Arenado quietly having a great season

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Honky Tonk Man
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Re: Arenado quietly having a great season

Post by Honky Tonk Man »

Stlcardsblues wrote: 22 Jun 2025 11:54 am
Honky Tonk Man wrote: 22 Jun 2025 08:04 am
Lloyd Braun wrote: 22 Jun 2025 08:00 am On pace for 23 home runs and 89 RBIs while playing splendid defense again

The best part is that when he does hit that home run, it's usually late in the game at a time that we really need it to change the trajectory of the momentum to our side.

He's been a winning player, making winning plays on defense and at the plate all year. Nearly 70% of his home runs have come late to tie it, give us the lead or get us back to within 1 in a game we eventually won.

This seems to be lost on a lot of people that live and die by OPS, OPS+ without context. To those, I ask: Do you not watch the games? Do you only watch box scores after the fact?
It's really hard to believe fans actually would like to replace him with Gorman
Arenado and Goldschmidt as the faces of the franchise became the whipping boys for a fan base frustrated with a horrible front office. Instead of building around them, this front office put all the weight on them. When the team failed they took the shots.
good assessment
moose-and-squirrel
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Re: Arenado quietly having a great season

Post by moose-and-squirrel »

Honky Tonk Man wrote: 22 Jun 2025 12:11 pm
Stlcardsblues wrote: 22 Jun 2025 11:54 am
Honky Tonk Man wrote: 22 Jun 2025 08:04 am
Lloyd Braun wrote: 22 Jun 2025 08:00 am On pace for 23 home runs and 89 RBIs while playing splendid defense again

The best part is that when he does hit that home run, it's usually late in the game at a time that we really need it to change the trajectory of the momentum to our side.

He's been a winning player, making winning plays on defense and at the plate all year. Nearly 70% of his home runs have come late to tie it, give us the lead or get us back to within 1 in a game we eventually won.

This seems to be lost on a lot of people that live and die by OPS, OPS+ without context. To those, I ask: Do you not watch the games? Do you only watch box scores after the fact?
It's really hard to believe fans actually would like to replace him with Gorman
Arenado and Goldschmidt as the faces of the franchise became the whipping boys for a fan base frustrated with a horrible front office. Instead of building around them, this front office put all the weight on them. When the team failed they took the shots.
good assessment
look at their PO numbers.. the criticism was accurately directed
Quincy Varnish
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Re: Arenado quietly having a great season

Post by Quincy Varnish »

scoutyjones2 wrote: 22 Jun 2025 08:48 amHe's Alec Bohm defensively.
Spoken like someone who has never seen Alec Bohm…
JDW
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Re: Arenado quietly having a great season

Post by JDW »

mattmitchl44 wrote: 22 Jun 2025 11:10 am He's not having a great season, but he is still having a solid (~3 fWAR pace) season.
Yep, not great, but now good so far with his recent surge.
Go back a couple weeks ago when his OPS was sub .700, and some at that point would have characterized his season as bad.
Hope he can provide a plus .700 OPS in the 2nd half, and that we still can characterize his 2025 season as a good one this October.
Carp4Cy
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Re: Arenado quietly having a great season

Post by Carp4Cy »

Lloyd Braun wrote: 22 Jun 2025 08:00 am On pace for 23 home runs and 89 RBIs while playing splendid defense again

The best part is that when he does hit that home run, it's usually late in the game at a time that we really need it to change the trajectory of the momentum to our side.

He's been a winning player, making winning plays on defense and at the plate all year. Nearly 70% of his home runs have come late to tie it, give us the lead or get us back to within 1 in a game we eventually won.

This seems to be lost on a lot of people that live and die by OPS, OPS+ without context. To those, I ask: Do you not watch the games? Do you only watch box scores after the fact?
I agree.

And some fans just don’t understand derivative functions and equate declining performance with negative performance
Futuregm2
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Re: Arenado quietly having a great season

Post by Futuregm2 »

Lloyd Braun wrote: 22 Jun 2025 08:00 am On pace for 23 home runs and 89 RBIs while playing splendid defense again

The best part is that when he does hit that home run, it's usually late in the game at a time that we really need it to change the trajectory of the momentum to our side.

He's been a winning player, making winning plays on defense and at the plate all year. Nearly 70% of his home runs have come late to tie it, give us the lead or get us back to within 1 in a game we eventually won.

This seems to be lost on a lot of people that live and die by OPS, OPS+ without context. To those, I ask: Do you not watch the games? Do you only watch box scores after the fact?
First Burleson is an elite MLB hitter and now Arenado is having a “great” season?!

Arenado has 10 HR and 39 RBI in 299 PAs. Those are good for T-70th (HR) and T-50th (RBI) and that’s before including his OPS is 133rd among players with at least 200 PAs (208 such players). And his PAs with men on base is the 4th most in baseball at 164, so that is part of the reason he does better in RBIs, he’s had more opportunities than almost any player out there.
Ozziesfan41
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Re: Arenado quietly having a great season

Post by Ozziesfan41 »

The cardinals would sure be in a lot worse place if areando had been traded any of the four times Mel said he would be and the unikkkorn was playing everyday at 3rd
An Old Friend
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Re: Arenado quietly having a great season

Post by An Old Friend »

moose-and-squirrel wrote: 22 Jun 2025 11:50 am last 15 games

.339 .383 .571
The 15 before that

.158 .197 .298
hullie
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Re: Arenado quietly having a great season

Post by hullie »

Ozziesfan41 wrote: 22 Jun 2025 12:47 pm The cardinals would sure be in a lot worse place if areando had been traded any of the four times Mel said he would be and the unikkkorn was playing everyday at 3rd
Gorman blows
moose-and-squirrel
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Re: Arenado quietly having a great season

Post by moose-and-squirrel »

An Old Friend wrote: 22 Jun 2025 13:13 pm
moose-and-squirrel wrote: 22 Jun 2025 11:50 am last 15 games

.339 .383 .571
The 15 before that

.158 .197 .298
yup, that's why his overall #'s look so 'meh'. but if he's getting in a groove, thats a good thing
An Old Friend
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Re: Arenado quietly having a great season

Post by An Old Friend »

moose-and-squirrel wrote: 22 Jun 2025 13:15 pm
An Old Friend wrote: 22 Jun 2025 13:13 pm
moose-and-squirrel wrote: 22 Jun 2025 11:50 am last 15 games

.339 .383 .571
The 15 before that

.158 .197 .298
yup, that's why his overall #'s look so 'meh'. but if he's getting in a groove, thats a good thing
Right. “Meh” is not “great” as the OP suggested
Cusecards
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Re: Arenado quietly having a great season

Post by Cusecards »

At the moment for this season he is their best option for 3B especially considering his defense.
Is he worth the $$ he is being paid? No
If they move him and invest the $$ elsewhere fine.
His salary will drop the next two seasons and if they can fit him in the budget fine also.
I think he becomes more of an issue when Wetherholt arrives probably as early as ST 2026.
AZ_Cardsfan
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Re: Arenado quietly having a great season

Post by AZ_Cardsfan »

Nado is what he is. A declining once superstar. He is still the best 3B on the team and a good hitter worth being #6 in the lineup. His salary isn't that onerous any longer and they are a better team keeping him. But the clutch description trying to be sold is not supported by facts or watching. He is what he is.

Will the team win as many games if they trade him? Depends what they get back but if it is mostly for salary relief and prospects then no Gorman probably won't be as good and whoever replaces Gorman on the bench less than him.

Other than ticket sales is it the right baseball move to keep him? Again it depends on what the return is. Honestly he is an OK player now but not a cornerstone guy to a championship team. Plus he IS blocking several guys who might emerge as key championship players like Gorman, JJ, Saggese.

An unemotional view of it is it isn't a critical decision to make right now. They don't save much and no one is offering a great prospect assuming he waived his NTC.
DickyBennett
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Re: Arenado quietly having a great season

Post by DickyBennett »

Your definition of “great” is distorted
Absolut
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Re: Arenado quietly having a great season

Post by Absolut »

Baseball Savant wrote: 22 Jun 2025 13:26 pm Your definition of “great” is distorted
Great point!
PadsFS07
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Re: Arenado quietly having a great season

Post by PadsFS07 »

An Old Friend wrote: 22 Jun 2025 11:27 am
PadsFS07 wrote: 22 Jun 2025 11:16 am
An Old Friend wrote: 22 Jun 2025 08:15 am
Lloyd Braun wrote: 22 Jun 2025 08:00 am On pace for 23 home runs and 89 RBIs while playing splendid defense again

The best part is that when he does hit that home run, it's usually late in the game at a time that we really need it to change the trajectory of the momentum to our side.

He's been a winning player, making winning plays on defense and at the plate all year. Nearly 70% of his home runs have come late to tie it, give us the lead or get us back to within 1 in a game we eventually won.

This seems to be lost on a lot of people that live and die by OPS, OPS+ without context. To those, I ask: Do you not watch the games? Do you only watch box scores after the fact?
You’ve decided to convince yourself of an untrue narrative.

He’s hitting .216 with a .620 OPS and 12 RBI on the road
He’s hitting .206 with a .710 OPS w/ 2 outs and RISP
He’s hitting .220 with 4 HR in late & close situations

When they’re ahead, he has hit .230 with 4 HR and 13 RBI
When they’re behind, he has hit .232 with 4 HR and 13 RBI

He’s decidedly average.
He leads the league in WPA
Curious why you believe that to be true. Did someone tell you that and you believed them? Cause they lied.

He’s like 55th among hitters and 130th overall.
My fault. Twitter post I misread. Good catch, I should’ve looked it up.
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