WaltsSuccessor wrote: ↑07 Nov 2025 12:53 pm
rockondlouie wrote: ↑07 Nov 2025 12:21 pm
WaltsSuccessor wrote: ↑07 Nov 2025 12:10 pm
rockondlouie wrote: ↑07 Nov 2025 11:41 am
WaltsSuccessor wrote: ↑07 Nov 2025 11:36 am
rockondlouie wrote: ↑07 Nov 2025 11:33 am
WaltsSuccessor wrote: ↑07 Nov 2025 11:27 am
rockondlouie wrote: ↑07 Nov 2025 11:04 am
WaltsSuccessor wrote: ↑07 Nov 2025 09:30 am
rockondlouie wrote: ↑07 Nov 2025 08:51 am
22) Zac Gallen - 2 / 45
I'd do that in a NY minute if S. Gray is dealt.
Assuming they're eating around $10-15m to move Gray (thereby saving $25-30m), wouldn't it make more sense just to keep Gray at that point than turning around and spending most of that savings into a lesser pitcher?
No walt (and Z. Gallen is NOT a lesser pitcher).
Sure he had a down 2025 but prior to that from 2019-2024 he posted: 143 GS/3.29 ERA/1.13 WHiP/9.8 SO9 and three Top 10 CY Young seasons or ACE stuff.
Gallen is going into his age 30 season and is a FOTR starter C. Bloom could build the starting rotation around, Gray is going into his age 36 season and near the end!
So you're going to ignore 2025 for Gallen but use 2025 as the sole data point of Gray? Got it.
Last 3 years of fWAR for each:
Gray
2025 - 3.6
2024 - 3.8
2023 - 5.4 (2nd in CYA)
Gallen
2025 - 1.1
2024 - 2.8
2023 - 5.2 (3rd in CYA)
Gray has literally been better each of the last 3 years... tell me again how Gallen is better? Who cares about 2019? (Btw Sonny finished ahead of Gallen in CYA that year too - 7th vs. no votes)
YES!
I'm NOT going to judge Gallen on one down season (2025) when he's poster SIX consecutive seasons where he was a top of MLB starter.
And again, YES I'm going to use
Gray's AGE (not his stats).
Thirty year old FOTR starter -vs- a 36 year old near the end starter.
Which do you want for the Re-Build?
How can you not see this?
2 years for Gallen isn't going to do us any good for the rebuild either. He'll be gone before the rebuild is done. You'd be spending a bunch of money to go from 75 wins to 82 wins, still miss the playoffs, and get worse draft picks.
Two yrs/$50M with the potential to EXTEND him before 2027 when the re-build should be completed, the new CBA is in place and BDWJr raising the payroll significantly.
And you want to keep Gray at $40M, miss the playoffs and not have his replacement like Gallen would be.
You've created a false dichotomy - SG or ZG when the correct answer is neither. I also didn't say I want to keep Gray. They should move Gray. But then not turn around and spend all the savings on a potential FOTR when they aren't trying to contend in 2026 (and probably not 2027). That's illogical. If you want an expensive FOTR starter on the payroll, they already have one. No need to make moves to sub one for another.
Yes, SG is older. But he's still outperformed ZG by every measure the past 3 years. It's not a long term commitment with his remaining 1 year under contract so his age isn't that relevant. Unlikely he completely falls to replacement player level in one year. But again, I'm hoping another team takes that risk.
You can keep arguing that Gallen is better than Gray, but you'll continue to be wrong. Gray was still good in 2025, Gallen was not. How do you know he'll rebound? You don't. Gray staying good is sooo much more projectable than ZG rebounding even with the age difference.
No I haven't at all.
I simply posted of the listed FA's Gallen is the one I'd love to see us go after IF Bloom trades Gray.
You then came in and ignored the fact that Gallen at age 30 and an equal talent wasn't an upgrade over the 36 year old Gray.
And you continue to look BACKWARD when you need to be looking to the future, aka the RE-BUILD.
But I'll play that game to and if we throw out both Gallen & Gray's 2025 (bad for both) and focus on 2022 - 2024, here's how they compare:
Gray
84 GS
3.24 ERA
1.12 WHiP
Gallen
93 GS
3.20 ERA
1.09 WHiP
The difference again is in 2026 Gallen will be 30 years old and Gray will be 36 years old.
Gray is NOT the future or part of the RE-BUILD, Gallen could be.
Fun debate walt and always respect your opinions.
You're one of my favorites, Rock. And usually we are in lock step with our ideas. But man, you're all over the place with this one.
First, you want to ignore 2025 in your evaluation of Gallen. Second, you quote 2019-2024 numbers to show how Gallen is an ace and is awesome. THEN when I show you how Gray has outperformed Gallen the past 3 years, you tell me to stop looking into the past and look to the future (guess that 2019-2024 evidence goes out the window too?). You're also using ERA and WHIP in your assessment like it's 1995...
Now it's all about the rebuild as if signing ZG for 2 years helps that cause. You know what doesn't help a rebuild? Signing a guy with a QO attached in year 1.... That right there disqualifies this whole idea.
Bloom: "Yes, Mr. Dewitt - I'd like you to eat $15m to trade Sonny so we can save $25m for this rebuild. Oh then I also want to give $22.5m of that savings to Gallen and cost us a draft pick."
Lately, go to Fangraphs and look and theirs and Steamers 2026 projections for Gray and Gallen. What do you know they don't as to who will be better in the future?
I didn't "ignore" Gallen's 2025 walt, I acknowledge both he and Gray had poor 2025's.
And you're acting like signing Gallen for two years means he won't be extended before his contract expires.
If he pitches well, wants to stay here and BDWJr will pay him, then he could be here for many more years.
Gray, on the other hand, is near the end of his career and doesn't fit the teams re-build.
BTW, I could care less about losing the draft pick if we get a 30 yr old, FOTR starter since Bloom is going to be loading the system w/prospects via trades this winter.
Finally I have zero respect for Steamers projections, I find them too often to be a joke.
All in fun since there's less than a .000000000000000000001% chance Dewitt will spend anything near the money needed to sign Gallen this winter.
Good debate, always enjoy these type of baseball discussions w/a quality baseball guy like you walt.