Re: The superstar effect being ignored by Cardinals.
Posted: 11 Jan 2026 13:03 pm
What annoys me is that you act like that you are sure that Bill DeWitt will up his payroll to $180 million again. How can you be sure, when he and his son Fredo, have already stated that the payroll is tied directly to fan support? How do you get fan support when you have losing teams. What also annoys me is, there is no gray area with you. If anyone has any alternative thoughts, you quickly dismiss their ideas as being a waste of your time. You do not take into consideration all the variables that could go wrong with your plans, and if they do indeed go wrong, we are left with losing baseball year after year. You discount anyone who has an alternate opinion. You are not the judge and jury here Matt. I agree with a lot of what you have to say, but your delivery is a little rough around the edges for my take. Have a nice day.mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑11 Jan 2026 12:42 pmWhat annoys me is that you act like I didn't already say "and then ultimately spend more money than those teams to do it better."zuck698 wrote: ↑11 Jan 2026 12:12 pmI would feel a lot better about your plans Matt, if either one of those 3 teams had ever won a World Series! They have not. Why are you so convinced that their strategy is the way to go when it has never worked for them? I don't expect you will have an answer different than your usual analytics but maybe you will surprise me.mattmitchl44 wrote: ↑11 Jan 2026 11:50 amYes, you can pay ~8 guys full market value. But you can also get those guys by signing them as FAs and not trading prospects to do so.CorneliusWolfe wrote: ↑11 Jan 2026 10:54 am Point 1 - “Less” leverage, not no leverage. It will cost more, but can be done at a non-crippling amount for the select few right players. Not EVERY single salary has to be extremely team friendly. It’s ok to pay a few guys fairly and maybe even one or two at market. The farm is there to offset such costs. There are many more roster slots to please you with league minimum salaries.
My point is, when I say they need ~18 Pre-ARB and ARB year players, if you are trading for a guy who you have to almost immediately pay a full market value contract to, you aren't filling one of those needed "value" spot AND you are trading away prospects who could.
If you are trading for a 3+ fWAR player who does have 4-5 years of team control left, then at least you are getting back a "value" player for all the prospects you are giving up.
As I said, if you would check the Cot's link:Point 2 - We were talking payroll, which has reached 215 million with in-season additions - and you KNOW this, so you conveniently move the goal posts again to include “opening day”. Words matter.
https://legacy.baseballprospectus.com/c ... cardinals/
Neither the Cardinals Opening Day nor year end payrolls have ever exceeded $180 million.
I care because:Side question - Why do YOU CARE so [fork]ing much??! I don’t even think it is Bloom’s or ownerships plan to be THAT cheap, but to live under a reasonable budget. But any thread that discusses options other than your stupid fangraphs WAR plan, you make it your life’s work and duty to (bleep) all over it and filibuster every poster who respectfully disagrees or is just having some fun with the discussion.
You do realize no one here has a truly informed opinion on most of these matters, including both of us, right? We’re playing armchair GMs and managers for fun.
(1) I know that the Cardinals are never going to have the resources of the big market teams and
(2) I would like to see the Cardinals win another World Series.
I want to see them stop sabotaging their chance by continuing to pursue a failed strategy that they've done for the past decade. The Cardinals haven't been failing just because of Mozeliak, they failed because the fundamental strategy he was given/pursuing was flawed.
If the Cardinals are going to win another WS any time soon, they have to attack them problem of roster construction from the direction of a Milwaukee, Cleveland, Tampa Bay, etc. (and then ultimately spend more money than those teams to do it BETTER) than from the direction of the Dodgers, Red Sox, Mets, Yankees, etc.
Spending $170 to $180 million is different than other teams trying to win spending $100 million.