2025 MLB Draft Room ~ Thread, Mocks, Discussion, Draft Boards

Welcome to STLtoday.com's forum for fans of the St. Louis Cardinals.

Moderators: STLtoday Forum Moderators, Cards Talk Moderators

Whatashame
Forum User
Posts: 3285
Joined: 24 May 2018 20:27 pm

Re: 2025 MLB Draft Room ~ Thread, Mocks, Discussion, Draft Boards

Post by Whatashame »

Just noticed that they didn’t have Seth Hernandez going anywhere in the top 27 picks of the first round. There can’t be that much bias against a big HS arm that he would fall to 55 as the Cardinals next pick.
Futuregm2
Forum User
Posts: 7119
Joined: 23 May 2024 13:18 pm

Re: 2025 MLB Draft Room ~ Thread, Mocks, Discussion, Draft Boards

Post by Futuregm2 »

Whatashame wrote: 26 Jun 2025 08:22 am Just noticed that they didn’t have Seth Hernandez going anywhere in the top 27 picks of the first round. There can’t be that much bias against a big HS arm that he would fall to 55 as the Cardinals next pick.
Yea, that would be shocking to see
TraveledLessRoad
Forum User
Posts: 209
Joined: 10 Jul 2024 14:36 pm

Re: 2025 MLB Draft Room ~ Thread, Mocks, Discussion, Draft Boards

Post by TraveledLessRoad »

"An electric 5 pitch repertoire" 6'2", 206 lbs...why aren't we hire on this lad?

9. Cincinnati Reds: RHP Kyson Witherspoon, Oklahoma

Witherspoon is the consensus No. 4 pitcher from this year's college class after going 10-4 with a 2.65 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and 124 strikeouts in 95 innings this spring, and the pieces are there for him to emerge as the best pitcher in this draft.

The 6'2", 206-pound right-hander has an electric five-pitch repertoire and he uses his plus athleticism well to repeat his mechanics, and the Reds have had good success developing high-level college arms in recent years with Rhett Lowder and Chase Burns both moving quickly through the minors.
craviduce
Forum User
Posts: 18035
Joined: 23 May 2024 13:11 pm

Re: 2025 MLB Draft Room ~ Thread, Mocks, Discussion, Draft Boards

Post by craviduce »

Whatashame wrote: 26 Jun 2025 08:22 am Just noticed that they didn’t have Seth Hernandez going anywhere in the top 27 picks of the first round. There can’t be that much bias against a big HS arm that he would fall to 55 as the Cardinals next pick.
which mock?
Futuregm2
Forum User
Posts: 7119
Joined: 23 May 2024 13:18 pm

Re: 2025 MLB Draft Room ~ Thread, Mocks, Discussion, Draft Boards

Post by Futuregm2 »

craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:07 am
Whatashame wrote: 26 Jun 2025 08:22 am Just noticed that they didn’t have Seth Hernandez going anywhere in the top 27 picks of the first round. There can’t be that much bias against a big HS arm that he would fall to 55 as the Cardinals next pick.
which mock?
The Flobaseball one that you just put out that has us taking Willits.
craviduce
Forum User
Posts: 18035
Joined: 23 May 2024 13:11 pm

Re: 2025 MLB Draft Room ~ Thread, Mocks, Discussion, Draft Boards

Post by craviduce »

Futuregm2 wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:11 am
craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:07 am
Whatashame wrote: 26 Jun 2025 08:22 am Just noticed that they didn’t have Seth Hernandez going anywhere in the top 27 picks of the first round. There can’t be that much bias against a big HS arm that he would fall to 55 as the Cardinals next pick.
which mock?
The Flobaseball one that you just put out that has us taking Willits.
that's a whoopsie on their part. They usually put out quality content. Not as fast as other publications, but the content is quality. Egg on their face. I bet their Social Media replies are toxic over this one :lol: The internet isn't forgiving
Futuregm2
Forum User
Posts: 7119
Joined: 23 May 2024 13:18 pm

Re: 2025 MLB Draft Room ~ Thread, Mocks, Discussion, Draft Boards

Post by Futuregm2 »

craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:16 am
Futuregm2 wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:11 am
craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:07 am
Whatashame wrote: 26 Jun 2025 08:22 am Just noticed that they didn’t have Seth Hernandez going anywhere in the top 27 picks of the first round. There can’t be that much bias against a big HS arm that he would fall to 55 as the Cardinals next pick.
which mock?
The Flobaseball one that you just put out that has us taking Willits.
that's a whoopsie on their part. They usually put out quality content. Not as fast as other publications, but the content is quality. Egg on their face. I bet their Social Media replies are toxic over this one :lol: The internet isn't forgiving
Haha yea, pretty big oversight. Unless they really think he’d fall for some really odd reason.
craviduce
Forum User
Posts: 18035
Joined: 23 May 2024 13:11 pm

Re: 2025 MLB Draft Room ~ Thread, Mocks, Discussion, Draft Boards

Post by craviduce »

Futuregm2 wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:21 am
craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:16 am
Futuregm2 wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:11 am
craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:07 am
Whatashame wrote: 26 Jun 2025 08:22 am Just noticed that they didn’t have Seth Hernandez going anywhere in the top 27 picks of the first round. There can’t be that much bias against a big HS arm that he would fall to 55 as the Cardinals next pick.
which mock?
The Flobaseball one that you just put out that has us taking Willits.
that's a whoopsie on their part. They usually put out quality content. Not as fast as other publications, but the content is quality. Egg on their face. I bet their Social Media replies are toxic over this one :lol: The internet isn't forgiving
Haha yea, pretty big oversight. Unless they really think he’d fall for some really odd reason.
if he's falling out of the Top 15, then that's a serious chunk of money...all because teams aren't comfortable? I get the risk, but he's the best of the crop this year despite it.

Go to college, take NIL money if Vanderbilt is willing to pay handsomely.

I can't see many teams outside of the Top 15 paying him Overslot, which he would rightfully command.
An Old Friend
Forum User
Posts: 12526
Joined: 20 Nov 2018 23:31 pm

Re: 2025 MLB Draft Room ~ Thread, Mocks, Discussion, Draft Boards

Post by An Old Friend »

craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 11:25 am
Futuregm2 wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:21 am
craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:16 am
Futuregm2 wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:11 am
craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:07 am
Whatashame wrote: 26 Jun 2025 08:22 am Just noticed that they didn’t have Seth Hernandez going anywhere in the top 27 picks of the first round. There can’t be that much bias against a big HS arm that he would fall to 55 as the Cardinals next pick.
which mock?
The Flobaseball one that you just put out that has us taking Willits.
that's a whoopsie on their part. They usually put out quality content. Not as fast as other publications, but the content is quality. Egg on their face. I bet their Social Media replies are toxic over this one :lol: The internet isn't forgiving
Haha yea, pretty big oversight. Unless they really think he’d fall for some really odd reason.
if he's falling out of the Top 15, then that's a serious chunk of money...all because teams aren't comfortable? I get the risk, but he's the best of the crop this year despite it.

Go to college, take NIL money if Vanderbilt is willing to pay handsomely.

I can't see many teams outside of the Top 15 paying him Overslot, which he would rightfully command.
I feel like the A's or Rays wouldn't let him get past them.
craviduce
Forum User
Posts: 18035
Joined: 23 May 2024 13:11 pm

Re: 2025 MLB Draft Room ~ Thread, Mocks, Discussion, Draft Boards

Post by craviduce »

An Old Friend wrote: 26 Jun 2025 11:32 am
craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 11:25 am
Futuregm2 wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:21 am
craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:16 am
Futuregm2 wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:11 am
craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:07 am
Whatashame wrote: 26 Jun 2025 08:22 am Just noticed that they didn’t have Seth Hernandez going anywhere in the top 27 picks of the first round. There can’t be that much bias against a big HS arm that he would fall to 55 as the Cardinals next pick.
which mock?
The Flobaseball one that you just put out that has us taking Willits.
that's a whoopsie on their part. They usually put out quality content. Not as fast as other publications, but the content is quality. Egg on their face. I bet their Social Media replies are toxic over this one :lol: The internet isn't forgiving
Haha yea, pretty big oversight. Unless they really think he’d fall for some really odd reason.
if he's falling out of the Top 15, then that's a serious chunk of money...all because teams aren't comfortable? I get the risk, but he's the best of the crop this year despite it.

Go to college, take NIL money if Vanderbilt is willing to pay handsomely.

I can't see many teams outside of the Top 15 paying him Overslot, which he would rightfully command.
I feel like the A's or Rays wouldn't let him get past them.
A's slot value is $5.9m, Rays slot value is $5.3. I'm not an expert, but I think he'll expect north of $7m, and could/might settle for $6.5 to the A's, $6.25m to the Rays.

He's worth a Top 5 slot value, he won't get that...I understand this. He's a risk. He's worth much more than the 11 and 14 slot values....and the industry knows that. I think he has some leverage
An Old Friend
Forum User
Posts: 12526
Joined: 20 Nov 2018 23:31 pm

Re: 2025 MLB Draft Room ~ Thread, Mocks, Discussion, Draft Boards

Post by An Old Friend »

craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 11:39 am
An Old Friend wrote: 26 Jun 2025 11:32 am
craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 11:25 am
Futuregm2 wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:21 am
craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:16 am
Futuregm2 wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:11 am
craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:07 am
Whatashame wrote: 26 Jun 2025 08:22 am Just noticed that they didn’t have Seth Hernandez going anywhere in the top 27 picks of the first round. There can’t be that much bias against a big HS arm that he would fall to 55 as the Cardinals next pick.
which mock?
The Flobaseball one that you just put out that has us taking Willits.
that's a whoopsie on their part. They usually put out quality content. Not as fast as other publications, but the content is quality. Egg on their face. I bet their Social Media replies are toxic over this one :lol: The internet isn't forgiving
Haha yea, pretty big oversight. Unless they really think he’d fall for some really odd reason.
if he's falling out of the Top 15, then that's a serious chunk of money...all because teams aren't comfortable? I get the risk, but he's the best of the crop this year despite it.

Go to college, take NIL money if Vanderbilt is willing to pay handsomely.

I can't see many teams outside of the Top 15 paying him Overslot, which he would rightfully command.
I feel like the A's or Rays wouldn't let him get past them.
A's slot value is $5.9m, Rays slot value is $5.3. I'm not an expert, but I think he'll expect north of $7m, and could/might settle for $6.5 to the A's, $6.25m to the Rays.

He's worth a Top 5 slot value, he won't get that...I understand this. He's a risk. He's worth much more than the 11 and 14 slot values....and the industry knows that. I think he has some leverage
He can "expect" but he won't have any leverage IMO. Vanderbilt has a team-wide NIL deal... as I understand it, all players get an equal share and then individually they can seek other NIL opportunities. I might be wrong... but I can't imagine any college baseball team paying anywhere near that amount.

Maybe if he slips farther than that, he bypasses and goes the Gerrit Cole route... of being a late first rounder and heading to college. It worked for Cole, but not many (any?) others.
craviduce
Forum User
Posts: 18035
Joined: 23 May 2024 13:11 pm

Re: 2025 MLB Draft Room ~ Thread, Mocks, Discussion, Draft Boards

Post by craviduce »

An Old Friend wrote: 26 Jun 2025 11:43 am
craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 11:39 am
An Old Friend wrote: 26 Jun 2025 11:32 am
craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 11:25 am
Futuregm2 wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:21 am
craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:16 am
Futuregm2 wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:11 am
craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:07 am
Whatashame wrote: 26 Jun 2025 08:22 am Just noticed that they didn’t have Seth Hernandez going anywhere in the top 27 picks of the first round. There can’t be that much bias against a big HS arm that he would fall to 55 as the Cardinals next pick.
which mock?
The Flobaseball one that you just put out that has us taking Willits.
that's a whoopsie on their part. They usually put out quality content. Not as fast as other publications, but the content is quality. Egg on their face. I bet their Social Media replies are toxic over this one :lol: The internet isn't forgiving
Haha yea, pretty big oversight. Unless they really think he’d fall for some really odd reason.
if he's falling out of the Top 15, then that's a serious chunk of money...all because teams aren't comfortable? I get the risk, but he's the best of the crop this year despite it.

Go to college, take NIL money if Vanderbilt is willing to pay handsomely.

I can't see many teams outside of the Top 15 paying him Overslot, which he would rightfully command.
I feel like the A's or Rays wouldn't let him get past them.
A's slot value is $5.9m, Rays slot value is $5.3. I'm not an expert, but I think he'll expect north of $7m, and could/might settle for $6.5 to the A's, $6.25m to the Rays.

He's worth a Top 5 slot value, he won't get that...I understand this. He's a risk. He's worth much more than the 11 and 14 slot values....and the industry knows that. I think he has some leverage
He can "expect" but he won't have any leverage IMO. Vanderbilt has a team-wide NIL deal... as I understand it, all players get an equal share and then individually they can seek other NIL opportunities. I might be wrong... but I can't imagine any college baseball team paying anywhere near that amount.

Maybe if he slips farther than that, he bypasses and goes the Gerrit Cole route... of being a late first rounder and heading to college. It worked for Cole, but not many (any?) others.
thanks for the Vandy info. I didn't know this.

what about the "settle" numbers....are those too high? 6.5 and 6.25?....600K and 900K north of the slot. I'm probably wrong on that....the A's do have a ton of money to spend at 16m. Rays not so much at 10m
TraveledLessRoad
Forum User
Posts: 209
Joined: 10 Jul 2024 14:36 pm

Re: 2025 MLB Draft Room ~ Thread, Mocks, Discussion, Draft Boards

Post by TraveledLessRoad »

Would it be a huge reach for us to just draft Jace LaViolette at #5? He probably has the most upside in the entire draft, he was once a consensus 1/1 pick, we know we could get him at 5, this just seems like a risk I'd maybe take in a year where no one else really knocks your socks off
An Old Friend
Forum User
Posts: 12526
Joined: 20 Nov 2018 23:31 pm

Re: 2025 MLB Draft Room ~ Thread, Mocks, Discussion, Draft Boards

Post by An Old Friend »

craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 11:46 am
An Old Friend wrote: 26 Jun 2025 11:43 am
craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 11:39 am
An Old Friend wrote: 26 Jun 2025 11:32 am
craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 11:25 am
Futuregm2 wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:21 am
craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:16 am
Futuregm2 wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:11 am
craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:07 am
Whatashame wrote: 26 Jun 2025 08:22 am Just noticed that they didn’t have Seth Hernandez going anywhere in the top 27 picks of the first round. There can’t be that much bias against a big HS arm that he would fall to 55 as the Cardinals next pick.
which mock?
The Flobaseball one that you just put out that has us taking Willits.
that's a whoopsie on their part. They usually put out quality content. Not as fast as other publications, but the content is quality. Egg on their face. I bet their Social Media replies are toxic over this one :lol: The internet isn't forgiving
Haha yea, pretty big oversight. Unless they really think he’d fall for some really odd reason.
if he's falling out of the Top 15, then that's a serious chunk of money...all because teams aren't comfortable? I get the risk, but he's the best of the crop this year despite it.

Go to college, take NIL money if Vanderbilt is willing to pay handsomely.

I can't see many teams outside of the Top 15 paying him Overslot, which he would rightfully command.
I feel like the A's or Rays wouldn't let him get past them.
A's slot value is $5.9m, Rays slot value is $5.3. I'm not an expert, but I think he'll expect north of $7m, and could/might settle for $6.5 to the A's, $6.25m to the Rays.

He's worth a Top 5 slot value, he won't get that...I understand this. He's a risk. He's worth much more than the 11 and 14 slot values....and the industry knows that. I think he has some leverage
He can "expect" but he won't have any leverage IMO. Vanderbilt has a team-wide NIL deal... as I understand it, all players get an equal share and then individually they can seek other NIL opportunities. I might be wrong... but I can't imagine any college baseball team paying anywhere near that amount.

Maybe if he slips farther than that, he bypasses and goes the Gerrit Cole route... of being a late first rounder and heading to college. It worked for Cole, but not many (any?) others.
thanks for the Vandy info. I didn't know this.

what about the "settle" numbers....are those too high? 6.5 and 6.25?....600K and 900K north of the slot. I'm probably wrong on that....the A's do have a ton of money to spend at 16m. Rays not so much at 10m
I don't think that if you draft him that high, that it would take an overslot number to get him signed. He'd be crazy to pass it up unless he's just hellbent on going to college. There is near zero upside and way too much risk.

If he slides to the back of the first / early second, then it'd have to be an overslot number I'd guess.

Carter Holton is a recent good example... and granted, not as highly rated as Hernandez. He likely would've gone 50-70 out of high school but he was committed to Vandy. Someone took a late flyer on him, maybe 19th round, but he went to college.

Some injuries at Vandy, so 3 years later he gets drafted maybe around the same spot in the second round he likely would have 3 years prior. And I think he's currently on the IL.
craviduce
Forum User
Posts: 18035
Joined: 23 May 2024 13:11 pm

Re: 2025 MLB Draft Room ~ Thread, Mocks, Discussion, Draft Boards

Post by craviduce »

An Old Friend wrote: 26 Jun 2025 12:10 pm
craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 11:46 am
An Old Friend wrote: 26 Jun 2025 11:43 am
craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 11:39 am
An Old Friend wrote: 26 Jun 2025 11:32 am
craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 11:25 am
Futuregm2 wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:21 am
craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:16 am
Futuregm2 wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:11 am
craviduce wrote: 26 Jun 2025 10:07 am
Whatashame wrote: 26 Jun 2025 08:22 am Just noticed that they didn’t have Seth Hernandez going anywhere in the top 27 picks of the first round. There can’t be that much bias against a big HS arm that he would fall to 55 as the Cardinals next pick.
which mock?
The Flobaseball one that you just put out that has us taking Willits.
that's a whoopsie on their part. They usually put out quality content. Not as fast as other publications, but the content is quality. Egg on their face. I bet their Social Media replies are toxic over this one :lol: The internet isn't forgiving
Haha yea, pretty big oversight. Unless they really think he’d fall for some really odd reason.
if he's falling out of the Top 15, then that's a serious chunk of money...all because teams aren't comfortable? I get the risk, but he's the best of the crop this year despite it.

Go to college, take NIL money if Vanderbilt is willing to pay handsomely.

I can't see many teams outside of the Top 15 paying him Overslot, which he would rightfully command.
I feel like the A's or Rays wouldn't let him get past them.
A's slot value is $5.9m, Rays slot value is $5.3. I'm not an expert, but I think he'll expect north of $7m, and could/might settle for $6.5 to the A's, $6.25m to the Rays.

He's worth a Top 5 slot value, he won't get that...I understand this. He's a risk. He's worth much more than the 11 and 14 slot values....and the industry knows that. I think he has some leverage
He can "expect" but he won't have any leverage IMO. Vanderbilt has a team-wide NIL deal... as I understand it, all players get an equal share and then individually they can seek other NIL opportunities. I might be wrong... but I can't imagine any college baseball team paying anywhere near that amount.

Maybe if he slips farther than that, he bypasses and goes the Gerrit Cole route... of being a late first rounder and heading to college. It worked for Cole, but not many (any?) others.
thanks for the Vandy info. I didn't know this.

what about the "settle" numbers....are those too high? 6.5 and 6.25?....600K and 900K north of the slot. I'm probably wrong on that....the A's do have a ton of money to spend at 16m. Rays not so much at 10m
I don't think that if you draft him that high, that it would take an overslot number to get him signed. He'd be crazy to pass it up unless he's just hellbent on going to college. There is near zero upside and way too much risk.

If he slides to the back of the first / early second, then it'd have to be an overslot number I'd guess.

Carter Holton is a recent good example... and granted, not as highly rated as Hernandez. He likely would've gone 50-70 out of high school but he was committed to Vandy. Someone took a late flyer on him, maybe 19th round, but he went to college.

Some injuries at Vandy, so 3 years later he gets drafted maybe around the same spot in the second round he likely would have 3 years prior. And I think he's currently on the IL.
I'm sorry....I flipped the correct info....Rays have the 16.7m in slot value, A's have 10.5m
Karmaloop3
Forum User
Posts: 64
Joined: 11 Jul 2021 13:48 pm

Re: 2025 MLB Draft Room ~ Thread, Mocks, Discussion, Draft Boards

Post by Karmaloop3 »

An Old Friend wrote: 26 Jun 2025 08:18 amOf the pitchers at the top, I like Jamie Arnold better than Anderson or Doyle. I don't see any chance that the Cards take a swing at Hernandez at 5, it's far too risky when you're picking that high.

I'm very intrigued by JoJo Parker or Arquette at 5.
Arnold has the most helium of all the arms at the top of the draft. Arnold has consistently been one of the top arms and he didn't do anything this year to suggest he's not going to go top 6. With how the way the season ended, I'm expecting him to go first. I don't think he gets past the Angels at 2 though. I don't hate Arquette at all. Am I tripping over him? Probably not. Plus, I don't think there's going to be much in the way of savings there. JoJo seems like he's going to shift off of short as he gets older/bigger. If we're going to go in that mold, I'd rather go with the more advanced guy in Arquette.
Post Reply