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An Old Friend wrote: ↑15 Apr 2025 12:56 pm

imadangman wrote: ↑15 Apr 2025 10:21 am

An Old Friend wrote: ↑09 Apr 2025 19:34 pm

Quincy Varnish wrote: ↑09 Apr 2025 19:20 pm

imadangman wrote: ↑09 Apr 2025 06:53 am

Quincy Varnish wrote: ↑09 Apr 2025 05:23 am

imadangman wrote: ↑03 Apr 2025 19:57 pm

Quincy Varnish wrote: ↑03 Apr 2025 19:18 pm

imadangman wrote: ↑16 Mar 2025 18:12 pm I do not agree with the projections

imadamnman is indamnfirst

This is a really good team here folks

1.51 ERA, 0.92 WHIP through 107.1 IP is crazy.

Now if I can get some more pitchers healthy

…and maybe a Save? Surprising that Clase still doesn’t have one.

He’s intentionally rostering a bunch of non closers which is great for ERA and WHIP, but generally punts quality starts and wins… he’s gotten lucky with a bunch of vultured wins so far, but that’s not really sustainable. Doubtful he’ll end up 90+ wins that way, 5 of his 11 wins are from RP

keep tawkin, chump

My observation wasn’t meant to offend or trash talk.

You have 1 save and are 3rd from the bottom in quality starts.

Oh I'm just having some fun. You do have a point. I'm hoping I can improve my situation from the Waiver wire and what I have on the IL.

imadangman wrote: ↑15 Apr 2025 13:42 pm

An Old Friend wrote: ↑15 Apr 2025 12:56 pm

imadangman wrote: ↑15 Apr 2025 10:21 am

An Old Friend wrote: ↑09 Apr 2025 19:34 pm

Quincy Varnish wrote: ↑09 Apr 2025 19:20 pm

imadangman wrote: ↑09 Apr 2025 06:53 am

Quincy Varnish wrote: ↑09 Apr 2025 05:23 am

imadangman wrote: ↑03 Apr 2025 19:57 pm

Quincy Varnish wrote: ↑03 Apr 2025 19:18 pm

imadangman wrote: ↑16 Mar 2025 18:12 pm I do not agree with the projections

imadamnman is indamnfirst

This is a really good team here folks

1.51 ERA, 0.92 WHIP through 107.1 IP is crazy.

Now if I can get some more pitchers healthy

…and maybe a Save? Surprising that Clase still doesn’t have one.

He’s intentionally rostering a bunch of non closers which is great for ERA and WHIP, but generally punts quality starts and wins… he’s gotten lucky with a bunch of vultured wins so far, but that’s not really sustainable. Doubtful he’ll end up 90+ wins that way, 5 of his 11 wins are from RP

keep tawkin, chump

My observation wasn’t meant to offend or trash talk.

You have 1 save and are 3rd from the bottom in quality starts.

Oh I'm just having some fun. You do have a point. I'm hoping I can improve my situation from the Waiver wire and what I have on the IL.

The flip side is that it has given you a really nice baseline for ERA/WHIP/K’s per IP so you’ll be able to stream guys later that others won’t because they won’t be able to take the ERA risk. Just my two cents!

I look at a bunch of teams and think about how I’d tackle it!

An Old Friend wrote: ↑15 Apr 2025 16:39 pm

imadangman wrote: ↑15 Apr 2025 13:42 pm

An Old Friend wrote: ↑15 Apr 2025 12:56 pm

imadangman wrote: ↑15 Apr 2025 10:21 am

An Old Friend wrote: ↑09 Apr 2025 19:34 pm

Quincy Varnish wrote: ↑09 Apr 2025 19:20 pm

imadangman wrote: ↑09 Apr 2025 06:53 am

Quincy Varnish wrote: ↑09 Apr 2025 05:23 am

imadangman wrote: ↑03 Apr 2025 19:57 pm

Quincy Varnish wrote: ↑03 Apr 2025 19:18 pm

imadangman wrote: ↑16 Mar 2025 18:12 pm I do not agree with the projections

imadamnman is indamnfirst

This is a really good team here folks

1.51 ERA, 0.92 WHIP through 107.1 IP is crazy.

Now if I can get some more pitchers healthy

…and maybe a Save? Surprising that Clase still doesn’t have one.

He’s intentionally rostering a bunch of non closers which is great for ERA and WHIP, but generally punts quality starts and wins… he’s gotten lucky with a bunch of vultured wins so far, but that’s not really sustainable. Doubtful he’ll end up 90+ wins that way, 5 of his 11 wins are from RP

keep tawkin, chump

My observation wasn’t meant to offend or trash talk.

You have 1 save and are 3rd from the bottom in quality starts.

Oh I'm just having some fun. You do have a point. I'm hoping I can improve my situation from the Waiver wire and what I have on the IL.

The flip side is that it has given you a really nice baseline for ERA/WHIP/K’s per IP so you’ll be able to stream guys later that others won’t because they won’t be able to take the ERA risk. Just my two cents!

I look at a bunch of teams and think about how I’d tackle it!

It's a lot of fun and certainly difficult to get a perfect mix at any given time

Standings, entering week 5 -

Unsurprisingly, Fantasy Pros continue to rank mattmitchl44 #1 in ROS projections. Cool Papa Con has moved up from #15 to #13.

Alex Reyes Cy Young wrote: ↑26 Mar 2025 09:50 amI like turtles.

Devers, since the trade - .133 AVG, .625 OPS

…and I liked the trade because Devers would hit for a higher average.

Meanwhile, Alonso - .333 AVG, 1.094 OPS

Quincy Varnish wrote: ↑24 Apr 2025 15:00 pm

Alex Reyes Cy Young wrote: ↑26 Mar 2025 09:50 amI like turtles.

Devers, since the trade - .133 AVG, .625 OPS

…and I liked the trade because Devers would hit for a higher average.

Meanwhile, Alonso - .333 AVG, 1.094 OPS

Haha. I am very pleased with this trade!

Alex Reyes Cy Young wrote: ↑26 Apr 2025 18:57 pm

Quincy Varnish wrote: ↑24 Apr 2025 15:00 pm

Alex Reyes Cy Young wrote: ↑26 Mar 2025 09:50 amI like turtles.

Devers, since the trade - .133 AVG, .625 OPS

…and I liked the trade because Devers would hit for a higher average.

Meanwhile, Alonso - .333 AVG, 1.094 OPS

Haha. I am very pleased with this trade!

I guess so!

I’m not too worried about Devers… he started off slow last year also, to put it lightly. Think he went 0 for his first 19 with 15 K. Looks like he might be coming alive m, with 3 hits and a dinger today.

Quincy Varnish wrote: ↑26 Apr 2025 20:48 pm

Alex Reyes Cy Young wrote: ↑26 Apr 2025 18:57 pm

Quincy Varnish wrote: ↑24 Apr 2025 15:00 pm

Alex Reyes Cy Young wrote: ↑26 Mar 2025 09:50 amI like turtles.

Devers, since the trade - .133 AVG, .625 OPS

…and I liked the trade because Devers would hit for a higher average.

Meanwhile, Alonso - .333 AVG, 1.094 OPS

Haha. I am very pleased with this trade!

I guess so!

I’m not too worried about Devers… he started off slow last year also, to put it lightly. Think he went 0 for his first 19 with 15 K. Looks like he might be coming alive m, with 3 hits and a dinger today.

He’s a superstar he’ll be just fine.

Quincy Varnish wrote: ↑21 Apr 2025 10:30 am Unsurprisingly, Fantasy Pros continue to rank mattmitchl44 #1 in ROS projections. Cool Papa Con has moved up from #15 to #13.

I would say my entire team - in particular Soto (Yahoo preseason rank #8, actual to date #182), Bohm (#136 vs. #858), Turner (#25 vs. #310), Greene (#101 vs. #376), McLain (#121 vs. #356), Pasquantino (#132 vs. #632), Taylor Ward (#176 vs. #435), Toglia (#185 vs. #610), Correa (#215 vs. #884), Sale (#38 vs. #628), and Kirby (inj.) have vastly underperformed so far. When 8 of your players taken in the first 10 rounds, plus some, are underperforming for a month, it is going to be a tough start.

When your entire foundation of "blue chip players" is failing, there is no fixing that.

FWIW - in terms of underperforming/overperforming, here's a bit of what FantasyPros would say to this point. For "Preseason," "Rest of Season," and "Season to Date," it will score hitters and pitchers by assigning the top team in the league 100% and then showing the rest of the teams as some lower percentage relative to the top team:

For hitters:

Team ----------- Preseason % -------------- Rest of Season % ---------------- Season to Date %
QV ------------------ 100% ----------------------- 94.2%------------------------------ 62.4%
MM44--------------- 98.4% ---------------------- 95.6% ------------------------------ 27.3%
Trader ------------- 95.8% ---------------------- 100% ------------------------------- 100.0%
Alex ---------------- 86.7% --------------------- 93.8% ------------------------------ 70.4%
Daz ----------------- 82.2% --------------------- 72.1% ------------------------------ 82.7%
YBI! ----------------- 75.4% --------------------- 88.6% ------------------------------ 85.7%
FGM ----------------- 74.4% -------------------- 68.6% ------------------------------- 79.4%
DJ ------------------- 66.6% -------------------- 82.5% ------------------------------- 58.7%
Jeffy ---------------- 66.2% -------------------- 58.9% ------------------------------- 49.4%
Richie --------------- 65.2% ------------------- 63.0% -------------------------------- 76.2%
gg -------------------- 54.8% ------------------- 58.0% -------------------------------- 75.7%
CPC ------------------ 51.8% ------------------- 58.1% -------------------------------- 73.3%
AOF ------------------ 51.4% ------------------- 69.7% -------------------------------- 71.3%
ima ------------------ 47.7% -------------------- 58.4% ------------------------------- 34.8%
Dirty ----------------- 37.7% -------------------- 48.2% ------------------------------- 70.5%

So QV, Alex, ima, Jeffy and my own hitters are significantly underperforming so far, with gg, CPC, AOF, and Dirty overperforming.
Comparing "season to date" to "rest of season", even with no roster changes, QV, Alex, DJ, ima, and I should expect some positive "regression to the mean going forward.

For pitchers:

Team ----------- Preseason % -------------- Rest of Season % ---------------- Season to Date %
Jeffy ---------------- 100% ---------------------- 94.0% ------------------------------- 31.5%
FGM ----------------- 90.3% --------------------- 83.2% ------------------------------- 76.9%
MM44---------------- 99.9% --------------------- 100% -------------------------------- 81.9%
QV ------------------ 78.3% ---------------------- 54.1%------------------------------- 54.9%
Daz ----------------- 77.6% ---------------------- 58.1% ------------------------------ 85.7%
AOF ----------------- 77.2% ---------------------- 83.0% ------------------------------ 94.3%
YBI! ----------------- 77.0% ---------------------- 66.5% ------------------------------ 37.3%
Dirty ---------------- 75.6% ---------------------- 72.7% ------------------------------ 73.4%
gg ------------------- 73.1% ---------------------- 86.5% ------------------------------ 51.6%
ima ----------------- 70.9% ---------------------- 61.9% ------------------------------- 100%
Richie -------------- 70.4% ---------------------- 73.3% ------------------------------- 93.6%
Alex ---------------- 62.0% ---------------------- 64.5% ------------------------------- 99.9%
DJ ------------------- 59.0% --------------------- 43.2% ------------------------------- 99.8%
Trader -------------- 58.1% --------------------- 50.2% ------------------------------- 61.4%
CPC ----------------- 58.0% --------------------- 69.9% ------------------------------- 98.9%

So Jeffy, FGM, QV, YBI!, gg, and myself underperforming, with AOF, ima, Richie, Alex, DJ, and CPC overperforming.

Jeffy, YBI!, gg, and I should expect some positive "regression to the mean" over the rest of the season.

mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑27 Apr 2025 05:30 am

Quincy Varnish wrote: ↑21 Apr 2025 10:30 am Unsurprisingly, Fantasy Pros continue to rank mattmitchl44 #1 in ROS projections. Cool Papa Con has moved up from #15 to #13.

I would say my entire team - in particular Soto (Yahoo preseason rank #8, actual to date #182), Bohm (#136 vs. #858), Turner (#25 vs. #310), Greene (#101 vs. #376), McLain (#121 vs. #356), Pasquantino (#132 vs. #632), Taylor Ward (#176 vs. #435), Toglia (#185 vs. #610), Correa (#215 vs. #884), Sale (#38 vs. #628), and Kirby (inj.) have vastly underperformed so far. When 8 of your players taken in the first 10 rounds, plus some, are underperforming for a month, it is going to be a tough start.

When your entire foundation of "blue chip players" is failing, there is no fixing that.

You do have some underperforming players. But if you’re counting Correa, Taylor Ward and Toglia amongst your “blue chip” players, your assessments are in need of repair

Quincy Varnish wrote: ↑27 Apr 2025 11:11 am

mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑27 Apr 2025 05:30 am

Quincy Varnish wrote: ↑21 Apr 2025 10:30 am Unsurprisingly, Fantasy Pros continue to rank mattmitchl44 #1 in ROS projections. Cool Papa Con has moved up from #15 to #13.

I would say my entire team - in particular Soto (Yahoo preseason rank #8, actual to date #182), Bohm (#136 vs. #858), Turner (#25 vs. #310), Greene (#101 vs. #376), McLain (#121 vs. #356), Pasquantino (#132 vs. #632), Taylor Ward (#176 vs. #435), Toglia (#185 vs. #610), Correa (#215 vs. #884), Sale (#38 vs. #628), and Kirby (inj.) have vastly underperformed so far. When 8 of your players taken in the first 10 rounds, plus some, are underperforming for a month, it is going to be a tough start.

When your entire foundation of "blue chip players" is failing, there is no fixing that.

You do have some underperforming players. But if you’re counting Correa, Taylor Ward and Toglia amongst your “blue chip” players, your assessments are in need of repair

Not "blue chip" in those cases necessarily, but ~Top 200 guys or Top 15 draft round guys in our 15 team draft. Expect them to be much better contributors than they have been.

I drafted 10 batters in the first 18 rounds and one of them (Matt Chapman, Round 10) is actually playing up to expectations.

mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑27 Apr 2025 11:25 am

Quincy Varnish wrote: ↑27 Apr 2025 11:11 am

mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑27 Apr 2025 05:30 am

Quincy Varnish wrote: ↑21 Apr 2025 10:30 am Unsurprisingly, Fantasy Pros continue to rank mattmitchl44 #1 in ROS projections. Cool Papa Con has moved up from #15 to #13.

I would say my entire team - in particular Soto (Yahoo preseason rank #8, actual to date #182), Bohm (#136 vs. #858), Turner (#25 vs. #310), Greene (#101 vs. #376), McLain (#121 vs. #356), Pasquantino (#132 vs. #632), Taylor Ward (#176 vs. #435), Toglia (#185 vs. #610), Correa (#215 vs. #884), Sale (#38 vs. #628), and Kirby (inj.) have vastly underperformed so far. When 8 of your players taken in the first 10 rounds, plus some, are underperforming for a month, it is going to be a tough start.

When your entire foundation of "blue chip players" is failing, there is no fixing that.

You do have some underperforming players. But if you’re counting Correa, Taylor Ward and Toglia amongst your “blue chip” players, your assessments are in need of repair

Not "blue chip" in those cases necessarily, but ~Top 200 guys or Top 15 draft round guys in our 15 team draft. Expect them to be much better contributors than they have been.

I drafted 10 batters in the first 18 rounds and one of them (Matt Chapman, Round 10) is actually playing up to expectations.

You have a lot of hit or miss guys, like Torres last year. Toglia is one that could be all miss. Chapman’s had done seasons where he’s barely been rosterable in shallower leagues, so you’re lucky he’s being productive.

Soto,Turner, Pasquatch and Bohm are the guys you can expect to meaningfully improve. Not so sure about the rest.

Quincy Varnish wrote: ↑27 Apr 2025 12:52 pm

mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑27 Apr 2025 11:25 am

Quincy Varnish wrote: ↑27 Apr 2025 11:11 am

mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑27 Apr 2025 05:30 am

Quincy Varnish wrote: ↑21 Apr 2025 10:30 am Unsurprisingly, Fantasy Pros continue to rank mattmitchl44 #1 in ROS projections. Cool Papa Con has moved up from #15 to #13.

I would say my entire team - in particular Soto (Yahoo preseason rank #8, actual to date #182), Bohm (#136 vs. #858), Turner (#25 vs. #310), Greene (#101 vs. #376), McLain (#121 vs. #356), Pasquantino (#132 vs. #632), Taylor Ward (#176 vs. #435), Toglia (#185 vs. #610), Correa (#215 vs. #884), Sale (#38 vs. #628), and Kirby (inj.) have vastly underperformed so far. When 8 of your players taken in the first 10 rounds, plus some, are underperforming for a month, it is going to be a tough start.

When your entire foundation of "blue chip players" is failing, there is no fixing that.

You do have some underperforming players. But if you’re counting Correa, Taylor Ward and Toglia amongst your “blue chip” players, your assessments are in need of repair

Not "blue chip" in those cases necessarily, but ~Top 200 guys or Top 15 draft round guys in our 15 team draft. Expect them to be much better contributors than they have been.

I drafted 10 batters in the first 18 rounds and one of them (Matt Chapman, Round 10) is actually playing up to expectations.

You have a lot of hit or miss guys, like Torres last year. Toglia is one that could be all miss. Chapman’s had done seasons where he’s barely been rosterable in shallower leagues, so you’re lucky he’s being productive.

Soto,Turner, Pasquatch and Bohm are the guys you can expect to meaningfully improve. Not so sure about the rest.

Riley Green should definitely improve on a .680 OPS. Correa should improve on a .528 OPS. Toglia should improve on a .588 OPS.

Those are kind of ridiculous compared to reasonable expectations. They are all at least .100 to .150 OPS short of just conservative expectations.

mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑27 Apr 2025 12:57 pm

Quincy Varnish wrote: ↑27 Apr 2025 12:52 pm

mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑27 Apr 2025 11:25 am

Quincy Varnish wrote: ↑27 Apr 2025 11:11 am

mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑27 Apr 2025 05:30 am

Quincy Varnish wrote: ↑21 Apr 2025 10:30 am Unsurprisingly, Fantasy Pros continue to rank mattmitchl44 #1 in ROS projections. Cool Papa Con has moved up from #15 to #13.

I would say my entire team - in particular Soto (Yahoo preseason rank #8, actual to date #182), Bohm (#136 vs. #858), Turner (#25 vs. #310), Greene (#101 vs. #376), McLain (#121 vs. #356), Pasquantino (#132 vs. #632), Taylor Ward (#176 vs. #435), Toglia (#185 vs. #610), Correa (#215 vs. #884), Sale (#38 vs. #628), and Kirby (inj.) have vastly underperformed so far. When 8 of your players taken in the first 10 rounds, plus some, are underperforming for a month, it is going to be a tough start.

When your entire foundation of "blue chip players" is failing, there is no fixing that.

You do have some underperforming players. But if you’re counting Correa, Taylor Ward and Toglia amongst your “blue chip” players, your assessments are in need of repair

Not "blue chip" in those cases necessarily, but ~Top 200 guys or Top 15 draft round guys in our 15 team draft. Expect them to be much better contributors than they have been.

I drafted 10 batters in the first 18 rounds and one of them (Matt Chapman, Round 10) is actually playing up to expectations.

You have a lot of hit or miss guys, like Torres last year. Toglia is one that could be all miss. Chapman’s had done seasons where he’s barely been rosterable in shallower leagues, so you’re lucky he’s being productive.

Soto,Turner, Pasquatch and Bohm are the guys you can expect to meaningfully improve. Not so sure about the rest.

Riley Green should definitely improve on a .680 OPS. Correa should improve on a .528 OPS. Toglia should improve on a .588 OPS.

Those are kind of ridiculous compared to reasonable expectations. They are all at least .100 to .150 OPS short of just conservative expectations.

Toglia doesn’t have the three year averages to give you any kind of baseline expectations.

Agree on Correa & Greene… but like Chapman, Correa has had some seasons where he’s barely worth rostering.

I think you’ll improve in the standings, but your roster isn’t what Fantasy Pros might make you believe.