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Re: Cards need to tank last 3 at Wrigley

Posted: 28 Sep 2025 16:25 pm
by cbcardsfan
Tank??? Just be who they are and they’ll take care of it

Re: Cards need to tank last 3 at Wrigley

Posted: 28 Sep 2025 16:34 pm
by 82birds
swept in Wrigley and end with four-games losing streak

Re: Cards need to tank last 3 at Wrigley

Posted: 28 Sep 2025 16:36 pm
by hmoss859
https://www.tankathon.com/mlb

Well done boys!

https://www.tankathon.com/mlb/pick_odds

Marlins pass Cardinals on last day.

Don't blow the pick Bloom!

Re: Cards need to tank last 3 at Wrigley

Posted: 28 Sep 2025 17:04 pm
by RunSup
82birds wrote: 28 Sep 2025 16:34 pm swept in Wrigley and end with four-games losing streak
Mission complete. They finally got something right.

Marlins win! Met$ get bounced from the playoffs. The Reds get in ... and move to the back end of the draft

Cardinals slot into the 8th pick in the lottery. They could easily slide to pick 13 or 14. But have a much better chance at staying in the top 10 of the 2026 draft.

Re: Cards need to tank last 3 at Wrigley

Posted: 28 Sep 2025 17:12 pm
by hmoss859
RunSup wrote: 28 Sep 2025 17:04 pm
82birds wrote: 28 Sep 2025 16:34 pm swept in Wrigley and end with four-games losing streak
Mission complete. They finally got something right.

Marlins win! Met$ get bounced from the playoffs. The Reds get in ... and move to the back end of the draft

Cardinals slot into the 8th pick in the lottery. They could easily slide to pick 13 or 14. But have a much better chance at staying in the top 10 of the 2026 draft.
They have a 3% chance of not getting a Top Ten pick! I would not classify that as easily sliding to 13 or 14

They have a 30% chance to get a top 6 pick

Most likely pick is 8 or 9 (50% chance)

Read the chart in above post

Re: Cards need to tank last 3 at Wrigley

Posted: 29 Sep 2025 00:03 am
by Shady
hmoss859 wrote: 28 Sep 2025 17:12 pm
RunSup wrote: 28 Sep 2025 17:04 pm
82birds wrote: 28 Sep 2025 16:34 pm swept in Wrigley and end with four-games losing streak
Mission complete. They finally got something right.

Marlins win! Met$ get bounced from the playoffs. The Reds get in ... and move to the back end of the draft

Cardinals slot into the 8th pick in the lottery. They could easily slide to pick 13 or 14. But have a much better chance at staying in the top 10 of the 2026 draft.
They have a 3% chance of not getting a Top Ten pick! I would not classify that as easily sliding to 13 or 14

They have a 30% chance to get a top 6 pick

Most likely pick is 8 or 9 (50% chance)

Read the chart in above post
When will this be decided?

Re: Cards need to tank last 3 at Wrigley

Posted: 29 Sep 2025 10:37 am
by Shady
Shady wrote: 29 Sep 2025 00:03 am
hmoss859 wrote: 28 Sep 2025 17:12 pm
RunSup wrote: 28 Sep 2025 17:04 pm
82birds wrote: 28 Sep 2025 16:34 pm swept in Wrigley and end with four-games losing streak
Mission complete. They finally got something right.

Marlins win! Met$ get bounced from the playoffs. The Reds get in ... and move to the back end of the draft

Cardinals slot into the 8th pick in the lottery. They could easily slide to pick 13 or 14. But have a much better chance at staying in the top 10 of the 2026 draft.
They have a 3% chance of not getting a Top Ten pick! I would not classify that as easily sliding to 13 or 14

They have a 30% chance to get a top 6 pick

Most likely pick is 8 or 9 (50% chance)

Read the chart in above post
When will this be decided?
I believe the lottery will take place at the Winter Meetings in December. Followed by the draft order.

Re: Cards need to tank last 3 at Wrigley

Posted: 29 Sep 2025 14:30 pm
by RunSup
hmoss859 wrote: 28 Sep 2025 17:12 pm
RunSup wrote: 28 Sep 2025 17:04 pm
82birds wrote: 28 Sep 2025 16:34 pm swept in Wrigley and end with four-games losing streak
Mission complete. They finally got something right.

Marlins win! Met$ get bounced from the playoffs. The Reds get in ... and move to the back end of the draft

Cardinals slot into the 8th pick in the lottery. They could easily slide to pick 13 or 14. But have a much better chance at staying in the top 10 of the 2026 draft.
They have a 3% chance of not getting a Top Ten pick! I would not classify that as easily sliding to 13 or 14

They have a 30% chance to get a top 6 pick

Most likely pick is 8 or 9 (50% chance)

Read the chart in above post
Only 2 teams need to get lottery above the Cardinals for them to fall to 13. The teams at 10,11,and 12 will get their picks in at those points regardless.

Run the Tankathon simulator and see that the chances of Cardinals picking at 13 or after is much higher than 3%. I'd say it's more more like 20%+. I won't do the math.

But the fact that they have the 8th slot makes it that much more likely the stay in the top 9

Re: Cards need to tank last 3 at Wrigley

Posted: 29 Sep 2025 16:17 pm
by 82birds
RunSup wrote: 28 Sep 2025 17:04 pm
82birds wrote: 28 Sep 2025 16:34 pm swept in Wrigley and end with four-games losing streak
Mission complete. They finally got something right.

Marlins win! Met$ get bounced from the playoffs. The Reds get in ... and move to the back end of the draft

Cardinals slot into the 8th pick in the lottery. They could easily slide to pick 13 or 14. But have a much better chance at staying in the top 10 of the 2026 draft.
:)