a one year deal with a bad team so they can be traded in July

Yeah. I bet they are lining up to do that..
Quintana 2022 Pirates
Chapman 2023 Royals
Schwarber 2021 Nationals
Kelly 2023 Tigers
Pederson 2021 Cubs
Maton 2025 Cardinals.

You were saying...
mattmitchl44
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Re: Competing now vs. rebuilding are conflicting goals

Post by mattmitchl44 »

ecleme22 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 09:32 am
45s wrote: 21 Nov 2025 09:30 am
ecleme22 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 09:07 am
45s wrote: 21 Nov 2025 08:30 am
ecleme22 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 07:19 am You can compete now by signing vets to one year deals.

No vet should be picked up by way of trading prospects, nor be the primary return for any of our trades (the exception would be an Arenado for Castellanos deal if Bloom can’t get anything for NA…).


This strategy is pro today and pro rebuild. If the team is out of it, you flip all the vets at the deadline…
No quality vet is going to take a one year deal…
Pederson, 2021
Schwarber, 2021
Chapman, 2023
Quintana, 2022 and 2025
Maton 2025
Severino 2024
Ozuna, 2020
Shelby Miller, 2025
Carson Kelly, 2023

That's just off the top of my head...
They went to competitive teams

You are proposing that a quality vet who has multiple offers, sign a one year deal with a bad team so they can be traded in July

Yeah. I bet they are lining up to do that..
Quintana 2022 Pirates
Chapman 2023 Royals
Schwarber 2021 Nationals
Kelly 2023 Tigers
Pederson 2021 Cubs
Maton 2025 Cardinals.

You were saying...
From the prior year, most of those guys did not appear to be "quality vets" and half of them were insignificant in the year listed.

That's a hope and prayer strategy which isn't a basis for competing.
BrockFloodMaris
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Re: Competing now vs. rebuilding are conflicting goals

Post by BrockFloodMaris »

ecleme22 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 07:19 am You can compete now by signing vets to one year deals.

No vet should be picked up by way of trading prospects, nor be the primary return for any of our trades (the exception would be an Arenado for Castellanos deal if Bloom can’t get anything for NA…).


This strategy is pro today and pro rebuild. If the team is out of it, you flip all the vets at the deadline…
I don’t disagree with you, except for one thing. The vets you can sign on one year deals are probably not much/any better than what Memphis and Springfield can provide. Decent vets will command multi year deals. Pitching is the exception, as the Cards farm lacks MLB ready pitchers who can deliver 150+ innings.
ecleme22
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Re: Competing now vs. rebuilding are conflicting goals

Post by ecleme22 »

mattmitchl44 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 09:52 am
ecleme22 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 09:32 am
45s wrote: 21 Nov 2025 09:30 am
ecleme22 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 09:07 am
45s wrote: 21 Nov 2025 08:30 am
ecleme22 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 07:19 am You can compete now by signing vets to one year deals.

No vet should be picked up by way of trading prospects, nor be the primary return for any of our trades (the exception would be an Arenado for Castellanos deal if Bloom can’t get anything for NA…).


This strategy is pro today and pro rebuild. If the team is out of it, you flip all the vets at the deadline…
No quality vet is going to take a one year deal…
Pederson, 2021
Schwarber, 2021
Chapman, 2023
Quintana, 2022 and 2025
Maton 2025
Severino 2024
Ozuna, 2020
Shelby Miller, 2025
Carson Kelly, 2023

That's just off the top of my head...
They went to competitive teams

You are proposing that a quality vet who has multiple offers, sign a one year deal with a bad team so they can be traded in July

Yeah. I bet they are lining up to do that..
Quintana 2022 Pirates
Chapman 2023 Royals
Schwarber 2021 Nationals
Kelly 2023 Tigers
Pederson 2021 Cubs
Maton 2025 Cardinals.

You were saying...
From the prior year, most of those guys did not appear to be "quality vets" and half of them were insignificant in the year listed.

That's a hope and prayer strategy which isn't a basis for competing.
Most were very significant and productive in the years listed.

And yes, signing a vet to a one year deal probably means they weren't recently allstars.

And many rebuilding teams bring in vets for one year deals to hopefully bolster the roster and flip at the deadline.

Calm down, Mitch. You're not the king of rebuild strategy.
Last edited by ecleme22 on 21 Nov 2025 10:02 am, edited 1 time in total.
ecleme22
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Re: Competing now vs. rebuilding are conflicting goals

Post by ecleme22 »

BrockFloodMaris wrote: 21 Nov 2025 09:55 am
ecleme22 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 07:19 am You can compete now by signing vets to one year deals.

No vet should be picked up by way of trading prospects, nor be the primary return for any of our trades (the exception would be an Arenado for Castellanos deal if Bloom can’t get anything for NA…).


This strategy is pro today and pro rebuild. If the team is out of it, you flip all the vets at the deadline…
I don’t disagree with you, except for one thing. The vets you can sign on one year deals are probably not much/any better than what Memphis and Springfield can provide. Decent vets will command multi year deals. Pitching is the exception, as the Cards farm lacks MLB ready pitchers who can deliver 150+ innings.
Well, on a small scale, how did Maton work out? Swimmingly it seems.

And when it comes to starting pitching, you can't assume unprovens in Memphis can handle it. Unlike watching Walker flail for a half year, you can't do that w starting pitching. Or else it will chew up your bullpen.

But as a strategy (possible improvements in 2026 and flippable items for the 2026 deadline) it's not bad. And, it's common...
Carp4Cy
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Re: Competing now vs. rebuilding are conflicting goals

Post by Carp4Cy »

ecleme22 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 09:58 am
mattmitchl44 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 09:52 am
ecleme22 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 09:32 am
45s wrote: 21 Nov 2025 09:30 am
ecleme22 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 09:07 am
45s wrote: 21 Nov 2025 08:30 am
ecleme22 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 07:19 am You can compete now by signing vets to one year deals.

No vet should be picked up by way of trading prospects, nor be the primary return for any of our trades (the exception would be an Arenado for Castellanos deal if Bloom can’t get anything for NA…).


This strategy is pro today and pro rebuild. If the team is out of it, you flip all the vets at the deadline…
No quality vet is going to take a one year deal…
Pederson, 2021
Schwarber, 2021
Chapman, 2023
Quintana, 2022 and 2025
Maton 2025
Severino 2024
Ozuna, 2020
Shelby Miller, 2025
Carson Kelly, 2023

That's just off the top of my head...
They went to competitive teams

You are proposing that a quality vet who has multiple offers, sign a one year deal with a bad team so they can be traded in July

Yeah. I bet they are lining up to do that..
Quintana 2022 Pirates
Chapman 2023 Royals
Schwarber 2021 Nationals
Kelly 2023 Tigers
Pederson 2021 Cubs
Maton 2025 Cardinals.

You were saying...
From the prior year, most of those guys did not appear to be "quality vets" and half of them were insignificant in the year listed.

That's a hope and prayer strategy which isn't a basis for competing.
Most were very significant and productive in the years listed.

And yes, signing a vet to a one year deal probably means they weren't recently allstars.

And many rebuilding teams bring in vets for one year deals to hopefully bolster the roster and flip at the deadline.

Come down, Mitch. You're not the king of rebuild strategy.
I'd just love to see the roster filled out enough that "prospects" have to earn playing time by either producing at Memphis, in ST, or in the chances they do get at STL. Neither Nado nor a solid 3b replacement vet nor a potential RF vet would be blocking anyone currently in the Org that deserves to play everyday based on what's been shown.

Now if we traded for a Spencer Jones or similar, that's another matter wrt to playing time. But ultimately there will be plenty of OF playing time as we currently have 0 OFers that can't be replaced by someone better.
rockondlouie
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Re: Competing now vs. rebuilding are conflicting goals

Post by rockondlouie »

mattmitchl44 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 09:12 am
rockondlouie wrote: 21 Nov 2025 08:48 am Completely wrong premise by matt.

C. Bloom already has repaired Mo's broken minor league player development system and continues to add quality people to the system.

Nothing done at the big league level can disrupt that...........THE MINOR LEAGUE SYSTEM IS NOW PRIMED to send quality players to the Cardinals!

He can now focus on dealing away veterans like NADO, S. Gray, Donny and maybe even WillyC for prospects or YOUNG MAJOR LEAGUE players with years of control............while STILL FIELDING A COMPETITVE, BUT PERHAPS NOT A PLAYOFF TEAM.

If he's able to save some payroll money dealing away those veterans contracts, then BDWJR (LIKELY) will allow him to re-invest that savings into the 2026 roster adding major league players via trades and smart, low cost free agency.

The 2026 payroll will likely settle somewhere in the $115-130M range...................NOT $200M.

If the Cardinals win 90 games or lose 90 games in 2026 how on earth does this setback the re-build?

AGAIN

THIS DOES NOTHING to disrupt the minor league system or halt the minors from funneling players to the Cardinals in this re-build!

How some can't see this is baffling. :?
I don't consider obtaining young players with 4 or 5 years of team control to be materially different from ML ready prospects. So we can agree that either is fine for a rebuild.

However, since the teams that are going to be interested in Gray, Arenado, Donovan, etc. should be teams in "win now" mode, they should be much less likely to want to give up young ML players that they are counting on to help them "win now" this year rather than their ML ready prospects.

So even if that's what you want, you may only be able to get what you need (ML ready prospects).
I have to differ with you on that matt.

Acquiring quality, young major league players w/a year or two of MLB experience -vs- acquiring quality MLB ready prospects does indeed have a difference.

Obviously that difference is the quality MLB players have PROVEN to be quality MLB players while those quality MLB ready prospects haven't thus there's n element of risk. Sure the prospects could pay off, unfortunately the bulk of the time they don't.

But as you stated, we can agree either approach works for the rebuild but for a player like B. Donovan I prefer the return to be that young major league starter who's still got years of control but has proven to be a MLB caliber starter.

A win now team can afford to deal that young starter since they have to have at least two, if not three veteran starters above him and won't be counting on the young starter to win it all.

For the rest of the players Bloom trades, your prospect approach will work just fine.
BrockFloodMaris
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Re: Competing now vs. rebuilding are conflicting goals

Post by BrockFloodMaris »

ecleme22 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 10:02 am
BrockFloodMaris wrote: 21 Nov 2025 09:55 am
ecleme22 wrote: 21 Nov 2025 07:19 am You can compete now by signing vets to one year deals.

No vet should be picked up by way of trading prospects, nor be the primary return for any of our trades (the exception would be an Arenado for Castellanos deal if Bloom can’t get anything for NA…).


This strategy is pro today and pro rebuild. If the team is out of it, you flip all the vets at the deadline…
I don’t disagree with you, except for one thing. The vets you can sign on one year deals are probably not much/any better than what Memphis and Springfield can provide. Decent vets will command multi year deals. Pitching is the exception, as the Cards farm lacks MLB ready pitchers who can deliver 150+ innings.
Well, on a small scale, how did Maton work out? Swimmingly it seems.

And when it comes to starting pitching, you can't assume unprovens in Memphis can handle it. Unlike watching Walker flail for a half year, you can't do that w starting pitching. Or else it will chew up your bullpen.

But as a strategy (possible improvements in 2026 and flippable items for the 2026 deadline) it's not bad. And, it's common...
Did you read my post? I said that pitching is the exception. We are aligned there. I just don't think that better than replacement level veteran position players are going to sign one year deals.
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