JDW wrote: ↑01 Dec 2025 10:42 am
They already have some good pieces to work with.
Do we though? I keep going back and forth on this.
On one hand, had we kept most of 2025 roster that was over .500 in July when we decided to sell and then did the following:
1. refill the closer role
2. bring back Maton or similar
3. Use McGreevey for a full year instead of Fedde
4. Keep Gray and others.
5. backfill Mikolas with his available salary
--so far we haven't really "added" any costs.
6. add one additional starter via trade or FA to replace/upgrade on Pallante and push him to #6/#7 or bullpen. Mabye Fitz could have been acquired for a Hence or Crooks level prospect or even less to fill this role.
7. Replace Oli when an experienced chemistry building manager who can also develop younger prospects who don't listen to a young guy like Oli (think Tony's dad look).
this right here makes us a winning team if we run it back with the same results otherwise.
8. Then maybe we trade Donovan for someone like Andy Pages, put JJW at 2b. Now we have a ROY candidate at 2b and a potential AS in CF or RF who hit 27 HRs last year. That's a huge upgrade.
9. Mid year or late year we possibly have Matthews or Doyle arriving to boost the pitching staff.
10. the new coaches brought in from #7 actually click with some of Walker, Noot, Gorman, Scott, Sagesse, Winn from the bat side and 2-3 of them surprise to the upside and reach expectations both offensively and defensively. That's another 4-7 WAR. Maybe 8-10 if Walker is one and quits posting negatives.
--now that just over .500 team from most of 2025 is looking at 90+ wins and contending for a division. And we haven't even broken the bank on a Tatis trade or a Tucker/Belliger signing.
--Other improvements are available at attainable cost:
Realmuto on a 1-2 year deal
Kelly to the rotation as FA
Bader as another OF improvement over what we've got
We don't have do even do any of these but that would just add to the expected win total we would already have. And of course it depends on having a manager who can get the best out of everyone available. But yes, I think there was a path to compete soon and there was high level prospect help to push us over the "top" into contention in 26 and even moreso in 27.
Meanwhile, selling anything that costs money does indeed make us unable to get to competition in the near term under any realistic scenarios, so it becomes a question of how much we are going to get out of those born after 2002? And I fear its not nearly enough to hit this "critical mass" for BDW to be willing to spend on the fill in talent that would be needed to compete again without fans already in the stands to support the investment needed. Especially with Oli and the status quo. Now JJW will have all the pressure on to proxy as a MoTo bat, Doyle when he arrives will be expected to face #2 opposing SPs. Games will be frittered away due to not having an experienced closer, hurting morale and chemistry. And the big question - how much can all these prospects actually develop After they hit the MLB level. So far very few are surprising to the upside and having career years like Tony got out of random guys like Craig and Ludwick.
I keep wondering even if Bloom executes his strategy brillaintly, will circumstances dictate that its doomed to never be quite enough, especially with Oli not giving our talent any kind of boost at the MLB level?