What a matchup

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rockondlouie
Forum User
Posts: 9763
Joined: 23 May 2024 12:41 pm

Re: What a matchup

Post by rockondlouie »

sikeston bulldog2 wrote: 12 May 2025 12:34 pm
rockondlouie wrote: 12 May 2025 12:32 pm
sikeston bulldog2 wrote: 12 May 2025 12:07 pm
rockondlouie wrote: 12 May 2025 12:02 pm
Futuregm2 wrote: 12 May 2025 11:37 am
rockondlouie wrote: 12 May 2025 11:31 am
Futuregm2 wrote: 12 May 2025 11:26 am
rockondlouie wrote: 12 May 2025 11:23 am
Futuregm2 wrote: 12 May 2025 09:46 am Phillies come in to today 11-3 over their last 14 games
Cardinals have won 8 in a row and 10-4 in our last 14 games

Phillies have scored 4.78 R/game this season (9th best in baseball, one spot and .05 ahead of the Cardinals)
Phillies have allowed 4.20 R/game this season (16th best in baseball, 4 spots, and .05 behind the Cardinals)

Last 7 days batting:
Phillies: .282/.346/.455/.801
Cardinals: .281/.374/.439/.812

Of note: Wednesday’s starter is Aaron Nola and he has almost HALF of the Phillies 16 losses this season. Nola is 1-6. His 6 losses leads the NL. Only Charlie Morton (0-7) is worse in baseball. Nola will be the only starter of the 6 starters in this 3 game set with an ERA over 4 entering their starts.
Cardinals (.261 .338 .403 .741 vs Phils .257 .336 .403 .739) are an even match offensively w/the Phillies (Cards 194 runs v Phils 191 runs) and pitching too (Cards 3.85 ERA v Phils 3.76 ERA)

Just stay away from the red hot TGKS!
Say that again!

Last 12 games for TGKS:

53 PA
7 HR
.326 AVG
1.219 OPS
I was very surprised looking at the hitting/pitching team stats to see just how close these two teams really are!

Harper always seems to get up for the Cardinals too:
Career
13 HR
51 RBI's
.313 .419 .572 .991

Castellanos too:
Career
9 HR
.288 .348 .482 .831
Yep, they are very similar.

They have such great SP though. 4 SP’s with a sub 3 ERA. Only Nola holding them back there.

Their bullpen has been a mess though. Only 2 relievers with a sub 4 ERA, only 3 with a sub 4.70 ERA. 5 Relieers with 12+ games and an ERA over 4.75. 8O 8O
They do for sure

But as you documented the Cardinals starters are in a good stretch too (TG we miss Wheeler!).

While Philly starters have ours in ERA (3.25 v 3.71), they're very close in WHiP (1.19 Cards v 1.18 Phils) and BA against (.237 Cards v .234 Phils).

Where we've got their starters is HR's allowed (Cards only 5 v Phils 10) but theirs blow us away in KO's (252 v 176).

Let's hope our hitters can work the count on their starters, get their pitch counts up and into that BP by the 6th!
Walks. The team that walks the most will win or lose.
I think it will be decided by the long ball.

The team who's pitchers stay away from them the best wins two of three. :wink:
Or walks then a long ball. Bad juju.
Not bad juju if it's our guys getting the walks and then the long balls! :D
sikeston bulldog2
Forum User
Posts: 12113
Joined: 11 Aug 2023 16:20 pm

Re: What a matchup

Post by sikeston bulldog2 »

rockondlouie wrote: 12 May 2025 12:41 pm
sikeston bulldog2 wrote: 12 May 2025 12:34 pm
rockondlouie wrote: 12 May 2025 12:32 pm
sikeston bulldog2 wrote: 12 May 2025 12:07 pm
rockondlouie wrote: 12 May 2025 12:02 pm
Futuregm2 wrote: 12 May 2025 11:37 am
rockondlouie wrote: 12 May 2025 11:31 am
Futuregm2 wrote: 12 May 2025 11:26 am
rockondlouie wrote: 12 May 2025 11:23 am
Futuregm2 wrote: 12 May 2025 09:46 am Phillies come in to today 11-3 over their last 14 games
Cardinals have won 8 in a row and 10-4 in our last 14 games

Phillies have scored 4.78 R/game this season (9th best in baseball, one spot and .05 ahead of the Cardinals)
Phillies have allowed 4.20 R/game this season (16th best in baseball, 4 spots, and .05 behind the Cardinals)

Last 7 days batting:
Phillies: .282/.346/.455/.801
Cardinals: .281/.374/.439/.812

Of note: Wednesday’s starter is Aaron Nola and he has almost HALF of the Phillies 16 losses this season. Nola is 1-6. His 6 losses leads the NL. Only Charlie Morton (0-7) is worse in baseball. Nola will be the only starter of the 6 starters in this 3 game set with an ERA over 4 entering their starts.
Cardinals (.261 .338 .403 .741 vs Phils .257 .336 .403 .739) are an even match offensively w/the Phillies (Cards 194 runs v Phils 191 runs) and pitching too (Cards 3.85 ERA v Phils 3.76 ERA)

Just stay away from the red hot TGKS!
Say that again!

Last 12 games for TGKS:

53 PA
7 HR
.326 AVG
1.219 OPS
I was very surprised looking at the hitting/pitching team stats to see just how close these two teams really are!

Harper always seems to get up for the Cardinals too:
Career
13 HR
51 RBI's
.313 .419 .572 .991

Castellanos too:
Career
9 HR
.288 .348 .482 .831
Yep, they are very similar.

They have such great SP though. 4 SP’s with a sub 3 ERA. Only Nola holding them back there.

Their bullpen has been a mess though. Only 2 relievers with a sub 4 ERA, only 3 with a sub 4.70 ERA. 5 Relieers with 12+ games and an ERA over 4.75. 8O 8O
They do for sure

But as you documented the Cardinals starters are in a good stretch too (TG we miss Wheeler!).

While Philly starters have ours in ERA (3.25 v 3.71), they're very close in WHiP (1.19 Cards v 1.18 Phils) and BA against (.237 Cards v .234 Phils).

Where we've got their starters is HR's allowed (Cards only 5 v Phils 10) but theirs blow us away in KO's (252 v 176).

Let's hope our hitters can work the count on their starters, get their pitch counts up and into that BP by the 6th!
Walks. The team that walks the most will win or lose.
I think it will be decided by the long ball.

The team who's pitchers stay away from them the best wins two of three. :wink:
Or walks then a long ball. Bad juju.
Not bad juju if it's our guys getting the walks and then the long balls! :D
I was gonna add that as you note; then, hence walks taken wins, walks given loses.
rockondlouie
Forum User
Posts: 9763
Joined: 23 May 2024 12:41 pm

Re: What a matchup

Post by rockondlouie »

rockondlouie wrote: 12 May 2025 12:32 pm
sikeston bulldog2 wrote: 12 May 2025 12:07 pm Walks. The team that walks the most will win or lose.
I think it will be decided by the long ball.

The team who's pitchers stay away from them the best wins two of three. :wink:
Long ball (Hererra & Winn) wins BDog. :wink:
sikeston bulldog2
Forum User
Posts: 12113
Joined: 11 Aug 2023 16:20 pm

Re: What a matchup

Post by sikeston bulldog2 »

:?:
rockondlouie wrote: 13 May 2025 09:01 am
rockondlouie wrote: 12 May 2025 12:32 pm
sikeston bulldog2 wrote: 12 May 2025 12:07 pm Walks. The team that walks the most will win or lose.
I think it will be decided by the long ball.

The team who's pitchers stay away from them the best wins two of three. :wink:
Long ball (Hererra & Winn) wins BDog. :wink:
You called it. However, had there been a walk in there, nice. And since they didn’t homer, our walks didn’t hurt us.

I’d bet walks score as much as singles.
rockondlouie
Forum User
Posts: 9763
Joined: 23 May 2024 12:41 pm

Re: What a matchup

Post by rockondlouie »

sikeston bulldog2 wrote: 13 May 2025 10:37 am :?:
rockondlouie wrote: 13 May 2025 09:01 am
rockondlouie wrote: 12 May 2025 12:32 pm
sikeston bulldog2 wrote: 12 May 2025 12:07 pm Walks. The team that walks the most will win or lose.
I think it will be decided by the long ball.

The team who's pitchers stay away from them the best wins two of three. :wink:
Long ball (Hererra & Winn) wins BDog. :wink:
You called it. However, had there been a walk in there, nice. And since they didn’t homer, our walks didn’t hurt us.

I’d bet walks score as much as singles.
Walks are absolute killers, why they're call a "free pass" since even the all time greats only get hits 30+% of the time.
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