CT Fantasy Baseball - Interested?

[mattmitchl44]

Just FWIW.

From Jeffy's current 119.5, I'd expect:

Runs: -1 to 0
HR: 0
RBI: 0
SB: 0
AVG: -1 to +2
OPS: -1 to 0
W: -2.5 to -1.5
SV: 0
K: -3 to -1
ERA: 0 to +1
WHIP: 0 to +2
QS: -1

So worst case -9.5 to best case +1.5, with a median of like -4.

From gg's current 118, I'd expect:

Runs: 0
HR: 0
RBI: 0
SB: 0 to +1
AVG: -2 to +3
OPS: 0 to +1
W: -1
SV: 0
K: -2 to 0
ERA: 0 to +1
WHIP: -1 to +1
QS: -3 to -2

So worst case -9 to best case +4, with a median of like -2.5.

From Quincy's current 117.5, I'd expect:

Runs: 0
HR: 0 to +1
RBI: 0
SB: -1 to +1
AVG: 0
OPS: -1 to 0
W: 0 to +1
SV: 0
K: 0
ERA: 0
WHIP: -1 to +2
QS: +1

So worst case -2 to best case +6, with a median of like +2.

From ima's current 116, I'd expect:

Runs: 0 to +1
HR: 0
RBI: 0
SB: 0
AVG: -1 to +1
OPS: -1 to +3
W: +1
SV: 0 to +1
K: 0
ERA: 0 to +1
WHIP: -3 to +1
QS: 0 to +2

So worst case -3 to best case +11, with a median of like +4.

So I'd predict order of finish as:

me - 136 pts.
ima - 120 pts.
QV - 119.5 pts.
gg - 115.5 pts.
Jeffy - 115.5 pts.

Why 0 for me in ERA? I could pick up 3 points there. Also, I could add another point or 2 in Ks, if you account for my K/9 over the last month or so. I’m also not sure why you think Jeffy’s SV won’t move. His innings will be gassed in two or three days.

I just think that moving 0.05 in ERA at this point of the season is a bit difficult, at least in the positive direction. Maybe there is a very outside chance you slide by ima in Ks, but I certainly don't think you catch anyone else (plus I don't know if the Pirates are hedging toward shutting Skenes down at some point). I don't know how much teams trailing Jeffy in saves are invested right now. Maybe they fall into a few SVs anyway, but I gave Jeffy the benefit of the doubt there.

[Quincy Varnish]

Just FWIW.

From Jeffy's current 119.5, I'd expect:

Runs: -1 to 0
HR: 0
RBI: 0
SB: 0
AVG: -1 to +2
OPS: -1 to 0
W: -2.5 to -1.5
SV: 0
K: -3 to -1
ERA: 0 to +1
WHIP: 0 to +2
QS: -1

So worst case -9.5 to best case +1.5, with a median of like -4.

From gg's current 118, I'd expect:

Runs: 0
HR: 0
RBI: 0
SB: 0 to +1
AVG: -2 to +3
OPS: 0 to +1
W: -1
SV: 0
K: -2 to 0
ERA: 0 to +1
WHIP: -1 to +1
QS: -3 to -2

So worst case -9 to best case +4, with a median of like -2.5.

From Quincy's current 117.5, I'd expect:

Runs: 0
HR: 0 to +1
RBI: 0
SB: -1 to +1
AVG: 0
OPS: -1 to 0
W: 0 to +1
SV: 0
K: 0
ERA: 0
WHIP: -1 to +2
QS: +1

So worst case -2 to best case +6, with a median of like +2.

From ima's current 116, I'd expect:

Runs: 0 to +1
HR: 0
RBI: 0
SB: 0
AVG: -1 to +1
OPS: -1 to +3
W: +1
SV: 0 to +1
K: 0
ERA: 0 to +1
WHIP: -3 to +1
QS: 0 to +2

So worst case -3 to best case +11, with a median of like +4.

So I'd predict order of finish as:

me - 136 pts.
ima - 120 pts.
QV - 119.5 pts.
gg - 115.5 pts.
Jeffy - 115.5 pts.

Why 0 for me in ERA? I could pick up 3 points there. Also, I could add another point or 2 in Ks, if you account for my K/9 over the last month or so. I’m also not sure why you think Jeffy’s SV won’t move. His innings will be gassed in two or three days.

I just think that moving 0.05 in ERA at this point of the season is a bit difficult, at least in the positive direction. Maybe there is a very outside chance you slide by ima in Ks, but I certainly don't think you catch anyone else (plus I don't know if the Pirates are hedging toward shutting Skenes down at some point). I don't know how much teams trailing Jeffy in saves are invested right now. Maybe they fall into a few SVs anyway, but I gave Jeffy the benefit of the doubt there.

They may not be invested, but they have active closers on their rosters while Jeffy’s numbers are frozen.

Re Ks… I’ve picked up 4 points there in a month, w/ my K/9 somewhere close to 12. There is better than an outside chance I could pass both ima & Jeffy.

Moving .5 in ERA isn’t that difficult… I was around 3.87 about a week ago. I also don’t need to reduce by .5, if others increase. I’m not sure you’ve been watching how these numbers have been moving recently. There’s certainly a chance I could pass more than one in ERA, but a lot has to go right.

I don’t think they’ll shut down Skenes, but they’re definitely limiting his innings. He’s bidding for a CY, and the Pirates will not jeopardize the chances of their only player to win anything.

[mattmitchl44]

Standings - June 1

RichieRich's Gashouse Gorillas - 131
Quincy Varnish - 115.5
MattMitchl44 - 111
Cool Papa Con - 106
Stealing Alex - 104
Dazepster - 102
imadamnman - 96.5
Jeffy - 96
Trader - 96
FutureGM2’s Bash Bros - 92.5
An Old Friend - 91
ggnoobs - 88.5
You Bought It! - 75.5
Dirty Paws - 69
DJ Davis - 65.5

Standings - July 1

RichieRich's Gashouse Gorillas - 132.5
Jeffy - 131
MattMitchl44 - 120
ggnoobs - 107
Quincy Varnish - 104
Trader - 99.5
imadamnman - 97.5
Cool Papa Con - 96
Stealing Alex - 89
An Old Friend - 87.5
Dazepster - 87.5
FutureGM2’s Bash Bros - 82.5
DJ Davis - 80
You Bought It! - 64
Dirty Paws - 62

Standings - August 1

RichieRich's Gashouse Gorillas - 126
Jeffy - 121
MattMitchl44 - 119
ggnoobs - 109
Trader - 108.5
Quincy Varnish - 102.5
Cool Papa Con - 102.5
DJ Davis - 95
imadamnman - 95
Dazepster - 89
Stealing Alex - 89
An Old Friend - 87
FutureGM2’s Bash Bros - 75
You Bought It! - 61.5
Dirty Paws - 60

Standings - August 15

MattMitchl44 - 125
Jeffy - 123
RichieRich's Gashouse Gorillas - 120
ggnoobs - 113
Quincy Varnish - 107
Trader - 105.5
Cool Papa Con - 102
imadamnman - 100
An Old Friend - 97
DJ Davis - 91.5
Stealing Alex - 82.5
FutureGM2’s Bash Bros - 81
Dazepster - 80.5
You Bought It! - 58
Dirty Paws - 54

Standings - September 1

MattMitchl44 - 128
Jeffy - 124.5
Quincy Varnish - 117.5
ggnoobs - 115.5
RichieRich's Gashouse Gorillas - 113
imadamnman - 111.5
Cool Papa Con - 105.5
Trader - 104
An Old Friend - 101
DJ Davis - 91
Dazepster - 79
FutureGM2’s Bash Bros - 75
Stealing Alex - 73
You Bought It! - 56.5
Dirty Paws - 45

Standings - September 8

MattMitchl44 - 127.5
Jeffy - 123
Quincy Varnish - 116
imadamnman - 115
ggnoobs - 114
RichieRich's Gashouse Gorillas - 111
An Old Friend - 109
Trader - 103.5
Cool Papa Con - 101.5
DJ Davis - 93
FutureGM2’s Bash Bros - 79
Dazepster - 74.5
Stealing Alex - 71
You Bought It! - 55.5
Dirty Paws - 46.5

Standings - September 15

MattMitchl44 - 131.5
Jeffy - 125.5
Quincy Varnish - 115
ggnoobs - 115
imadamnman - 114
RichieRich's Gashouse Gorillas - 111.5
An Old Friend - 110.5
Cool Papa Con - 101
Trader - 99.5
DJ Davis - 91.5
FutureGM2’s Bash Bros - 80
Stealing Alex - 71
Dazepster - 70.5
You Bought It! - 57
Dirty Paws - 46.5

[An Old Friend]

Standings - June 1

RichieRich's Gashouse Gorillas - 131
Quincy Varnish - 115.5
MattMitchl44 - 111
Cool Papa Con - 106
Stealing Alex - 104
Dazepster - 102
imadamnman - 96.5
Jeffy - 96
Trader - 96
FutureGM2’s Bash Bros - 92.5
An Old Friend - 91
ggnoobs - 88.5
You Bought It! - 75.5
Dirty Paws - 69
DJ Davis - 65.5

Standings - July 1

RichieRich's Gashouse Gorillas - 132.5
Jeffy - 131
MattMitchl44 - 120
ggnoobs - 107
Quincy Varnish - 104
Trader - 99.5
imadamnman - 97.5
Cool Papa Con - 96
Stealing Alex - 89
An Old Friend - 87.5
Dazepster - 87.5
FutureGM2’s Bash Bros - 82.5
DJ Davis - 80
You Bought It! - 64
Dirty Paws - 62

Standings - August 1

RichieRich's Gashouse Gorillas - 126
Jeffy - 121
MattMitchl44 - 119
ggnoobs - 109
Trader - 108.5
Quincy Varnish - 102.5
Cool Papa Con - 102.5
DJ Davis - 95
imadamnman - 95
Dazepster - 89
Stealing Alex - 89
An Old Friend - 87
FutureGM2’s Bash Bros - 75
You Bought It! - 61.5
Dirty Paws - 60

Standings - August 15

MattMitchl44 - 125
Jeffy - 123
RichieRich's Gashouse Gorillas - 120
ggnoobs - 113
Quincy Varnish - 107
Trader - 105.5
Cool Papa Con - 102
imadamnman - 100
An Old Friend - 97
DJ Davis - 91.5
Stealing Alex - 82.5
FutureGM2’s Bash Bros - 81
Dazepster - 80.5
You Bought It! - 58
Dirty Paws - 54

Standings - September 1

MattMitchl44 - 128
Jeffy - 124.5
Quincy Varnish - 117.5
ggnoobs - 115.5
RichieRich's Gashouse Gorillas - 113
imadamnman - 111.5
Cool Papa Con - 105.5
Trader - 104
An Old Friend - 101
DJ Davis - 91
Dazepster - 79
FutureGM2’s Bash Bros - 75
Stealing Alex - 73
You Bought It! - 56.5
Dirty Paws - 45

Standings - September 8

MattMitchl44 - 127.5
Jeffy - 123
Quincy Varnish - 116
imadamnman - 115
ggnoobs - 114
RichieRich's Gashouse Gorillas - 111
An Old Friend - 109
Trader - 103.5
Cool Papa Con - 101.5
DJ Davis - 93
FutureGM2’s Bash Bros - 79
Dazepster - 74.5
Stealing Alex - 71
You Bought It! - 55.5
Dirty Paws - 46.5

Standings - September 15

MattMitchl44 - 131.5
Jeffy - 125.5
Quincy Varnish - 115
ggnoobs - 115
imadamnman - 114
RichieRich's Gashouse Gorillas - 111.5
An Old Friend - 110.5
Cool Papa Con - 101
Trader - 99.5
DJ Davis - 91.5
FutureGM2’s Bash Bros - 80
Stealing Alex - 71
Dazepster - 70.5
You Bought It! - 57
Dirty Paws - 46.5

How will 2 weeks of Vlad help Jeffy?

[Quincy Varnish]

How will 2 weeks of Vlad help Jeffy?

The most he could add… +2 in HR, +2 in AVG.

That trade should benefit you much more than Jeffy.