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Projected wins among Wild Card contenders

Posted: 14 Jul 2025 17:54 pm
by DickyBennett
Consensus of multiple models

Brewers 90
Padres 89
Mets 87

Cards 85
Reds 84
Giants 83

Sell, sell, sell

Re: Projected wins among Wild Card contenders

Posted: 14 Jul 2025 20:41 pm
by hmoss859
Mets will get to 90
Padres will get to 90
Brewers will get to 90

Phillies, Dodgers and Cubs win division

Everybody else falls short

Cards
Reds
Giants

Re: Projected wins among Wild Card contenders

Posted: 15 Jul 2025 12:54 pm
by DickyBennett
hmoss859 wrote: 14 Jul 2025 20:41 pm Mets will get to 90
Padres will get to 90
Brewers will get to 90

Phillies, Dodgers and Cubs win division

Everybody else falls short

Cards
Reds
Giants
28% playoff chance per Fan Graphs says SELL

Re: Projected wins among Wild Card contenders

Posted: 15 Jul 2025 14:02 pm
by Cardinals4Life
Baseball Savant wrote: 14 Jul 2025 17:54 pm Consensus of multiple models

Brewers 90
Padres 89
Mets 87

Cards 85
Reds 84
Giants 83

Sell, sell, sell
How about we play the games before selling based on projections. It's a game. It's baseball. Anything can happen.

Re: Projected wins among Wild Card contenders

Posted: 15 Jul 2025 14:44 pm
by JohnnyMO
As I’ve said all season, the team can both sell and improve their playoff chances. Mikolas and Fedde will be addition by subtraction. Swapping Arenado’s at bats for Gorman, Saggese, maybe Weathwrholt is probably a neutral move. Get rid of those three for any upside you can get.

The only moves that would hurt the team for 2025 would be trading Matz and Helsley. But I’d still move at least one of them because it’s worth it for 2026 and beyond. Maybe you get some under the radar bullpen arms back with some of what you sell to mitigate the damage.

Re: Projected wins among Wild Card contenders

Posted: 15 Jul 2025 16:49 pm
by 11WSChamps
Matz should be moved and if someone blows you away Helsley as well.

Their best days are both behind them.

Re: Projected wins among Wild Card contenders

Posted: 15 Jul 2025 18:25 pm
by Youboughtit
Baseball Savant wrote: 14 Jul 2025 17:54 pm Consensus of multiple models

Brewers 90
Padres 89
Mets 87

Cards 85
Reds 84
Giants 83

Sell, sell, sell
Before the others add. That’s the real issue. For the cards to get to 90 wins they need to add BIG pieces and they simply don’t have the stomach for it even with all this unspent $.

Re: Projected wins among Wild Card contenders

Posted: 15 Jul 2025 20:19 pm
by DickyBennett
Time to look forward to a new regime

Bloom fingerprints on draft

But ya gotta sell some pieces for the future

Helsley
Matz
Maton
Fedde