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Re: Off season overhaul prediction

Posted: 31 Aug 2025 08:04 am
by PadsFS07
Youboughtit wrote: 30 Aug 2025 23:30 pm

Return from Contreras and Gray trades
They are all being paid market value or even have underwater contracts.

I don’t get the desire to trade players for no return just to lower payroll for a billionaire that will not spend equal value on the free agent market.

None of them are really blocking anyone important either.

Re: Off season overhaul prediction

Posted: 31 Aug 2025 08:06 am
by 2ninr
ScotchMIrish wrote: 31 Aug 2025 07:12 am
2ninr wrote: 31 Aug 2025 07:06 am
ScotchMIrish wrote: 31 Aug 2025 06:38 am Arenado, Gray and Contreras have no trade clauses.

What's plan B?
We all know they have ntc. I predict that Arenado will be gone whatever that takes. Contreras i give it 90% chance he agrees to some kind of move. Even if that requires a buyout of his ntc. Gray could still be here 1 more year. But it’s not that bad considering our current starting pitching. 2027 is a team option for Gray.
Please go into detail as to how you force a player to leave who has a no trade clause. Have you heard of the player's union?
Have you heard of releasing a player outright? DFA? Unless he agrees to whatever trade they can work out, it could happen. They aren't getting anything for him. They don't want him. They will pay a huge chunk of his salary to move him. Think Dexter Fowler.

Re: Off season overhaul prediction

Posted: 31 Aug 2025 10:43 am
by rockondlouie
Rosie's Rule wrote: 30 Aug 2025 21:46 pm That roster looks like a 100 loss season
Looking at it I was thinking 90+ loses, especially if Oli is still the manager.

Re: Off season overhaul prediction

Posted: 31 Aug 2025 11:26 am
by ScotchMIrish
2ninr wrote: 31 Aug 2025 08:06 am
ScotchMIrish wrote: 31 Aug 2025 07:12 am
2ninr wrote: 31 Aug 2025 07:06 am
ScotchMIrish wrote: 31 Aug 2025 06:38 am Arenado, Gray and Contreras have no trade clauses.

What's plan B?
We all know they have ntc. I predict that Arenado will be gone whatever that takes. Contreras i give it 90% chance he agrees to some kind of move. Even if that requires a buyout of his ntc. Gray could still be here 1 more year. But it’s not that bad considering our current starting pitching. 2027 is a team option for Gray.
Please go into detail as to how you force a player to leave who has a no trade clause. Have you heard of the player's union?
Have you heard of releasing a player outright? DFA? Unless he agrees to whatever trade they can work out, it could happen. They aren't getting anything for him. They don't want him. They will pay a huge chunk of his salary to move him. Think Dexter Fowler.
I've heard of it. Arenado makes $27 million next season. Unlikely any team would claim him off waivers and then the Cardinals pay the salary while getting no production. Gray makes $35 million. Same thing.

It's possible a team would pick the remaining $36 million on Contreras over 2 seasons.

If no team picks them up that's $80 million we are paying a player not to play.

Fowler waived his no trade clause.

Re: Off season overhaul prediction

Posted: 31 Aug 2025 12:01 pm
by Youboughtit
Jatalk wrote: 31 Aug 2025 07:46 am
Youboughtit wrote: 30 Aug 2025 21:19 pm What I expect

Arenado traded. Cards eat half or more of contract
Gray is traded for a SP or RH OF bat
Contreras is traded for a SP or RH OF bat
Donovan extended 4/60
Nootbar trade for RP

Roster
1B Burleson
2B Wetherholt
SS Winn
3B Gorman
LF Donovan
CF Scott
RF Walker
C Pages
DH Hererra

Bench
Church, Crooks, Segesse, RH bat from above

SP
Pitcher from above
Libertore
McGreevy
Matthews
Pallante

Payroll approx 80m depending on contracts acquired.
Attendance 1.2-1.5m
IMO you miss a real team dilemma. Playing Donovan in the outfield is a total waste of talent. LF needs to go to a big bat. Gorman is a liability at third. Not saying Donovan to third but between him, JJ, Saggese or even Winn you have to solve for third base.
Unless that RH OF bat is star caliber They will use Donovan as a place holder for Baez who will need 1 more year. Names can be moved but I think he will be here and playing OF/2B or 3B and I beleive they want Wetherholt to play 2B and than Gorman/Segesse only have one spot to play forcing Donovan to the OF

Re: Off season overhaul prediction

Posted: 31 Aug 2025 12:02 pm
by Carp4Cy
Youboughtit wrote: 30 Aug 2025 21:52 pm
Basil Shabazz wrote: 30 Aug 2025 21:48 pm Depending on the right handed bat, that looks like another 78 to 80 win team
.500 team for $60-$80m awaiting Doyle and farm to advance. That’s what a rebuild year 2 is about. Add another top 10 pick next draft then start spending to add. However My point is it’s still going down. Upward movement maybe by 2028
You can't just keep tanking and winning top 10 picks - theres a rule that blocks you from the top 10 after too many consequtive years.

Re: Off season overhaul prediction

Posted: 31 Aug 2025 12:03 pm
by Youboughtit
:roll:
PadsFS07 wrote: 31 Aug 2025 08:04 am
Youboughtit wrote: 30 Aug 2025 23:30 pm

Return from Contreras and Gray trades
They are all being paid market value or even have underwater contracts.

I don’t get the desire to trade players for no return just to lower payroll for a billionaire that will not spend equal value on the free agent market.

None of them are really blocking anyone important either.
Owner wants to remove payroll and their window does not match the rebuild timeline and there is a 40mins and 26man roster crunch. 2 players they are able to move. Most have no value

Re: Off season overhaul prediction

Posted: 31 Aug 2025 12:05 pm
by Youboughtit
ScotchMIrish wrote: 31 Aug 2025 07:12 am
2ninr wrote: 31 Aug 2025 07:06 am
ScotchMIrish wrote: 31 Aug 2025 06:38 am Arenado, Gray and Contreras have no trade clauses.

What's plan B?
We all know they have ntc. I predict that Arenado will be gone whatever that takes. Contreras i give it 90% chance he agrees to some kind of move. Even if that requires a buyout of his ntc. Gray could still be here 1 more year. But it’s not that bad considering our current starting pitching. 2027 is a team option for Gray.
Please go into detail as to how you force a player to leave who has a no trade clause. Have you heard of the player's union?
Can’t but you meet with them and say we are in a rebuild and if you would like to have a chance to win we will move you to a contender. All players want a chance to win nearing the end of their careers

Re: Off season overhaul prediction

Posted: 31 Aug 2025 12:31 pm
by ScotchMIrish
Youboughtit wrote: 31 Aug 2025 12:05 pm
ScotchMIrish wrote: 31 Aug 2025 07:12 am
2ninr wrote: 31 Aug 2025 07:06 am
ScotchMIrish wrote: 31 Aug 2025 06:38 am Arenado, Gray and Contreras have no trade clauses.

What's plan B?
We all know they have ntc. I predict that Arenado will be gone whatever that takes. Contreras i give it 90% chance he agrees to some kind of move. Even if that requires a buyout of his ntc. Gray could still be here 1 more year. But it’s not that bad considering our current starting pitching. 2027 is a team option for Gray.
Please go into detail as to how you force a player to leave who has a no trade clause. Have you heard of the player's union?
Can’t but you meet with them and say we are in a rebuild and if you would like to have a chance to win we will move you to a contender. All players want a chance to win nearing the end of their careers
I wouldn't assume that. As a kid I attended 16 schools in 12 states. It's hard on a family to do that. They might just want to stay in one place until they retire. Also many fan bases aren't as kind to their players as St Louis fans.

Re: Off season overhaul prediction

Posted: 31 Aug 2025 13:26 pm
by Youboughtit
ScotchMIrish wrote: 31 Aug 2025 12:31 pm
Youboughtit wrote: 31 Aug 2025 12:05 pm
ScotchMIrish wrote: 31 Aug 2025 07:12 am
2ninr wrote: 31 Aug 2025 07:06 am
ScotchMIrish wrote: 31 Aug 2025 06:38 am Arenado, Gray and Contreras have no trade clauses.

What's plan B?
We all know they have ntc. I predict that Arenado will be gone whatever that takes. Contreras i give it 90% chance he agrees to some kind of move. Even if that requires a buyout of his ntc. Gray could still be here 1 more year. But it’s not that bad considering our current starting pitching. 2027 is a team option for Gray.
Please go into detail as to how you force a player to leave who has a no trade clause. Have you heard of the player's union?
Can’t but you meet with them and say we are in a rebuild and if you would like to have a chance to win we will move you to a contender. All players want a chance to win nearing the end of their careers
I wouldn't assume that. As a kid I attended 16 schools in 12 states. It's hard on a family to do that. They might just want to stay in one place until they retire. Also many fan bases aren't as kind to their players as St Louis fans.
Gray only has 1 year left so a trade and extension would
Finish his career. He will not be signed here so making the move when he can get more makes sense. Arenado will be gone if they have to release him to do it. So Contreras would be the only one. One of him Burleson or Hererra must go. I sense they would prefer to unload the contract. My prediction

Re: Off season overhaul prediction

Posted: 31 Aug 2025 14:31 pm
by 2ninr
ScotchMIrish wrote: 31 Aug 2025 11:26 am
2ninr wrote: 31 Aug 2025 08:06 am
ScotchMIrish wrote: 31 Aug 2025 07:12 am
2ninr wrote: 31 Aug 2025 07:06 am
ScotchMIrish wrote: 31 Aug 2025 06:38 am Arenado, Gray and Contreras have no trade clauses.

What's plan B?
We all know they have ntc. I predict that Arenado will be gone whatever that takes. Contreras i give it 90% chance he agrees to some kind of move. Even if that requires a buyout of his ntc. Gray could still be here 1 more year. But it’s not that bad considering our current starting pitching. 2027 is a team option for Gray.
Please go into detail as to how you force a player to leave who has a no trade clause. Have you heard of the player's union?
Have you heard of releasing a player outright? DFA? Unless he agrees to whatever trade they can work out, it could happen. They aren't getting anything for him. They don't want him. They will pay a huge chunk of his salary to move him. Think Dexter Fowler.
I've heard of it. Arenado makes $27 million next season. Unlikely any team would claim him off waivers and then the Cardinals pay the salary while getting no production. Gray makes $35 million. Same thing.

It's possible a team would pick the remaining $36 million on Contreras over 2 seasons.

If no team picks them up that's $80 million we are paying a player not to play.

Fowler waived his no trade clause.




So will Arenado.
Nobody but you said anything about dfa with Contreras or Gray.

See the other bolded parts. I said Contreras gets traded and Gray stay here 1 more year. That makes Arenado the only real loss. And it's not a loss if he's not worth anything. The DFA is just a threat. He will agree to the trade to avoid that embarrassment. Have a good Labor day!

Re: Off season overhaul prediction

Posted: 31 Aug 2025 14:45 pm
by PadsFS07
Youboughtit wrote: 31 Aug 2025 12:03 pm :roll:
PadsFS07 wrote: 31 Aug 2025 08:04 am
Youboughtit wrote: 30 Aug 2025 23:30 pm

Return from Contreras and Gray trades
They are all being paid market value or even have underwater contracts.

I don’t get the desire to trade players for no return just to lower payroll for a billionaire that will not spend equal value on the free agent market.

None of them are really blocking anyone important either.
Owner wants to remove payroll and their window does not match the rebuild timeline and there is a 40mins and 26man roster crunch. 2 players they are able to move. Most have no value
I don’t see where there is a roster crunch. I also don’t care about the owner wanting to remove payroll. He will have to pay most of, if not all, of all 3 contracts even if they trade them.

Re: Off season overhaul prediction

Posted: 31 Aug 2025 14:48 pm
by Talkin' Baseball
2ninr wrote: 31 Aug 2025 14:31 pm
ScotchMIrish wrote: 31 Aug 2025 11:26 am
2ninr wrote: 31 Aug 2025 08:06 am
ScotchMIrish wrote: 31 Aug 2025 07:12 am
2ninr wrote: 31 Aug 2025 07:06 am
ScotchMIrish wrote: 31 Aug 2025 06:38 am Arenado, Gray and Contreras have no trade clauses.

What's plan B?
We all know they have ntc. I predict that Arenado will be gone whatever that takes. Contreras i give it 90% chance he agrees to some kind of move. Even if that requires a buyout of his ntc. Gray could still be here 1 more year. But it’s not that bad considering our current starting pitching. 2027 is a team option for Gray.
Please go into detail as to how you force a player to leave who has a no trade clause. Have you heard of the player's union?
Have you heard of releasing a player outright? DFA? Unless he agrees to whatever trade they can work out, it could happen. They aren't getting anything for him. They don't want him. They will pay a huge chunk of his salary to move him. Think Dexter Fowler.
I've heard of it. Arenado makes $27 million next season. Unlikely any team would claim him off waivers and then the Cardinals pay the salary while getting no production. Gray makes $35 million. Same thing.

It's possible a team would pick the remaining $36 million on Contreras over 2 seasons.

If no team picks them up that's $80 million we are paying a player not to play.

Fowler waived his no trade clause.




So will Arenado.
Nobody but you said anything about dfa with Contreras or Gray.

See the other bolded parts. I said Contreras gets traded and Gray stay here 1 more year. That makes Arenado the only real loss. And it's not a loss if he's not worth anything. The DFA is just a threat. He will agree to the trade to avoid that embarrassment. Have a good Labor day!
Realistically, even if you paid down his contract substantially and ignored his list of teams, who are the teams that might be willing to take on Arenado?

Re: Off season overhaul prediction

Posted: 31 Aug 2025 14:58 pm
by hmoss859
Youboughtit wrote: 30 Aug 2025 21:19 pm What I expect

Arenado traded. Cards eat half or more of contract
Gray is traded for a SP or RH OF bat
Contreras is traded for a SP or RH OF bat
Donovan extended 4/60
Nootbar trade for RP

Roster
1B Burleson
2B Wetherholt
SS Winn
3B Gorman
LF Donovan
CF Scott
RF Walker
C Pages
DH Hererra

Bench
Church, Crooks, Segesse, RH bat from above

SP
Pitcher from above
Libertore
McGreevy
Matthews
Pallante

Payroll approx 80m depending on contracts acquired.
Attendance 1.2-1.5m
They won’t draw more than 1.5 million with that sad outfit

The fans are fed up

The DeWitts can either spend or sell

If not, garbage teams will not draw fans

Hasn’t the lesson been learned?

Re: Off season overhaul prediction

Posted: 31 Aug 2025 15:05 pm
by Youboughtit
PadsFS07 wrote: 31 Aug 2025 14:45 pm
Youboughtit wrote: 31 Aug 2025 12:03 pm :roll:
PadsFS07 wrote: 31 Aug 2025 08:04 am
Youboughtit wrote: 30 Aug 2025 23:30 pm

Return from Contreras and Gray trades
They are all being paid market value or even have underwater contracts.

I don’t get the desire to trade players for no return just to lower payroll for a billionaire that will not spend equal value on the free agent market.

None of them are really blocking anyone important either.
Owner wants to remove payroll and their window does not match the rebuild timeline and there is a 40mins and 26man roster crunch. 2 players they are able to move. Most have no value
I don’t see where there is a roster crunch. I also don’t care about the owner wanting to remove payroll. He will have to pay most of, if not all, of all 3 contracts even if they trade them.
They have a ton of players that have 5 years in minors and not on 40 man. Eligible for rule 5. Mostly SP. you don’t see 7 if Gorman Contreras Winn Walker Donovan Segesse and Wetherholt and a DH Logjamas a result? Then there is the OF with Donovan Church Nootbar Scott Walker and Burleson. All the players above will be on the team plus I removed 5. Is trade. That is the definition of roster crunch

Re: Off season overhaul prediction

Posted: 31 Aug 2025 15:08 pm
by ScotchMIrish
2ninr wrote: 31 Aug 2025 14:31 pm
ScotchMIrish wrote: 31 Aug 2025 11:26 am
2ninr wrote: 31 Aug 2025 08:06 am
ScotchMIrish wrote: 31 Aug 2025 07:12 am
2ninr wrote: 31 Aug 2025 07:06 am
ScotchMIrish wrote: 31 Aug 2025 06:38 am Arenado, Gray and Contreras have no trade clauses.

What's plan B?
We all know they have ntc. I predict that Arenado will be gone whatever that takes. Contreras i give it 90% chance he agrees to some kind of move. Even if that requires a buyout of his ntc. Gray could still be here 1 more year. But it’s not that bad considering our current starting pitching. 2027 is a team option for Gray.
Please go into detail as to how you force a player to leave who has a no trade clause. Have you heard of the player's union?
Have you heard of releasing a player outright? DFA? Unless he agrees to whatever trade they can work out, it could happen. They aren't getting anything for him. They don't want him. They will pay a huge chunk of his salary to move him. Think Dexter Fowler.
I've heard of it. Arenado makes $27 million next season. Unlikely any team would claim him off waivers and then the Cardinals pay the salary while getting no production. Gray makes $35 million. Same thing.

It's possible a team would pick the remaining $36 million on Contreras over 2 seasons.

If no team picks them up that's $80 million we are paying a player not to play.

Fowler waived his no trade clause.




So will Arenado.
Nobody but you said anything about dfa with Contreras or Gray.

See the other bolded parts. I said Contreras gets traded and Gray stay here 1 more year. That makes Arenado the only real loss. And it's not a loss if he's not worth anything. The DFA is just a threat. He will agree to the trade to avoid that embarrassment. Have a good Labor day!
I doubt that strategy will work but you also have a nice Labor Day.