Page 4 of 5

Re: Can Victor Scott

Posted: 14 Oct 2025 10:45 am
by Basil Shabazz
VS2's a perfect young CF to have if the rest of the lineup is sound. Then you can bat him 9th and let him play GG defense. Every time he gets on base from the 9th hole, he would put pressure on the defense/pitcher as the top of the order comes up.

However, if your 6, 7, and 8 hitters are all below par, then Scott isn't a guy who brings benefits. He adds to an already weak-hitting lineup.

Re: Can Victor Scott

Posted: 14 Oct 2025 10:47 am
by JDW
3dender wrote: 14 Oct 2025 09:51 am
ClassicO wrote: 14 Oct 2025 09:26 am The fixation with thinking improving his bunting will magically make him a valuable enough player to be a productive starter is puzzling.
What's puzzling is that you don't think 2 WAR is a productive starter.

He's already a productive starter at one of the most defensively important positions. The question isn't if he can be "productive" in general it's if he can be productive at the plate, which will make his total production borderline All-Star.
Yeah, I agree 3D. VS2 was a borderline productive starter this year, and it wouldn't take much improvement to remove the borderline next year.
He showed just enough improvement year to year to give him some leash going into 2026.
You should never quit looking for any position improvement or better fit, but VS2 has a chance to be a good fit here, especially if the Cards go with corner OF'ers that lack defensive plusses.
W/o the newer rules that help base runners, not sure I'd have the same level of patience, but almost any young player/prospect who can steal bases at near the 90% success rate at the MLB level has a chance to become a dynamic offensive threat.

Re: Can Victor Scott

Posted: 14 Oct 2025 10:50 am
by 3dender
rockondlouie wrote: 14 Oct 2025 10:43 am Just blows my mind how many times VSII would actually get on base w/noone on 2nd and Oli would ANCHOR him to the bag. ::crazya::

With a .320-.330 OB% VSII could easily swipe 100 bases (89% success rate last season!) ala V. Coleman.

But will he ever get to that OB% level?
His .305 OBP in his first full year when he hasn't even hit his physical peak suggests that yes, he can probably get to that level if not higher.

Re: Can Victor Scott

Posted: 14 Oct 2025 10:54 am
by rockondlouie
3dender wrote: 14 Oct 2025 10:50 am
rockondlouie wrote: 14 Oct 2025 10:43 am Just blows my mind how many times VSII would actually get on base w/noone on 2nd and Oli would ANCHOR him to the bag. ::crazya::

With a .320-.330 OB% VSII could easily swipe 100 bases (89% success rate last season!) ala V. Coleman.

But will he ever get to that OB% level?
His .305 OBP in his first full year when he hasn't even hit his physical peak suggests that yes, he can probably get to that level if not higher.
As long as C. Bloom can surround him w/a couple solid hitting OF'ers, then VSII would be an asset in CF who could play GG defense and steal a ton of bases from the #9 hole (he'd have to really up that OB% to be a solid lead-off man).

Re: Can Victor Scott

Posted: 14 Oct 2025 10:55 am
by moose-and-squirrel
Billy

Hamilton

embrace it folks

Re: Can Victor Scott

Posted: 14 Oct 2025 10:55 am
by Ozziesfan41
3dender wrote: 14 Oct 2025 10:50 am
rockondlouie wrote: 14 Oct 2025 10:43 am Just blows my mind how many times VSII would actually get on base w/noone on 2nd and Oli would ANCHOR him to the bag. ::crazya::

With a .320-.330 OB% VSII could easily swipe 100 bases (89% success rate last season!) ala V. Coleman.

But will he ever get to that OB% level?
His .305 OBP in his first full year when he hasn't even hit his physical peak suggests that yes, he can probably get to that level if not higher.
Hey raised it from .219 in 2024 to .305 in 2025 definitely worth giving him another season to see if he can increase it more

Re: Can Victor Scott

Posted: 14 Oct 2025 11:36 am
by AZ_Cardsfan
rockondlouie wrote: 14 Oct 2025 08:36 am
AZ_Cardsfan wrote: 13 Oct 2025 16:22 pm
rockondlouie wrote: 13 Oct 2025 14:37 pm
scoutyjones2 wrote: 13 Oct 2025 09:29 am He is Billy Hamilton
My comp and fear too scouty.
I don't see that. Hamilton was fast but really that was ALL he was. Scott is a better defender. And while Scott will never be confused with a power hitter they can't knock the bat out of his hands with high velocity. They did it to Hamilton a lot.

I'm willing to give Scott a long look next year to see if he adjusts and as others have mentioned bunt a bit and take advantage of his speed. He doesn't have to do that much more to be an asset every day in CF. STL is OK if up the middle some combination of Bernal/Rodriguez meets projections, JJ and Winn keystone and Scott in CF. That is a group that could gel and be solid on both sides of the ball.

Assuming they trade off Arenado and Contreras (which I think they will try to do) Burleson plays 1B and Herrera DH. The key to all of this is they NEED productive hitters at the corners.

The NEED someone from Gorman, Walker, Saggese, etc to become bats first kind of guys. And better still add a real star like to play 3B or LF. But I'm betting they don't sign much this year looking at a work stoppage and reduced fan support.

Then of course there is the pitching problems to deal with but another day for that. :D
Well let's see.........

Hamilton age 24 season:

4 HR
57 SB's
.226 .274 .289 .563

VSII age 24 season:

5 HR
34 SB's
.216 .305 .296 .601

And you'd also be wrong stating that "Scott is a better defender":

Hamilton had 22 OAA in 2016 (first year stat was available)
VSII had 16 OAA in 2025

VSII (190 lbs) is much bigger and stronger than the razor thin Hamilton (160 lbs) but their slg%'s are remarkably close in their age 24 seasons while Hamilton was the superior base stealer and defensive CFer.

Unless C. Bloom can come up w/a better option in CF next season, then VSII will get another chance to show he can get on base or he's tossed to the scrap pile like J. Walker & N. Gorman will be if they fail in 2025.
Fair enough. I still say the big difference is Hamilton was so weak they knocked the bat out of his hands. And in fairness - his career stats were 239/292/325. I think VS shows enough strength to exceed those numbers. We shall see.

Re: Can Victor Scott

Posted: 14 Oct 2025 11:42 am
by rockondlouie
AZ_Cardsfan wrote: 14 Oct 2025 11:36 am
rockondlouie wrote: 14 Oct 2025 08:36 am
AZ_Cardsfan wrote: 13 Oct 2025 16:22 pm
rockondlouie wrote: 13 Oct 2025 14:37 pm
scoutyjones2 wrote: 13 Oct 2025 09:29 am He is Billy Hamilton
My comp and fear too scouty.
I don't see that. Hamilton was fast but really that was ALL he was. Scott is a better defender. And while Scott will never be confused with a power hitter they can't knock the bat out of his hands with high velocity. They did it to Hamilton a lot.

I'm willing to give Scott a long look next year to see if he adjusts and as others have mentioned bunt a bit and take advantage of his speed. He doesn't have to do that much more to be an asset every day in CF. STL is OK if up the middle some combination of Bernal/Rodriguez meets projections, JJ and Winn keystone and Scott in CF. That is a group that could gel and be solid on both sides of the ball.

Assuming they trade off Arenado and Contreras (which I think they will try to do) Burleson plays 1B and Herrera DH. The key to all of this is they NEED productive hitters at the corners.

The NEED someone from Gorman, Walker, Saggese, etc to become bats first kind of guys. And better still add a real star like to play 3B or LF. But I'm betting they don't sign much this year looking at a work stoppage and reduced fan support.

Then of course there is the pitching problems to deal with but another day for that. :D
Well let's see.........

Hamilton age 24 season:

4 HR
57 SB's
.226 .274 .289 .563

VSII age 24 season:

5 HR
34 SB's
.216 .305 .296 .601

And you'd also be wrong stating that "Scott is a better defender":

Hamilton had 22 OAA in 2016 (first year stat was available)
VSII had 16 OAA in 2025

VSII (190 lbs) is much bigger and stronger than the razor thin Hamilton (160 lbs) but their slg%'s are remarkably close in their age 24 seasons while Hamilton was the superior base stealer and defensive CFer.

Unless C. Bloom can come up w/a better option in CF next season, then VSII will get another chance to show he can get on base or he's tossed to the scrap pile like J. Walker & N. Gorman will be if they fail in 2025.
Fair enough. I still say the big difference is Hamilton was so weak they knocked the bat out of his hands. And in fairness - his career stats were 239/292/325. I think VS shows enough strength to exceed those numbers. We shall see.
Yep

The 190 lb VSII is solid vs the stick man, 160 lb Hamilton.

And I hope you're right and VSII is a much better player over time.

Re: Can Victor Scott

Posted: 14 Oct 2025 12:47 pm
by rage-STL
rockondlouie wrote: 14 Oct 2025 11:42 am
AZ_Cardsfan wrote: 14 Oct 2025 11:36 am
rockondlouie wrote: 14 Oct 2025 08:36 am
AZ_Cardsfan wrote: 13 Oct 2025 16:22 pm
rockondlouie wrote: 13 Oct 2025 14:37 pm
scoutyjones2 wrote: 13 Oct 2025 09:29 am He is Billy Hamilton
My comp and fear too scouty.
I don't see that. Hamilton was fast but really that was ALL he was. Scott is a better defender. And while Scott will never be confused with a power hitter they can't knock the bat out of his hands with high velocity. They did it to Hamilton a lot.

I'm willing to give Scott a long look next year to see if he adjusts and as others have mentioned bunt a bit and take advantage of his speed. He doesn't have to do that much more to be an asset every day in CF. STL is OK if up the middle some combination of Bernal/Rodriguez meets projections, JJ and Winn keystone and Scott in CF. That is a group that could gel and be solid on both sides of the ball.

Assuming they trade off Arenado and Contreras (which I think they will try to do) Burleson plays 1B and Herrera DH. The key to all of this is they NEED productive hitters at the corners.

The NEED someone from Gorman, Walker, Saggese, etc to become bats first kind of guys. And better still add a real star like to play 3B or LF. But I'm betting they don't sign much this year looking at a work stoppage and reduced fan support.

Then of course there is the pitching problems to deal with but another day for that. :D
Well let's see.........

Hamilton age 24 season:

4 HR
57 SB's
.226 .274 .289 .563

VSII age 24 season:

5 HR
34 SB's
.216 .305 .296 .601

And you'd also be wrong stating that "Scott is a better defender":

Hamilton had 22 OAA in 2016 (first year stat was available)
VSII had 16 OAA in 2025

VSII (190 lbs) is much bigger and stronger than the razor thin Hamilton (160 lbs) but their slg%'s are remarkably close in their age 24 seasons while Hamilton was the superior base stealer and defensive CFer.

Unless C. Bloom can come up w/a better option in CF next season, then VSII will get another chance to show he can get on base or he's tossed to the scrap pile like J. Walker & N. Gorman will be if they fail in 2025.
Fair enough. I still say the big difference is Hamilton was so weak they knocked the bat out of his hands. And in fairness - his career stats were 239/292/325. I think VS shows enough strength to exceed those numbers. We shall see.
Yep

The 190 lb VSII is solid vs the stick man, 160 lb Hamilton.

And I hope you're right and VSII is a much better player over time.
Is Victor Scott that far off from a Sal Frelick comp?

Frelick age 24 season:

2 HR
18 SB's
.259 .320 .335 .655

VSII age 24 season:

5 HR
34 SB's
.216 .305 .296 .601

Frelick had a breakout age 25 season this year. Taking into consideration the strength of the overall lineup Frelick is playing in along with the coaching/team offensive approach the Brewers display; it's clear VSII can't get there alone. He really needs to cutdown on his strike outs and buy in to a high contact approach. Put the ball in play, where it's pitched, and that OBP will climb. The entire Cardinals lineup needs more cohesion and a more team oriented offensive approach overall. Lots of work to be done between now and opening day 2026.

Re: Can Victor Scott

Posted: 14 Oct 2025 12:55 pm
by rockondlouie
rage-STL wrote: 14 Oct 2025 12:47 pm
rockondlouie wrote: 14 Oct 2025 11:42 am
AZ_Cardsfan wrote: 14 Oct 2025 11:36 am
rockondlouie wrote: 14 Oct 2025 08:36 am
AZ_Cardsfan wrote: 13 Oct 2025 16:22 pm
rockondlouie wrote: 13 Oct 2025 14:37 pm
scoutyjones2 wrote: 13 Oct 2025 09:29 am He is Billy Hamilton
My comp and fear too scouty.
I don't see that. Hamilton was fast but really that was ALL he was. Scott is a better defender. And while Scott will never be confused with a power hitter they can't knock the bat out of his hands with high velocity. They did it to Hamilton a lot.

I'm willing to give Scott a long look next year to see if he adjusts and as others have mentioned bunt a bit and take advantage of his speed. He doesn't have to do that much more to be an asset every day in CF. STL is OK if up the middle some combination of Bernal/Rodriguez meets projections, JJ and Winn keystone and Scott in CF. That is a group that could gel and be solid on both sides of the ball.

Assuming they trade off Arenado and Contreras (which I think they will try to do) Burleson plays 1B and Herrera DH. The key to all of this is they NEED productive hitters at the corners.

The NEED someone from Gorman, Walker, Saggese, etc to become bats first kind of guys. And better still add a real star like to play 3B or LF. But I'm betting they don't sign much this year looking at a work stoppage and reduced fan support.

Then of course there is the pitching problems to deal with but another day for that. :D
Well let's see.........

Hamilton age 24 season:

4 HR
57 SB's
.226 .274 .289 .563

VSII age 24 season:

5 HR
34 SB's
.216 .305 .296 .601

And you'd also be wrong stating that "Scott is a better defender":

Hamilton had 22 OAA in 2016 (first year stat was available)
VSII had 16 OAA in 2025

VSII (190 lbs) is much bigger and stronger than the razor thin Hamilton (160 lbs) but their slg%'s are remarkably close in their age 24 seasons while Hamilton was the superior base stealer and defensive CFer.

Unless C. Bloom can come up w/a better option in CF next season, then VSII will get another chance to show he can get on base or he's tossed to the scrap pile like J. Walker & N. Gorman will be if they fail in 2025.
Fair enough. I still say the big difference is Hamilton was so weak they knocked the bat out of his hands. And in fairness - his career stats were 239/292/325. I think VS shows enough strength to exceed those numbers. We shall see.
Yep

The 190 lb VSII is solid vs the stick man, 160 lb Hamilton.

And I hope you're right and VSII is a much better player over time.
Is Victor Scott that far off from a Sal Frelick comp?

Frelick age 24 season:

2 HR
18 SB's
.259 .320 .335 .655

VSII age 24 season:

5 HR
34 SB's
.216 .305 .296 .601

Frelick had a breakout age 25 season this year. Taking into consideration the strength of the overall lineup Frelick is playing in along with the coaching/team offensive approach the Brewers display; it's clear VSII can't get there alone. He really needs to cutdown on his strike outs and buy in to a high contact approach. Put the ball in play, where it's pitched, and that OBP will climb. The entire Cardinals lineup needs more cohesion and a more team oriented offensive approach overall. Lots of work to be done between now and opening day 2026.
We can only hope VSII follows the same career path, just not sure he can given Frelick slashed .288 .351 .405 .756 in this his age 25 season.

That would be one mighty leap for VSII but what a difference maker he'd be leading off w/that kind of line!

Re: Can Victor Scott

Posted: 14 Oct 2025 12:58 pm
by 3dender
rage-STL wrote: 14 Oct 2025 12:47 pm Is Victor Scott that far off from a Sal Frelick comp?

Frelick age 24 season:

2 HR
18 SB's
.259 .320 .335 .655

VSII age 24 season:

5 HR
34 SB's
.216 .305 .296 .601

Frelick had a breakout age 25 season this year. Taking into consideration the strength of the overall lineup Frelick is playing in along with the coaching/team offensive approach the Brewers display; it's clear VSII can't get there alone. He really needs to cutdown on his strike outs and buy in to a high contact approach. Put the ball in play, where it's pitched, and that OBP will climb. The entire Cardinals lineup needs more cohesion and a more team oriented offensive approach overall. Lots of work to be done between now and opening day 2026.
Frelick is a different type of hitter, much higher contact/lower K-rate. Career 14.5% K-rate compared to Scott's 24.8%.

I don't think there's any amount of improvement on the near horizon that gets Scott to Frelick's .350 OBP (his career worst was .320 last year, which we'd love Scott to get to).

Re: Can Victor Scott

Posted: 14 Oct 2025 13:03 pm
by dugoutrex
Bader was a much better overall player than VS and he was run out on a rail

Re: Can Victor Scott

Posted: 14 Oct 2025 13:10 pm
by The Nard
I wouldn’t can him after just one season.

Re: Can Victor Scott

Posted: 14 Oct 2025 13:20 pm
by 3dender
dugoutrex wrote: 14 Oct 2025 13:03 pm Bader was a much better overall player than VS and he was run out on a rail
He was a somewhat better player according to bWAR... worth 2.6 WAR per season in his time with STL compared to Scott's 2.2 in 2025. And he didn't have the elite speed and exciting base-stealing.

But rest assured, fans will give up on Scott if he doesn't improve much sooner than they did Bader, after year 2 I'd bet.

Re: Can Victor Scott

Posted: 14 Oct 2025 14:17 pm
by AZ_Cardsfan
dugoutrex wrote: 14 Oct 2025 13:03 pm Bader was a much better overall player than VS and he was run out on a rail
I don't know what qualifies as run out of town but he played parts of 6 seasons in STL and was traded for Jordan Montgomery.

Re: Can Victor Scott

Posted: 14 Oct 2025 14:21 pm
by scoutyjones2
rockondlouie wrote: 14 Oct 2025 10:43 am
icon wrote: 14 Oct 2025 10:27 am
rockondlouie wrote: 14 Oct 2025 08:36 am
AZ_Cardsfan wrote: 13 Oct 2025 16:22 pm
rockondlouie wrote: 13 Oct 2025 14:37 pm
scoutyjones2 wrote: 13 Oct 2025 09:29 am He is Billy Hamilton
My comp and fear too scouty.
I don't see that. Hamilton was fast but really that was ALL he was. Scott is a better defender. And while Scott will never be confused with a power hitter they can't knock the bat out of his hands with high velocity. They did it to Hamilton a lot.

I'm willing to give Scott a long look next year to see if he adjusts and as others have mentioned bunt a bit and take advantage of his speed. He doesn't have to do that much more to be an asset every day in CF. STL is OK if up the middle some combination of Bernal/Rodriguez meets projections, JJ and Winn keystone and Scott in CF. That is a group that could gel and be solid on both sides of the ball.

Assuming they trade off Arenado and Contreras (which I think they will try to do) Burleson plays 1B and Herrera DH. The key to all of this is they NEED productive hitters at the corners.

The NEED someone from Gorman, Walker, Saggese, etc to become bats first kind of guys. And better still add a real star like to play 3B or LF. But I'm betting they don't sign much this year looking at a work stoppage and reduced fan support.

Then of course there is the pitching problems to deal with but another day for that. :D
Well let's see.........

Hamilton age 24 season:

4 HR
57 SB's
.226 .274 .289 .563

VSII age 24 season:

5 HR
34 SB's
.216 .305 .296 .601

And you'd also be wrong stating that "Scott is a better defender":

Hamilton had 22 OAA in 2016 (first year stat was available)
VSII had 16 OAA in 2025

VSII (190 lbs) is much bigger and stronger than the razor thin Hamilton (160 lbs) but their slg%'s are remarkably close in their age 24 seasons while Hamilton was the superior base stealer and defensive CFer.

Unless C. Bloom can come up w/a better option in CF next season, then VSII will get another chance to show he can get on base or he's tossed to the scrap pile like J. Walker & N. Gorman will be if they fail in 2025.
Yeah, those stats for Hamilton fit my memory of him. A great defensive CF with great speed and a weak bat. Very comparable to Scott today. But Oli will never let him steal 57 bases. Not in his DNA. He likes to wait for the 3-run HR on a team with little HR power.
Just blows my mind how many times VSII would actually get on base w/noone on 2nd and Oli would ANCHOR him to the bag. ::crazya::

With a .320-.330 OB% VSII could easily swipe 100 bases (89% success rate last season!) ala V. Coleman.

But will he ever get to that OB% level?
How many times were those opportunities? Was a lefty pitching? 2 Outs? Curious...

He had 86 hits, 15 were doubles and 34 SBs in 42 attempts. Add in 1 triple and 5 hrs :P