What is the highest possible pick the Cardinals can get in the MLB draft?

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Shady
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What is the highest possible pick the Cardinals can get in the MLB draft?

Post by Shady »

I believe their odds at getting the #1 pick is at 2.35%. It sure would be nice to land a top five pick.
Mort Gage
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Re: What is the highest possible pick the Cardinals can get in the MLB draft?

Post by Mort Gage »

Shady wrote: 20 Nov 2025 13:44 pm I believe their odds at getting the #1 pick is at 2.35%. It sure would be nice to land a top five pick.
Since the Cardinals have a 2.35% chance of getting the top pick I'll go out on a limb and answer that the first pick is their highest possible.
Shady
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Re: What is the highest possible pick the Cardinals can get in the MLB draft?

Post by Shady »

Mort Gage wrote: 20 Nov 2025 13:55 pm
Shady wrote: 20 Nov 2025 13:44 pm I believe their odds at getting the #1 pick is at 2.35%. It sure would be nice to land a top five pick.
Since the Cardinals have a 2.35% chance of getting the top pick I'll go out on a limb and answer that the first pick is their highest possible.
Highest as in not the lowest, that being #1. I guess it depends how one looks at it. But, I probably should have asked what the lowest in the first round could be in the lottery.
craviduce
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Re: What is the highest possible pick the Cardinals can get in the MLB draft?

Post by craviduce »

Mort Gage wrote: 20 Nov 2025 13:55 pm
Shady wrote: 20 Nov 2025 13:44 pm I believe their odds at getting the #1 pick is at 2.35%. It sure would be nice to land a top five pick.
Since the Cardinals have a 2.35% chance of getting the top pick I'll go out on a limb and answer that the first pick is their highest possible.
I, too, am confident the highest possible pick will be 1st.

but I'm waiting for confirmation from my accountant
craviduce
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Re: What is the highest possible pick the Cardinals can get in the MLB draft?

Post by craviduce »

craviduce wrote: 20 Nov 2025 14:27 pm
Mort Gage wrote: 20 Nov 2025 13:55 pm
Shady wrote: 20 Nov 2025 13:44 pm I believe their odds at getting the #1 pick is at 2.35%. It sure would be nice to land a top five pick.
Since the Cardinals have a 2.35% chance of getting the top pick I'll go out on a limb and answer that the first pick is their highest possible.
I, too, am confident the highest possible pick will be 1st.

but I'm waiting for confirmation from my accountant
Here he is and he says :

Image
Bomber1
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Re: What is the highest possible pick the Cardinals can get in the MLB draft?

Post by Bomber1 »

Mort Gage wrote: 20 Nov 2025 13:55 pm
Shady wrote: 20 Nov 2025 13:44 pm I believe their odds at getting the #1 pick is at 2.35%. It sure would be nice to land a top five pick.
Since the Cardinals have a 2.35% chance of getting the top pick I'll go out on a limb and answer that the first pick is their highest possible.
Lol - Shady just continues to outdo himself.
Shady
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Re: What is the highest possible pick the Cardinals can get in the MLB draft?

Post by Shady »

Let's put it this way. I discovered the worst pick the Cardinals can get in the upcoming lottery is the 13th pick in the first round.
craviduce
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Re: What is the highest possible pick the Cardinals can get in the MLB draft?

Post by craviduce »

Shady wrote: 20 Nov 2025 14:47 pm Let's put it this way. I discovered the worst pick the Cardinals can get in the upcoming lottery is the 13th pick in the first round.
17th is the worst.... not realistic but the worst. Thankfully, we can't fall to 18th.....the perks. :roll:
JaseMan
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Re: What is the highest possible pick the Cardinals can get in the MLB draft?

Post by JaseMan »

Guys all this math is over me head
HorseTrader
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Re: What is the highest possible pick the Cardinals can get in the MLB draft?

Post by HorseTrader »

JaseMan wrote: 20 Nov 2025 14:53 pm Guys all this math is over me head
Well Shady can't spell math, so you are a head of him.
Shady
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Re: What is the highest possible pick the Cardinals can get in the MLB draft?

Post by Shady »

HorseTrader wrote: 20 Nov 2025 17:51 pm
JaseMan wrote: 20 Nov 2025 14:53 pm Guys all this math is over me head
Well Shady can't spell math, so you are a head of him.
But I can spot a future Silver Slugger. Something many CT blowhards didn't see coming. LOL
cardstatman
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Re: What is the highest possible pick the Cardinals can get in the MLB draft?

Post by cardstatman »

One thing I learned in math.

An average person is a mean person.
Shady
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Re: What is the highest possible pick the Cardinals can get in the MLB draft?

Post by Shady »

cardstatman wrote: 20 Nov 2025 18:04 pm One thing I learned in math.

An average person is a mean person.
You "hit the nail on the head".
ramfandan
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Re: What is the highest possible pick the Cardinals can get in the MLB draft?

Post by ramfandan »

craviduce wrote: 20 Nov 2025 14:27 pm
Mort Gage wrote: 20 Nov 2025 13:55 pm
Shady wrote: 20 Nov 2025 13:44 pm I believe their odds at getting the #1 pick is at 2.35%. It sure would be nice to land a top five pick.
Since the Cardinals have a 2.35% chance of getting the top pick I'll go out on a limb and answer that the first pick is their highest possible.
I, too, am confident the highest possible pick will be 1st.

but I'm waiting for confirmation from my accountant
Interesting, I likewise consulted my accountant. As usual, he told me He will put his top staff on this probably taking about 20-30 hours of analysis. Can’t wait to get the bill for this job.
To justify his fee, thr findl answer will be detailed in a minimum 10 page analysis report. He may be expensive but he is dang thorough.
cardstatman
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Re: What is the highest possible pick the Cardinals can get in the MLB draft?

Post by cardstatman »

This is the most likely version of the worst case scenarios.
  1. 9 Miami 79-83 .488 36.0 Won 1 7-3 1.85%
  2. 13 Arizona 80-82 .494 37.0 Lost 5 3-7 1.51%
  3. 14 Texas 81-81 .500 38.0 Lost 2 2-8 1.34%
  4. 15 San Francisco 81-81 .500 38.0 Won 4 5-5 1.01%
  5. 16 Kansas City 82-80 .506 39.0 Won 2 6-4 0.84%
  6. 17 NY Mets 83-79 .512 40.0 Lost 1 5-5 0.67%
  7. 1 CHI White Sox 60-102 .370 17.0 Won 1 3-7 27.73%
  8. 2 Minnesota 70-92 .432 27.0 Lost 1 4-6 22.18%
  9. 3 Pittsburgh 71-91 .438 28.0 Lost 1 6-4 16.81%
  10. 10 Colorado 43-119 .265 -- Lost 6 2-8
  11. 11 Washington 66-96 .407 23.0 Lost 1 4-6
  12. 12 LA Angels 72-90 .444 29.0 Lost 2 3-7
  13. 4 Baltimore 75-87 .463 32.0 Lost 3 3-7 9.24%
  14. 5 Athletics 76-86 .469 33.0 Lost 2 5-5 6.55%
  15. 6 Atlanta 76-86 .469 33.0 Won 1 7-3 4.54%
  16. 7 Tampa Bay 77-85 .475 34.0 Lost 4 3-7 3.03%
  17. 8 St. Louis 78-84 .481 35.0 Lost 4 4-6 2.35%
  18. 18 Houston 87-75 .537 44.0 Won 2 4-6 0.34%
  19. 19 Cincinnati 83-79 .512 40.0 Lost 1 7-3
  20. 20 Boston 89-73 .549 46.0 Won 1 6-4
  21. 21 San Diego 90-72 .556 47.0 Won 3 7-3
  22. 22 Cleveland 88-74 .543 45.0 Won 2 7-3
  23. 23 Detroit 87-75 .537 44.0 Lost 1 2-8
  24. 24 CHI Cubs 92-70 .568 49.0 Won 3 4-6
  25. 25 NY Yankees 94-68 .580 51.0 Won 8 9-1
  26. 26 Philadelphia 96-66 .593 53.0 Won 1 5-5
  27. 27 Seattle 90-72 .556 47.0 Lost 3 7-3
  28. 28 Milwaukee 97-65 .599 54.0 Won 1 4-6
  29. 29 Toronto 94-68 .580 51.0 Won 4 5-5
  30. 30 LA Dodgers 93-69 .574 50.0 Won 5 8-2
renostl
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Re: What is the highest possible pick the Cardinals can get in the MLB draft?

Post by renostl »

ramfandan wrote: 20 Nov 2025 18:13 pm
craviduce wrote: 20 Nov 2025 14:27 pm
Mort Gage wrote: 20 Nov 2025 13:55 pm
Shady wrote: 20 Nov 2025 13:44 pm I believe their odds at getting the #1 pick is at 2.35%. It sure would be nice to land a top five pick.
Since the Cardinals have a 2.35% chance of getting the top pick I'll go out on a limb and answer that the first pick is their highest possible.
I, too, am confident the highest possible pick will be 1st.

but I'm waiting for confirmation from my accountant
Interesting, I likewise consulted my accountant. As usual, he told me He will put his top staff on this probably taking about 20-30 hours of analysis. Can’t wait to get the bill for this job.
To justify his fee, thr findl answer will be detailed in a minimum 10 page analysis report. He may be expensive but he is dang thorough.
I thought Cards fans had
been trained to be adverse
to unnecessary expenditures.
Get a new grad to do the books.
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