RotoGraphs on Jordan Walker
Posted: 13 Dec 2025 08:33 am
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Got a kid FS?TheFantasyStud wrote: ↑13 Dec 2025 09:57 am Come on Walker get her done.
My retirement is based pn your bowman chrome psa 10 auto rookie card.
rockondlouie wrote: ↑13 Dec 2025 10:35 amGot a kid FS?TheFantasyStud wrote: ↑13 Dec 2025 09:57 am Come on Walker get her done.
My retirement is based pn your bowman chrome psa 10 auto rookie card.
Then show him how we use to put cards like Walkers in the bike spokes.![]()
I agree. Let's hope JJW is the hitter he is hyped to be.....C-Unit wrote: ↑13 Dec 2025 11:07 am It would almost be more encouraging to me, rather than some random hot streak, to see Walker simply post a reasonable "floor" type season. Let's say we get to the AS break and he's hitting .270 with about a .775 OPS, maybe 8-10 homers and 40+ rbi or so. I'd look at that as a great sign. Although, I know given the defense and other factors that makeup WAR, that would probably not be interpreted as enough overall value all things considered. Even still, that's the type of thing that would really encourage me about his hitting. I hope out hope but as the article outlines there are a lot of things to fix. What a shame how far we are now from the optimism around him as a prospect.
For Wetherholt, I'm going to go off the 55 FV for now. In that, I don't think anyone is projecting him to be a league MVP type player. I think he has plus hit-tool abilities and that's the main appeal. If he becomes a consistent .290-.300 hitter (.370+ OBP) with 18-20 homers and 35+ doubles, I think he would be meeting expectations. He's going to have to be just one component of an overall bigger collection of core type position players. Hopefully RRodriguez, Bernal, and Baez (or Walker lol) are part of it one day along with Herrera and Winn (Burleson too). It'll have to grow.bccardsfan wrote: ↑13 Dec 2025 11:13 amI agree. Let's hope JJW is the hitter he is hyped to be.....C-Unit wrote: ↑13 Dec 2025 11:07 am It would almost be more encouraging to me, rather than some random hot streak, to see Walker simply post a reasonable "floor" type season. Let's say we get to the AS break and he's hitting .270 with about a .775 OPS, maybe 8-10 homers and 40+ rbi or so. I'd look at that as a great sign. Although, I know given the defense and other factors that makeup WAR, that would probably not be interpreted as enough overall value all things considered. Even still, that's the type of thing that would really encourage me about his hitting. I hope out hope but as the article outlines there are a lot of things to fix. What a shame how far we are now from the optimism around him as a prospect.
It depends how he gets there.C-Unit wrote: ↑13 Dec 2025 11:07 am It would almost be more encouraging to me, rather than some random hot streak, to see Walker simply post a reasonable "floor" type season. Let's say we get to the AS break and he's hitting .270 with about a .775 OPS, maybe 8-10 homers and 40+ rbi or so. I'd look at that as a great sign. Although, I know given the defense and other factors that makeup WAR, that would probably not be interpreted as enough overall value all things considered. Even still, that's the type of thing that would really encourage me about his hitting. I hope out hope but as the article outlines there are a lot of things to fix. What a shame how far we are now from the optimism around him as a prospect.
Huh?????juan good eye wrote: ↑13 Dec 2025 11:42 amIt depends how he gets there.C-Unit wrote: ↑13 Dec 2025 11:07 am It would almost be more encouraging to me, rather than some random hot streak, to see Walker simply post a reasonable "floor" type season. Let's say we get to the AS break and he's hitting .270 with about a .775 OPS, maybe 8-10 homers and 40+ rbi or so. I'd look at that as a great sign. Although, I know given the defense and other factors that makeup WAR, that would probably not be interpreted as enough overall value all things considered. Even still, that's the type of thing that would really encourage me about his hitting. I hope out hope but as the article outlines there are a lot of things to fix. What a shame how far we are now from the optimism around him as a prospect.
Slow but steady progress?
Are the underlying metrics positive?
Or is he selling out in every other area of his AB just to only pace for 20ish homers while having some short term high BABIP propping up his BA midway through the season?
If Walker puts up a 775 OPS and he can improve his defense to average, we should be doing cartwheels. That is an enormous improvement. He has the talent, it is all about pitch recognition. If he can learn that, he will probably not hit the ceiling we all hoped he might. But, a solid 800 OPS player is not unattainable. For players with eligible ABS, there were only 47 players that did that in 2025. So that is still a fantastic player even if not elite. The Cardinals had exactly 1 player on the list of 47 last year, Alec Burleson.C-Unit wrote: ↑13 Dec 2025 11:07 am It would almost be more encouraging to me, rather than some random hot streak, to see Walker simply post a reasonable "floor" type season. Let's say we get to the AS break and he's hitting .270 with about a .775 OPS, maybe 8-10 homers and 40+ rbi or so. I'd look at that as a great sign. Although, I know given the defense and other factors that makeup WAR, that would probably not be interpreted as enough overall value all things considered. Even still, that's the type of thing that would really encourage me about his hitting. I hope out hope but as the article outlines there are a lot of things to fix. What a shame how far we are now from the optimism around him as a prospect.
Wetherholdt is rated a 60 as far as I can see and his hit tool was rated 65. I think Brendan Donovan with a bit more power is who he likely will be. So a 290/370/450 is probably the right expectation. Ceiling is probably 300/385/480. Donovan for comparison has a career slash line is 282/361/411. I agree with your comment entirely other than I am assuming your first line was a typo.C-Unit wrote: ↑13 Dec 2025 11:26 amFor Wetherholt, I'm going to go off the 55 FV for now. In that, I don't think anyone is projecting him to be a league MVP type player. I think he has plus hit-tool abilities and that's the main appeal. If he becomes a consistent .290-.300 hitter (.370+ OBP) with 18-20 homers and 35+ doubles, I think he would be meeting expectations. He's going to have to be just one component of an overall bigger collection of core type position players. Hopefully RRodriguez, Bernal, and Baez (or Walker lol) are part of it one day along with Herrera and Winn (Burleson too). It'll have to grow.bccardsfan wrote: ↑13 Dec 2025 11:13 amI agree. Let's hope JJW is the hitter he is hyped to be.....C-Unit wrote: ↑13 Dec 2025 11:07 am It would almost be more encouraging to me, rather than some random hot streak, to see Walker simply post a reasonable "floor" type season. Let's say we get to the AS break and he's hitting .270 with about a .775 OPS, maybe 8-10 homers and 40+ rbi or so. I'd look at that as a great sign. Although, I know given the defense and other factors that makeup WAR, that would probably not be interpreted as enough overall value all things considered. Even still, that's the type of thing that would really encourage me about his hitting. I hope out hope but as the article outlines there are a lot of things to fix. What a shame how far we are now from the optimism around him as a prospect.
Well, the other aspect of it that makes it interesting is Walker is arb-eligible in 2027. So it's interesting to think about different outcomes this season and how that affects the decision next offseason on whether to trade him or keep him into his arb years, or potentially even non-tender depending on what happens.ICCFIM2 wrote: ↑13 Dec 2025 13:33 pmIf Walker puts up a 775 OPS and he can improve his defense to average, we should be doing cartwheels. That is an enormous improvement. He has the talent, it is all about pitch recognition. If he can learn that, he will probably not hit the ceiling we all hoped he might. But, a solid 800 OPS player is not unattainable. For players with eligible ABS, there were only 47 players that did that in 2025. So that is still a fantastic player even if not elite. The Cardinals had exactly 1 player on the list of 47 last year, Alec Burleson.C-Unit wrote: ↑13 Dec 2025 11:07 am It would almost be more encouraging to me, rather than some random hot streak, to see Walker simply post a reasonable "floor" type season. Let's say we get to the AS break and he's hitting .270 with about a .775 OPS, maybe 8-10 homers and 40+ rbi or so. I'd look at that as a great sign. Although, I know given the defense and other factors that makeup WAR, that would probably not be interpreted as enough overall value all things considered. Even still, that's the type of thing that would really encourage me about his hitting. I hope out hope but as the article outlines there are a lot of things to fix. What a shame how far we are now from the optimism around him as a prospect.