The perils of parity

[jcgmoi]

At the mid-point of the season, which teams are locks to make the CFB playoffs?

Here's a start: #1 Ohio State, #2 Miami & #3 Indiana have ZERO ranked teams left on their schedule combined.

Oregon wins out and doesn't play in the B10 championship game. Alabama is motoring along and undefeated in conference and the FSU loss will be forgotten. Texas Tech gets BYU in Lubbock so one of them or Utah. Notre Dame finishes 10-2 and in.

Probably three more SEC teams make it out of five or six candidates. Virginia or Georgia Tech maybe. Memphis the G5 pick?

What do you think?

[dugoutrex]

A&M along with Georgia will be 2 more SEC teams getting in - will a fourth make it?

[winonsports]

A&M along with Georgia will be 2 more SEC teams getting in - will a fourth make it?

Right now the odds say YES.

And even a fifth team is a distinct possibility.

[dugoutrex]

A&M along with Georgia will be 2 more SEC teams getting in - will a fourth make it?

Right now the odds say YES.

And even a fifth team is a distinct possibility.

so maybe Tenn and Ole Miss as well!

[Armchair QB]

Miami goes down to unranked Louisville.

[rezero]

Not sure I would call it parity, but rather just cup cake scheduled by teams who do not have to play in the SEC. Oregon will make the playoffs playing only one top 25 team and losing. Notre Dame will make the playoffs playing only 2 top 25 teams and losing to both. Ohio State will make the playoffs playing only two top 25 team, this assumes Michigan stays in top 25 for the last game of year. Georgia Tech will ...

[winonsports]

A&M along with Georgia will be 2 more SEC teams getting in - will a fourth make it?

Right now the odds say YES.

And even a fifth team is a distinct possibility.

so maybe Tenn and Ole Miss as well!

Any two-loss, SEC team will have a 90-95% chance of making the playoffs

[rezero]

A&M along with Georgia will be 2 more SEC teams getting in - will a fourth make it?

Right now the odds say YES.

And even a fifth team is a distinct possibility.

so maybe Tenn and Ole Miss as well!

Any two-loss, SEC team will have a 90-95% chance of making the playoffs

While than may be true, the question is how many 3 loss teams from SEC will make it. Last year we only had three teams with 2 loses and four with 3 loses. My guess is with the SEC championship it will be similar. Last year in week 8, the SEC had 8 teams with one or fewer loses. I would argue that a 3 lose SEC team 5-6 top 25 teams on the schedule is more deserving than a 1-2 loses team who only played 1-2 tops 25 teams and lost them all (such as ND, Miami, Oregon, Georgia Tech, etc…).

[winonsports]

A&M along with Georgia will be 2 more SEC teams getting in - will a fourth make it?

Right now the odds say YES.

And even a fifth team is a distinct possibility.

so maybe Tenn and Ole Miss as well!

Any two-loss, SEC team will have a 90-95% chance of making the playoffs

While than may be true, the question is how many 3 loss teams from SEC will make it. Last year we only had three teams with 2 loses and four with 3 loses. My guess is with the SEC championship it will be similar. Last year in week 8, the SEC had 8 teams with one or fewer loses. I would argue that a 3 lose SEC team 5-6 top 25 teams on the schedule is more deserving than a 1-2 loses team who only played 1-2 tops 25 teams and lost them all (such as ND, Miami, Oregon, Georgia Tech, etc…).

Last year three-loss Alabama finished #11.

Current odds have four SEC teams favored to make it (-425, -300, -200 and -150)

With three more at +125 +200 and +200.

[dugoutrex]

Vandy is looking really good - wonder how many TDs they score on our Tigers next week? My guess is 6!

[Lightning Rod]

Vandy is looking really good - wonder how many TDs they score on our Tigers next week? My guess is 6!

Stop Pavia, you beat Vandy. Easier said than done but he is their entire offense.

[dugoutrex]

Vandy is looking really good - wonder how many TDs they score on our Tigers next week? My guess is 6!

Stop Pavia, you beat Vandy. Easier said than done but he is their entire offense.

and we should be able to score on them as well