CT Fantasy Baseball - Interested?

[Quincy Varnish]

I mean... I anticipate some regression from both, but not much from Houck. He's not giving up any HR so at some point I'd expect a few fly balls to leave the yard. Houck is a pedigreed first round pick heading into his prime who has shown plus command for a long time while never being home run prone. I think he finishes as a top-10 pitcher or really close to it.

Nothing in Lopez's underlying numbers suggest that major regression is coming.

As to yours... deGrom just threw off a mound last week so he's probably two months out, and he's not going to provide any length. What are you expecting from Kershaw? They're going to be crazy careful with him and they just shut down his rehab.

Kershaw typically beats estimates of when he’ll return. Even with his recent setback, I think it’s fair to expect he’ll be back mid-to-late July and probably get in 10-12 starts.

deGrom… I’m not really expecting much from him, but I could hope for maybe 5 starts to end the season, that would have gone to streamers.

Perhaps I’m overly optimistic, but I think my SPs stack up pretty well against yours moving forward. You’ll top me in Ks, and you cannot be caught in QS, but from this point on I think the overall numbers could stack in my favor.

[Cool Papa Con]

Has anyone tried making a batting lineup with their players? Using the actual assigned positions…

1.) Luis Arraez (2B) - L
2.) Royce Lewis (DH) - R
3.) Bryce Harper (1B) - L
4.) Austin Riley (3B) - R
5.) Riley Greene (CF) - L
6.) Miguel Andujar (LF) - R
7.) Jackson Chourio (RF) - R
8.) Masyn Winn (SS) - R
9.) Yainer Diaz (C) - R

Bench
Alex Bregman (3B) - R
Andy Pages Alec Burleson(OF) - L
Willi Castro (UT) - S
Tyler Soderstrom (1B/C) - L
Luis Matos (OF) - R

IL
10 IL - Evan Carter (OF) - L
60 IL - Christian Encarnacion-Strand (1B) - R

I see the appeal of contraction…

[Quincy Varnish]

As to yours... deGrom just threw off a mound last week so he's probably two months out, and he's not going to provide any length. What are you expecting from Kershaw? They're going to be crazy careful with him and they just shut down his rehab.

Yeah, with Texas 8 games back in the WC, you wonder if there will be any point at all for deGrom to take the mound this season (he's still got a guaranteed contract through 2027).

And the Dodgers won't need Kershaw in the regular season to make the playoffs. They may just focus on him being ready to give them 4 inning starts or so in the playoffs. They can shut him down until August, send him on a minor league rehab assignment, and bring him up for 3-4 short starts in September to knock the remaining rust off.

Yeah, maybe Kershaw won’t pitch at all until the postseason and deGrom will suddenly die. Doubtful Steele will ever win another game. Framber Valdez probably going to shock the world and win AL CYA though, if Nestor Cortes doesn’t beat him out.

[Quincy Varnish]

Basically, it appears to be saying that it likes the quality of your top end SP (it has you gaining on the field in ERA (from 8 pts. now to 10) and WHIP (from 6 pts now to 10.5) for the rest of season), but doesn't think you have enough of it (it has you fading in wins (9 to 6.5), QS (10 to 7), and K (10 to 4.5)), and it pretty much has you tanking in saves (10 to 3).

That said, the margins are small. 3 more wins would move you up 2.5 pts., 24 more Ks would move you up 4.5 pts., etc.

Their projections for my Saves make sense, but the QS and W do not.

If everyone stays on track, barring further injury, I’ll finish the season with…

Clayton Kershaw
Jacob deGrom
Joe Ryan
Logan Webb
Justin Steele
Jose Berrios
Nick Pivetta

I don’t think even AOF and his pack of waiver wire weirdos can touch that. He’ll still top me in K/9, sure…

It has Kershaw with 4 QS and 3 wins (40 IP), and deGrom with only 2 QS and 1 win (20 IP).

What are the projections for the multiple injured and mediocre pitchers you’re currently rostering? Is Soriano in your starting lineup only to tweak FP’s projections?

[mattmitchl44]

Clearly I need to do a better job of picking my lineups. Since Monday, my bench has gone .404 BA, with 11 R, 4 HR, and 14 RBI.

[mattmitchl44]

Basically, it appears to be saying that it likes the quality of your top end SP (it has you gaining on the field in ERA (from 8 pts. now to 10) and WHIP (from 6 pts now to 10.5) for the rest of season), but doesn't think you have enough of it (it has you fading in wins (9 to 6.5), QS (10 to 7), and K (10 to 4.5)), and it pretty much has you tanking in saves (10 to 3).

That said, the margins are small. 3 more wins would move you up 2.5 pts., 24 more Ks would move you up 4.5 pts., etc.

Their projections for my Saves make sense, but the QS and W do not.

If everyone stays on track, barring further injury, I’ll finish the season with…

Clayton Kershaw
Jacob deGrom
Joe Ryan
Logan Webb
Justin Steele
Jose Berrios
Nick Pivetta

I don’t think even AOF and his pack of waiver wire weirdos can touch that. He’ll still top me in K/9, sure…

It has Kershaw with 4 QS and 3 wins (40 IP), and deGrom with only 2 QS and 1 win (20 IP).

What are the projections for the multiple injured and mediocre pitchers you’re currently rostering? Is Soriano in your starting lineup only to tweak FP’s projections?

Soriano is on my roster because I don't have any more room on my IL and he's supposed to be the first one back. Soriano is supposed to be back in their next series against Oakland, and I don't much worry about Lodolo coming back from a blister. Cabrera is doing well his his rehab starts and should be back shortly as well. I'm less certain about Assad and Rodriguez.

FP is fairly high on Lodolo (3.95/1.33, 4 W, 5 QS) and Rodriguez (3.90/1.32, 3 W, 5 QS), but not as much on Cabrera (4.18/1.42, 3 W, 4 QS), Soriano (4.13/1.45, 4 W, 5 QS), and Assad (4.43/1.43, 3 W, 4 QS).

Yahoo seems a bit higher on Assad and Soriano.

I'm not unhappy with 7 SP who have been in the Yahoo Top 100 SPs so far this year, plus Cabrera and Rodriguez who have been out for much of the year. That should be at least a league average group of SPs.

More than anything, I just need Peralta (Yahoo preseason 41, currently 130) and Valdez (preseason 93, currently 218) to pitch up to expectations.

[Quincy Varnish]

Soriano is on my roster because I don't have any more room on my IL and he's supposed to be the first one back. Soriano is supposed to be back in their next series against Oakland, and I don't much worry about Lodolo coming back from a blister. Cabrera is doing well his his rehab starts and should be back shortly as well. I'm less certain about Assad and Rodriguez.

FP is fairly high on Lodolo (3.95/1.33, 4 W, 5 QS) and Rodriguez (3.90/1.32, 3 W, 5 QS), but not as much on Cabrera (4.18/1.42, 3 W, 4 QS), Soriano (4.13/1.45, 4 W, 5 QS), and Assad (4.43/1.43, 3 W, 4 QS).

Yahoo seems a bit higher on Assad and Soriano.

I'm not unhappy with 7 SP who have been in the Yahoo Top 100 SPs so far this year, plus Cabrera and Rodriguez who have been out for much of the year. That should be at least a league average group of SPs.

More than anything, I just need Peralta (Yahoo preseason 41, currently 130) and Valdez (preseason 93, currently 218) to pitch up to expectations.

Ya, Framber has been surprisingly bad. Thought he was a good add to your staff… his stuff is ridiculous. It does seem like he’s developing an unfortunate trend - falling short of expectations.

Anyway, it’s good to see you’ve bounced back in the standings. Hopefully you have fully recovered from the major depressive episode you suffered after losing Acuña

[mattmitchl44]

Soriano is on my roster because I don't have any more room on my IL and he's supposed to be the first one back. Soriano is supposed to be back in their next series against Oakland, and I don't much worry about Lodolo coming back from a blister. Cabrera is doing well his his rehab starts and should be back shortly as well. I'm less certain about Assad and Rodriguez.

FP is fairly high on Lodolo (3.95/1.33, 4 W, 5 QS) and Rodriguez (3.90/1.32, 3 W, 5 QS), but not as much on Cabrera (4.18/1.42, 3 W, 4 QS), Soriano (4.13/1.45, 4 W, 5 QS), and Assad (4.43/1.43, 3 W, 4 QS).

Yahoo seems a bit higher on Assad and Soriano.

I'm not unhappy with 7 SP who have been in the Yahoo Top 100 SPs so far this year, plus Cabrera and Rodriguez who have been out for much of the year. That should be at least a league average group of SPs.

More than anything, I just need Peralta (Yahoo preseason 41, currently 130) and Valdez (preseason 93, currently 218) to pitch up to expectations.

Ya, Framber has been surprisingly bad. Thought he was a good add to your staff… his stuff is ridiculous. It does seem like he’s developing an unfortunate trend - falling short of expectations.

Anyway, it’s good to see you’ve bounced back in the standings. Hopefully you have fully recovered from the major depressive episode you suffered after losing Acuña

Well I got back in it by just picking up Fry, Ramos, Ortiz, and Waldron off waivers.

While I don't think my trades have done me a lot of good, I am still trying to shop my catching depth (O'Hoppe and Fry should be the #1 starting catchers for two different teams in a 15 team league) and SP depth (there are teams that could use a Soriano, Cabrera, Assad SP). But to no avail.

[Quincy Varnish]

Well I got back in it by just picking up Fry, Ramos, Ortiz, and Waldron off waivers.

While I don't think my trades have done me a lot of good, I am still trying to shop my catching depth (O'Hoppe and Fry should be the #1 starting catchers for two different teams in a 15 team league) and SP depth (there are teams that could use a Soriano, Cabrera, Assad SP). But to no avail.

Catchers are all garbage unless their names are Contreras, Perez, Smith, Rutschman or Realmuto. You might be able to sell one of your guys as an ‘upgrade’, but they don’t have much appeal as stand alone trade targets. Tagging on an injured mediocre pitcher probably doesn’t increase their marketability

[mattmitchl44]

Well I got back in it by just picking up Fry, Ramos, Ortiz, and Waldron off waivers.

While I don't think my trades have done me a lot of good, I am still trying to shop my catching depth (O'Hoppe and Fry should be the #1 starting catchers for two different teams in a 15 team league) and SP depth (there are teams that could use a Soriano, Cabrera, Assad SP). But to no avail.

Catchers are all garbage unless their names are Contreras, Perez, Smith, Rutschman or Realmuto. You might be able to sell one of your guys as an ‘upgrade’, but they don’t have much appeal as stand alone trade targets. Tagging on an injured mediocre pitcher probably doesn’t increase their marketability

Well, so far this year, in terms of Yahoo's ranking of most productive catchers, it's:

Rutschman - 36
William Contreras - 42
Perez - 93
Smith - 95
Fry - 100
O'Hoppe - 135

So the only two substantially ahead are Rutschman and Contreras.

The opportunity to get production from a position where it is hard to get production should be valuable.

[Quincy Varnish]

Have you seen Jeffy post in this thread.? Haven’t seen him in CT for awhile

He still pops in occasionally, but doesn’t really post anymore. He does make mysterious trade offers, though.

[Quincy Varnish]

Well I got back in it by just picking up Fry, Ramos, Ortiz, and Waldron off waivers.

While I don't think my trades have done me a lot of good, I am still trying to shop my catching depth (O'Hoppe and Fry should be the #1 starting catchers for two different teams in a 15 team league) and SP depth (there are teams that could use a Soriano, Cabrera, Assad SP). But to no avail.

Catchers are all garbage unless their names are Contreras, Perez, Smith, Rutschman or Realmuto. You might be able to sell one of your guys as an ‘upgrade’, but they don’t have much appeal as stand alone trade targets. Tagging on an injured mediocre pitcher probably doesn’t increase their marketability

Well, so far this year, in terms of Yahoo's ranking of most productive catchers, it's:

Rutschman - 36
William Contreras - 42
Perez - 93
Smith - 95
Fry - 100
O'Hoppe - 135

So the only two substantially ahead are Rutschman and Contreras.

The opportunity to get production from a position where it is hard to get production should be valuable.

Agreed, but they don’t have established track records.

[Quincy Varnish]

Has anyone tried making a batting lineup with their players? Using the actual assigned positions…

1.) Luis Arraez (2B) - L
2.) Royce Lewis (DH) - R
3.) Bryce Harper (1B) - L
4.) Austin Riley (3B) - R
5.) Riley Greene (CF) - L
6.) Miguel Andujar (LF) - R
7.) Jackson Chourio (RF) - R
8.) Masyn Winn (SS) - R
9.) Yainer Diaz (C) - R

Bench
Alex Bregman (3B) - R
Andy Pages Alec Burleson(OF) - L
Willi Castro (UT) - S
Tyler Soderstrom (1B/C) - L
Luis Matos (OF) - R

IL
10 IL - Evan Carter (OF) - L
60 IL - Christian Encarnacion-Strand (1B) - R

I see the appeal of contraction…

Bregman on your bench is an argument for expansion. Next year - 20 teams. Four of them will be Joel, for comedic purposes.

[Cool Papa Con]

Has anyone tried making a batting lineup with their players? Using the actual assigned positions…

1.) Luis Arraez (2B) - L
2.) Royce Lewis (DH) - R
3.) Bryce Harper (1B) - L
4.) Austin Riley (3B) - R
5.) Riley Greene (CF) - L
6.) Miguel Andujar (LF) - R
7.) Jackson Chourio (RF) - R
8.) Masyn Winn (SS) - R
9.) Yainer Diaz (C) - R

Bench
Alex Bregman (3B) - R
Andy Pages Alec Burleson(OF) - L
Willi Castro (UT) - S
Tyler Soderstrom (1B/C) - L
Luis Matos (OF) - R

IL
10 IL - Evan Carter (OF) - L
60 IL - Christian Encarnacion-Strand (1B) - R

I see the appeal of contraction…

Bregman on your bench is an argument for expansion. Next year - 20 teams. Four of them will be Joel, for comedic purposes.

I meant MLB contraction, not FB

[Quincy Varnish]

Has anyone tried making a batting lineup with their players? Using the actual assigned positions…

1.) Luis Arraez (2B) - L
2.) Royce Lewis (DH) - R
3.) Bryce Harper (1B) - L
4.) Austin Riley (3B) - R
5.) Riley Greene (CF) - L
6.) Miguel Andujar (LF) - R
7.) Jackson Chourio (RF) - R
8.) Masyn Winn (SS) - R
9.) Yainer Diaz (C) - R

Bench
Alex Bregman (3B) - R
Andy Pages Alec Burleson(OF) - L
Willi Castro (UT) - S
Tyler Soderstrom (1B/C) - L
Luis Matos (OF) - R

IL
10 IL - Evan Carter (OF) - L
60 IL - Christian Encarnacion-Strand (1B) - R

I see the appeal of contraction…

Bregman on your bench is an argument for expansion. Next year - 20 teams. Four of them will be Joel, for comedic purposes.

I meant MLB contraction, not FB

Oh, good… then you’re on board with the Joel x4 plan. Cool!

[mattmitchl44]

Well I got back in it by just picking up Fry, Ramos, Ortiz, and Waldron off waivers.

While I don't think my trades have done me a lot of good, I am still trying to shop my catching depth (O'Hoppe and Fry should be the #1 starting catchers for two different teams in a 15 team league) and SP depth (there are teams that could use a Soriano, Cabrera, Assad SP). But to no avail.

Catchers are all garbage unless their names are Contreras, Perez, Smith, Rutschman or Realmuto. You might be able to sell one of your guys as an ‘upgrade’, but they don’t have much appeal as stand alone trade targets. Tagging on an injured mediocre pitcher probably doesn’t increase their marketability

Well, so far this year, in terms of Yahoo's ranking of most productive catchers, it's:

Rutschman - 36
William Contreras - 42
Perez - 93
Smith - 95
Fry - 100
O'Hoppe - 135

So the only two substantially ahead are Rutschman and Contreras.

The opportunity to get production from a position where it is hard to get production should be valuable.

Agreed, but they don’t have established track records.

If we were talking about an actual baseball team where you might have to live with your decisions for years, I would get that.

But if you're already a near last place team in our fantasy league who, let's say, only has one catcher on your roster and that catcher is .624 OPS Jonah Heim, you would think that a quality C, another player, a SP, etc. could only help. So get two or three pieces for one.